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Seasonality further propelled stocks to higher highs this week but offbeat action on the short Friday strengthened the bear argument of coming weakness. Both the bulls and the bears may be hoping for some pull-back next week. Stocks are becoming overbought so a pull-back would set up entry points for optimistic bulls while confirming the bear's inclination that markets have reached their peaks. But markets can be unreasonable and chaotic. Those you have held stocks this year or even just the last ...

Stocks were up on Wednesday with the Dow gaining a modest 42-points, but we saw more robust gains from the broader indices like the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and small caps. The Transports however were down on the day, and the a rally in the dollar put a little pressure on the I-fund. Today could be a give-back day, as you'll see below, but the Friday after Thanksgiving has historically been another day for the bulls.

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Stocks were up again on Tuesday so the early Thanksgiving week lull did not materialize. Does that mean the normally strong two days surrounding Thanksgiving won't be as good as "normal?" The Dow gained a modest 55-points and we saw a quarter percent gains in most of the indices on another quiet day - although decent volume, of trading. Typically a little sideways action would seem likely after the recent pop up, but it is not a typical couple of days coming ...

Stocks gapped up on Monday morning, held on all day, and closed with some strong gains. The Dow gained a healthy 191-points, or 0.68%, but some of the broader indices like the Nasdaq, small caps, and the Transports grabbed some big gains. It was interesting to see bonds up as well since it felt like a "risk on" kind of day, and bonds tend to get sold on those days.
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Stocks rallied on Friday and repaired most of the losses from earlier in the week but the three TSP stock funds did end up with slight to modest losses for the week for the first time in over a month. The Dow gained 109-points after stocks survived a sharp early sell-off.

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