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  1. Lessons From 2008's Market

    Lessons learned from a rough 2008.

    1.Keep adequate cash on hand at all times.

    • Were it not for us contributing to our FSA’s and maintaining a positive balance in our savings account, those trips to the hospital in 2008 would have hit us pretty hard.

    2.Bubbles can go longer than fundamentally possible.

    • Markets react in extremes in both directions and the very good news/very bad news tends to come out at the top/bottom. Just think of where oil
    ...
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  2. When Will the Next Cyclical Bull Commence?

    If the bears could have taken it down past 740, then why didn't it happen yesterday or today?

    There are so many people who are still fighting the last war here. My cousin is buying a house here soon and he's going to get a $7500 tax rebate. Guys, this is like buying a house and not having to pay for closing costs. He's going to use that 'rebate' money to put a on a new roof, water heater and windows in the house (windows and water heaters also bring a tax rebate).

    The ...

    Updated 02-19-2009 at 05:48 PM by Bullitt

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  3. Of Bottoms, Tops, Buys and Sells

    So the market has quickly rallied some 30% from it's low of 666 & change, and the mood is brighter than it was six months ago, but are things really any better? The 30% rally only means something if you actually bought somewhere below 700 and are either still holding on or cut out with a 20% or so gain. Even if you did manage to pull it off, your portfolio is still probably down some 40% from last year, right?

    Things are actually probably worse in many ways compared to 6 months ago ...
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  4. The trend has changed direction.

    Sunday, May 17, 2009
    <o></o>
    Good morning everyone.
    <o></o>
    I hope you enjoy my first blog, feel free to chime in. My trading strategy is simple.
    <o></o>
    1. Know the trend direction. The trend is always right, until proven wrong.
    2. Stay humble. It doesn’t matter if you’re wrong, it matters how long you are wrong.
    3. To determine trend direction & strength I use Fibonacci levels, Simple Moving
    ...
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  5. Different time frames tell different stories.

    Last night the futures were down, so I cracked open a 15 minute chart and looked to see where the downside action could go. In yellow, I drew in what I thought to be two deformed Head & Shoulders whose angles of descent were exactly the same.

    My theory was that the bigger H&S would follow the same path as its little brother and sure enough, (1 second gloat ) the pattern met my expectations.


    For tomorrow's action I'm keeping in mind the last time ...
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