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TSP Talk Blog

This and that about the market, the TSP, maybe some politics, and life.

  1. A breakout of sorts, but another fade into the close

    Saturday's Preakness race horses can only hope they shoot out of the staring gate as quickly as stocks did at yesterday's opening bell. The quick rally took many by surprise, particularly the bears who were looking for the 50-day EMA to hold the recent rally back. There was a meaningful decline in afternoon trading that took the indices well off their highs, but they all closed with solid gains. The Dow added 215-points on the day and we saw gains of 0.80% or more across many of the major indices. ...
  2. Another positive reversal

    Stocks opened sharply lower on Wednesday and it was the second straight day where stocks opened near their lows of the day, only to be bought up by the dip buyers. Also like Tuesday, there was a bit of a fade into the close, but nothing that would trigger a negative reversal day. On the contrary. It didn't feel all that comfortable, but technically it was another positive outside reversal day for the S&P 500 as it opened below Tuesday's lows, and made a higher high above Tuesday's highs, and ...
  3. Modest rebound

    Stocks stopped the bleeding for a day picking up a healthy gain on Tuesday, but some late selling took the steam out of the bulls' run. The Dow, up over 360-points at one time, settled for a gain of 207-points and both the Dow and S&P added about 0.80% on the day. The Nasdaq, Transports, and small caps led with gains over 1%. President Trump tried to calm the trade concerns so we saw some dip buying, but there's work to be done.

  4. Tariff fallout

    Stocks were down as soon as the futures market opened on Sunday evening, and never looked back. The trade war is in full gear now and we're seeing some of the ramifications. We know we could be a tweet or headline away from a reversal, but barring that, stock prices were being adjusted for the new higher tariffs. The Dow lost 617-points on the day, or 2.38%. The S&P had a similar loss while the more volatile Nasdaq and small caps 3% or more.

  5. Positive reversals last week, but volatility remainsl high

    Stocks were down sharply on Friday morning, but once again the bulls were able to stop the bleeding, held the indices at key support levels, and muster another impressive positive reversal. The Dow, down 360-points at the lows, closed up 114-points. It did turn out to be the worst week for the S&P 500 this year, but it was a lot worse about 4 hours before the close on Friday, so we head into Monday with the bulls having some momentum.

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