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Mega cap tech earnings helped to elevate large cap indices this week leaving small caps and rational bears behind. The C-fund ended Friday with its second straight month of gains. That was not a shared accomplishment with the S-fund which has slipped in price for the third straight month. This discrepancy between the two U.S. indices is an example of how it is the larger companies that are keeping the economy from a recession. But how long can they hold the weight themselves?
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Investors took Wednesday's reported earnings from META (aka Facebook) on top of Tuesday's reports from Microsoft and Google (aka Alphabet) and ran out of reasons to be bearish. When you run out of sellers you get rallies. Reminder that JP Morgan said 95% of its investors believed stocks would fall this year. That's not what all sentiment surveys are saying, but it suggested there was plenty of cash available to see some buying, and FANG / MAGA is giving them a reason to buy. Now, we have to ...

Stocks got off to a good start on Wednesday following the strong earnings reports from Microsoft and Google, but after recovering some of Tuesday's losses, the indices flipped over. The Nasdaq did hold onto a solid gain because of those tech earnings, but the broader indices were down, particularly the Transports, for a second straight day. Yields were up (bond prices down) and the dollar was down.

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Stocks sold off on Tuesday with financial stocks breaking some charts below key support levels. The Dow lost 345-points and the selling was broad as we saw 5 decliners for every advancers on the NYSE, with 7 times more declining share volume than advancing. Earnings after the bell did bring some after hours buying in, which could be a boost today, but it could remain choppy out there if the next wave of big earnings isn't as good as Tuesday's release. Hundreds of companies will be reporting this ...

Another quiet choppy day to start the week as we head into today's first wave of big tech earnings after the bell. The Dow gained 66-points, the S&P was up slightly, the Nasdaq and small caps were down, and the EFA / I-fund was up as the dollar seems to be on the move lower again. Bonds and the F-fund were up as yields slipped lower.

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