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Coolhand's Market Analysis

A weekly snapshot of current TSP allocations for both the Top 50 and the Total Tracker. I also try to accompany the allocation charts with some measure of technical analysis, normally using the S&P 500.

  1. Big Gains Last Week - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The bulls posted significant gains last week.

    I'm in-s-p-500-png
    I'm in-dwcpf-png

    We can see that price is slowly rising along with the 50 and 200 day moving averages. The long term trend is up.

    I'm in-nyad-png

    Breadth hit a fresh high on Friday and remains bullish.

    We are heading into a new week with the smart money still bullish after last Thursday's latest sentiment reading.
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  2. Mixed Day, But the S&P Makes it 5 in a Row - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    We got a mixed day of action today as the S&P 500 made it 5 up days in a row, but the DWCPF closed modestly lower.

    Life after TSP 3-s-p-500-png
    Life after TSP 3-dwcpf-png

    The charts remain decidedly bullish. RSI is getting close to overbought, but that's not a big concern with the smart money being bullish.

    Life after TSP 3-nyad-png

    Breadth dipped just a bit and remains bullish.

    NAAIM was relatively unchanged
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  3. Bulls Make it 4 Straight - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The bulls continued their win streak today (4 in a row).

    Market Talk-s-p-500-png
    Market Talk-dwcpf-png

    The sideways action we experienced not long ago is fading away as price continued to post fresh highs on the current uptrend.

    Market Talk-nyad-png

    Breadth continues to look very good.

    NAAIM report tomorrow.

    I remain bullish.
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  4. Price Rises Again - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    We got more up/down action today, but the bulls closed out the session near or at the high of day.

    Market Talk-s-p-500-png
    Market Talk-dwcpf-png

    Price posted fresh highs again. For reference, the peak on the S&P is still about 100 points higher.

    Market Talk-nyad-png

    Breadth hit a fresh high as well and remains bullish.

    I remain bullish.
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  5. Fresh Highs - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The bulls came out swinging today, as price gapped higher and stayed elevated throughout the trading day.

    Market Talk-s-p-500-png
    Market Talk-dwcpf-png

    The charts are sporting fresh highs on a bit more volume.

    Market Talk-nyad-png

    Breadth remains bullish.

    It hasn't been a rocket ride, but NAAIM's bullishness has been correct as far as the market is concerned.

    I remain bullish.
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SPY (C Fund) (delayed)

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DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

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BND (F Fund) (delayed)

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Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes