FREE NFL POOL 2011 (it's easy)

[tsptalk]

Hi all -

I am starting a "Last Man Standing" NFL pool (the software I am using actually calls it a Survivor pool - same thing).

It's very easy - Here's how it works

You pick one team to win each week (no pointspreads). If they lose, you are eliminated. A win or tie and you move on. The only catch is, you can't use the same team more than once during the year.

You must get your pick in by the weekly deadline - before the first game each Sunday. Early games must be picked before they start. All picks will be hidden until the game has begun (for early games) or the until the first game on Sunday.

If you fail to make a pick, you get the team that is the largest favorite for the week (that you have not used already).

Please try to incorporate your TSP Talk message board username in your Team Name in the pool so we know who you are... But non-TSP Talk members are welcome too.

Good luck to everyone. If you have any questions, please contact me via Private Message (PM) (http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/private.php?do=newpm&u=1) or contact us via email (support AT tsptalk DOT com) or use the "contact us" link in the menu on the left on www.tsptalk.com (http://www.tsptalk.com/).

— Tom Crowley
tsptalk
---------------------------------------------------------

Instructions for joining the pool entitled 'TSP Talk NFL Pool'
************************************************** *********
If you are interested in joining the pool, pleasefollow these steps:

1. Go to http://www.runyourpool.com/join.cfm (http://www.runyourpool.com/join.cfm)

2. Enter the following information:
a. In the PoolID box, enter the number 13188
b. In the PoolPassword box, enter 'tspnfl' (That's TSPNFL without the single quotes)

3. Fill out the form information, including a personalusername and password. (Rest assured, this information will NOT be sold orutilized for spam email under ANY circumstances.) Please try to incorporate your TSP Talk message board username in your Team Name in the pool so we know who you are... But non-TSP Talk members can join too.

4. Make your picks, with the ability to change them right up until the weekly deadline.

It's that easy. If you have any questions, let me know or e-mail runyourpool.com directly at support@runyourpool.com (support@runyourpool.com).

DEADLINE to SIGN UP: September 11, 2011 at 10:00 AM ET

[tsptalk]

DEADLINE to SIGN UP: September 11, 2011 at 10:00 AM ET

1st Place (Last Man / Woman Standing) = $100.00 and a TSP Talk Travel Mug

2nd Place = TSP Talk Travel Mug

3rd Place = TSP Talk Travel Mug


Be careful! One 1 loss and you're out!

[burrocrat]

ok, i'm in.

if i can't win a coffee cup judicously exercising my IFT's, then maybe i can win one blindly betting on football.

or was it the other way around?

anyway, i signed up and it's free.

[jpcavin]

ok, i'm in.

if i can't win a coffee cup judicously exercising my IFT's, then maybe i can win one blindly betting on football.

or was it the other way around?

anyway, i signed up and it's free.

Oh. I see. You don't think I can win another one!:toung:

[burrocrat]

just spreading the risk.

i really want one of those bad, but it's not the same if you just buy it.

i tried to earn one by being funny, but that hasn't worked out so good either.

[PessOptimist]

Burro, if you want one that bad, maybe we can take up a collection here. What do they cost? Tom could just give you one because he's a good guy, but then everyone would demand one. Link us to the store.

[burrocrat]

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showthread.php?3278-The-Monthly-Prizes

that is where you can see merchandise, but i still can't find the 'tsp store - check out now' button.

don't matter right now anyway because i can't afford it and ain't gonna win one soon either.

maybe there's an app for that, or whatever apple calls their shopping gizmo thingy.

[burrocrat]

i can't really decide, it's either that cup or the hat, because nnuut don't wear them.

[Murphys_Law]

Get my mug ready. I'm in. :)

[burrocrat]

so i had this dream last night and i think it goes like this, all i gotta do is call heads or tails right about sixteen times in a row.

how much easier could it be? i wonder what the odds are on that? if any of you actually attended statistics class regulary in college please enlighten me.

maybe the new labor agreement changed the numbers around a bit, but the theory is the same.

either you're right, or you're gone. easy peasy.

[tom1tom1]

I'm ready for some football so I'm all in!

[tsptalk]

so i had this dream last night and i think it goes like this, all i gotta do is call heads or tails right about sixteen times in a row.

how much easier could it be? i wonder what the odds are on that? if any of you actually attended statistics class regulary in college please enlighten me.

maybe the new labor agreement changed the numbers around a bit, but the theory is the same.

either you're right, or you're gone. easy peasy.
From my poker playing days: You multiply probabilities so the odds of getting a coin flip correct 16 times in a row is:

.50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 = .0000153

1 / .0000153 = 65,359. So you would do that 1 in 65,359 times. Subtract 1 to get odds of:

65,358 to 1.

You should sell that system. :)

By the way, I won a poker tournament in Nevada last weekend. :cool: Just say'in. :D

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/090311a.gif

[burrocrat]

congrats on the win! what game? i hope they didn't take taxes out, you should have plenty of charitable deductions for all the work you do around here.

65k ~ 1 ? shoot, i didn't think it was going to be that hard. looks like i got my work cut out for me then, maybe i can cut them odds some with a little due dilegence.

naahh, just kidding, that would take all the fun out of it. i'm going to go with my usual emotion and luck strategery, but i expect different results this time.

[tsptalk]

congrats on the win! what game?
Thanks - Hold'em

[grandma]

By the way, I won a poker tournament in Nevada last weekend. :cool: Just say'in. :D

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/090311a.gif
Whoa! Flashy! - ...wearing it for `luck' at the next tournament? -don't get cocky, though, watching it flash back at you!
And my Congratulations to you, Tom! :D

p.s. - is that `hold'em' related to the tspboard theory on what we are supposed to be doing with our stocks? :)

[nnuut]

From my poker playing days: You multiply probabilities so the odds of getting a coin flip correct 16 times in a row is:

.50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 = .0000153

1 / .0000153 = 65,359. So you would do that 1 in 65,359 times. Subtract 1 to get odds of:

65,358 to 1.

You should sell that system. :)

By the way, I won a poker tournament in Nevada last weekend. :cool: Just say'in. :D

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/090311a.gif
You're the MAN, I can't win crap in LV! :sick::sick:

[burrocrat]

ok, before i make my week 1 pick, someone please help me understand the research? i never was any good at sports, or betting.

patriots at -7.5 means dolphins lose by more than 7 points? do the always list the visitor first and does a negative number mean the home team will win by at least that much?

or

really dude, you think the raiders can stop the broncos from kicking their but by less than that much?

seriously, i'm gonna need a little help here.

15259

[Happy_Trails]

ok, before i make my week 1 pick, someone please help me understand the research? i never was any good at sports, or betting.

patriots at -7.5 means dolphins lose by more than 7 points? do the always list the visitor first and does a negative number mean the home team will win by at least that much?

or

really dude, you think the raiders can stop the broncos from kicking their but by less than that much?

seriously, i'm gonna need a little help here.

15259

Yes, if the Dolphins are within 7.5 points, they win. So, Patriots 20 Dolphins 13 would be a win for the Dolphins. Add 7.5 to 13 = 20.5 and they cover the spread.

[wvango]

Just remember that for the TSP NFL Pool we are picking straight out winners (no pointspreads). You just use the spread to assit you in picking your one out right winner per week.

[tsptalk]

ok, before i make my week 1 pick, someone please help me understand the research? i never was any good at sports, or betting.

patriots at -7.5 means dolphins lose by more than 7 points? do the always list the visitor first and does a negative number mean the home team will win by at least that much?

or

really dude, you think the raiders can stop the broncos from kicking their but by less than that much?

seriously, i'm gonna need a little help here.

15259
To reiterate what has been said - Yes the -7.5 means the Patriots are favored to win the game in your example, but as wvando said, the pointspread is not a factor in this pool. Just pick the winner of the game. The spread is only a guide in this case, as to who is favored to win.

And it looks like the way it displayed in your example, that the the home team is on the right. The team after the "At". :)

[bmneveu]

im signed up!

[burrocrat]

ok, before i make my week 1 pick, someone please help me understand the research? i never was any good at sports, or betting.

patriots at -7.5 means dolphins lose by more than 7 points? do the always list the visitor first and does a negative number mean the home team will win by at least that much?

or

really dude, you think the raiders can stop the broncos from kicking their but by less than that much?

seriously, i'm gonna need a little help here.

15259

ok i think i got it now, number is not the odds win/lose, but how many points you give up/are spotted vs. other team, right?

so patriots -7.5 at dolphins means patriots are favored to win by more than a TD and PAT,

and raiders +3.5 at broncos means broncos are favored to win by more than a FG.

if that's what the numbers mean then i think i got a free coffee mug in my future.

[burrocrat]

I see the pollsite says I'm still alive, probably because I didn't make my pick yet, although 2/3 already did, so I better get on it.

oh forget it, all the thinking about numbers was making the noggin hurt.

i'm just going with my favorite team ever, because if they don't win then i lose interest in the rest of the season, and if they do win then I never have to decide whether to bet with them or against them later, which could present quite the moral quandry and i try to avoid those.

whew, i'm glad that's over with.

[shitepoke]

easy eh- tell me how to do it...

[burrocrat]

easy eh- tell me how to do it...

near as i can tell you have to pick the winner, everytime, but only once each.

[tsptalk]

easy eh- tell me how to do it...
How to...? What?

Sign up? (http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showthread.php?9873-FREE-NFL-POOL-2011-(it-s-easy)&p=329573#post329573)

Pick a team? Ask Burro. :)

[SteveTSP]

I was going to join for the sport of it, but I just found out the winner wins something! I am all in!

[tsptalk]

I see we lost 2 already with the Saints losing last night. :blink: It's a brutal, unforgiving game. At least when we lose in the stock market, it can come back. Not in this pool. :)

[burrocrat]

Well the Steeler's are off to a great start... thanks Bubmlin Ben.

I can't believe only me and Warrior picked them.

Oh ye of little faith.

[tsptalk]

Well the Steeler's are off to a great start... thanks Bubmlin Ben.

I can't believe only me and Warrior picked them.

Oh ye of little faith.
That was fast. Looks like you need a different magic coin. :)

Cleveland was the top pick this week and they are in a close one. If we lose a lot of people in this first week (maybe 2 weeks) I may start a 2nd pool: 2nd Chance Last Man Standing - or something like that.

[burrocrat]

35-7, yeah that sucked.

c'mon cleveland lose!

[tsptalk]

c'mon cleveland lose!
Cleveland is toast, and K.C. lost. 2 of the top 4 picks are out - and the other two haven't even played yet.

Looks like we'll need a 2nd chance pool. :blink:

[burrocrat]

uhu, that's right, take that dogs!

if i don't get to be a gracious winner then i'm for dam sure gonna be a poor loser.

[PessOptimist]

It's a little late and anyone who cares likely all ready knows but DirecTV has a free NFL Sunday ticket deal for today only.

[Appatite]

Well, that really sucked.

I pick winning football teams like I pick winning TSP funds.

[konakathy]

uhu, that's right, take that dogs!

if i don't get to be a gracious winner then i'm for dam sure gonna be a poor loser.


uhu... that's right..... little red birdies won!

pog mo thoin, loszaaaaaaaa!

bow chicka wahhhaaa wahhhaaa :laugh:

[burrocrat]

Mommie, Konakathy's gloating again.

This game is stupid anyway, I'm not playing anymore. And I'm not going to share my lego's neither.

[PessOptimist]

Cleveland is toast, and K.C. lost. 2 of the top 4 picks are out - and the other two haven't even played yet.

Looks like we'll need a 2nd chance pool. :blink:


Tom, don't change the rules. Let those that played take their lumps. If no one is left, so be it.

[bmneveu]

damn, i picked KC.. Who imagined the Bills putting up 41 points?!

[eccougar]

I picked KC also and they were favored by 8 points.

damn, i picked KC.. Who imagined the Bills putting up 41 points?!

[Happy_Trails]

I knew the first week was going to be rough. Anything can happen week 1. Cardinals win, Cardinals win! Now if only I could pick the right time to be in stocks.

[Viva_La_Migra]

I knew the first week was going to be rough. Anything can happen week 1. Cardinals win, Cardinals win! Now if only I could pick the right time to be in stocks.
I picked the Cardinals too. It looked like the safest bet, though nothing is guaranteed in the NFL.

[tsptalk]

I picked the Cardinals too. It looked like the safest bet, though nothing is guaranteed in the NFL.
It was a little too close for comfort for me. The Panthers outplayed Arizona and gave that one to them. I'll take it, though. It was my pick too. :)

[Viva_La_Migra]

It was a little too close for comfort for me. The Panthers outplayed Arizona and gave that one to them. I'll take it, though. It was my pick too. :)
Great minds think alike!;)

[Happy_Trails]

Great minds think alike!;)

I was surprised how close it was - Cam Newton did a lot better than anyone suspected he would.

[Atarrin]

Picked the 'Pats. Still alive...

[tsptalk]

Picked the 'Pats. Still alive...
They looked good. I'm glad I still have them in my arsenal. (but the Jets will beat them :D).

[Viva_La_Migra]

They looked good. I'm glad I still have them in my arsenal. (but the Jets will beat them :D).
Speaking of which, I picked the Jets this week.;)

[jpcavin]

Not playing this game but here are my picks for the week.
Lions, Steelers, Colts, Ravens, Vikings, Packers, Bills, Saints, Redskins, Jets, Cowboys, Patriots, Texans, Broncos, Falcons, Giants.
I was 8-8 last week. Hope to do better this week.

[grandma]

.... here are my picks for the week.
Lions, Steelers, Colts, Ravens, Vikings, Packers, Bills, Saints, Redskins, Jets, Cowboys, Patriots, Texans, Broncos, Falcons, Giants.

You know if you were to pick the Patriots (in Tom's game) you won't be able to in the final game of the season...:cheesy:

[Atarrin]

I'd be curious to know after tonight what % of players have been eliminated.

[jpcavin]

You know if you were to pick the Patriots (in Tom's game) you won't be able to in the final game of the season...:cheesy:
Playing Tom's game would work against me since I don't know how to pick mediocre teams to win.

[tsptalk]

I'd be curious to know after tonight what % of players have been eliminated.
88 still alive (3 have the Giants tonight)
58 eliminated (only 4 eliminated this week so far - 54 last week)

[Atarrin]

88 still alive (3 have the Giants tonight)
58 eliminated (only 4 eliminated this week so far - 54 last week)

Thanks for the update!

[grandma]

well - it is nice to see that I am `still alive,' and that the Giants won for you Monday night guys! :laugh:
http://www.runyourpool.com/survivor/standings_v2.cfm

[Viva_La_Migra]

Still alive. Thank God the Chiefs wanted to lose more than the Chargers did!:p

[Atarrin]

Still alive, but I found choosing this week's pick to be more difficult.

[tsptalk]

Did everyone get their week 4 pick in? Good luck!

[Viva_La_Migra]

Did everyone get their week 4 pick in? Good luck!
I figured, since we're in a bear market, I'd take the Bears this week. It worked, but it wasn't pretty.

How many people have we lost this week so far?

[tsptalk]

How many people have we lost this week so far?
6 were knocked out this week with 8 people having Tampa Bay tonight.

62 left
83 eliminated

[grandma]

Boo Hoo !!!!:(

[Happy_Trails]

May the Eagles lose the rest of their games this season and no, I'm not bitter.

[tsptalk]

And then there were 11 - and 5 of them can still be eliminated this week.

[konakathy]

Damn! That was a wipe - out !

Guess I won't waste my money at a sports book.

[Viva_La_Migra]

Damn you Eli Manning!:mad:

[Kaufmanrider]

At least I am on the top of some leader board?


Kaufmanrider

[Atarrin]

Damn you Eli Manning!:mad:

+1 :(

[Nordic]

G-men let me down yesterday, what a choke job that was at home. Wiped out most of us on that one, ouch. Can't believe it, looked like the safest pick on the entire board this week....any given Sunday. :notrust:

[SteveTSP]

I can not see how many are left since I can't view the pool web page from work. Could someone reply with how many are still alive in the pool?

[burrocrat]

Eleven

15694

[SteveTSP]

Eleven

15694

Thanks for posting. The unknown was killing me! Steve

[Happy_Trails]

The saints game was close to - that one looked kind of like a no brainer like the Giants game. Already down to 11 - at the rate we're going, Tom, you may need to start a new pool at midseason. And yes, I am very happy that the Eagles lost to the Bills and I'm still not bitter. :laugh:

[tsptalk]

And then there were 9. There's also one player that has a team going tonight.

[grandma]

...... There's also one player that has a team going tonight.
Ahh, yes, indeedy ! and wasn't that a nice ending !!! :D

[grandma]

tom, I had picked the NY jets for tonight, yet what I read in the pool thing at this time is that I am eliminated. Is there a way you can backtrack & see my pick & check that out for me? thanx -

[tsptalk]

We thought we lost one last week but we're still down to 9. SteveTSP says he picked Dallas but somehow ended up with Oakland. I believe him. I have seen a few weird things with the software in the revival pool.

Make sure that anyone still left checks the pick right before the games and let me know if you see any problems. TY

[SteveTSP]

We thought we lost one last week but we're still down to 9. SteveTSP says he picked Dallas but somehow ended up with Oakland. I believe him. I have seen a few weird things with the software in the revival pool.

Make sure that anyone still left checks the pick right before the games and let me know if you see any problems. TY

Tom,
Thanks for taking my word. As far as the software, I usually do not pick early in the week but I did last week on Wednesday for both pools. I selected Dallas for the first pool and for the revival I selected Baltimore (sure thing right!) for Monday night. I was concerned that I picked too early but rushed home on Sunday at 12:30 and went into both pools to ensure that my picks were noted. I entered both pools from my tablet and Dallas and Baltimore were double checked as my picks for this past weekend. I logged out of each pool after looking at the pick screen which had my picks highlighted in yellow. I did not select the picks again and backed out of that menu and logged out. I repeated that process on both pools and somehow I ended with with Oakland in both pools sometime after that (no clue when it changed). I am not sure what I did wrong other than not reselecting my picks which were already highlighted. I am pretty sure I have done this same process one or two weeks in the past but I was uneasy with such an early selection on Wednesday so I thought I would perform a check. I think I need to go back in at the top level (before entering the specific pool) and review the status at that screen rather than going into each pool. I will watch it closely this week but based on last night I only have to worry about one pool since my home team (Ravans season ticket holder) failed to get off the bus in Jacksonville.
I appreciate your consideration and to other pool members concerns since I was shocked last night to see my status with a selection of Oakland for both pools when I returned home. My work computer blocks the web site so I was casually surfing last night before the game and when I saw the pool results, I couldn't believe what happened since I thought I went the extra step on Sunday at 12:30 to double check. Good luck to everyone in the pools, it makes Sunday and Monday more interesting even when your favorite team is getting their butts kicked.
Baltimore fan forever, Steve

[tsptalk]

Did everyone get their pick in?

[bmneveu]

Got mine in. Won with Houston!

[tom1tom1]

Also went with the Texans and glad I didnt pick the chiefs!

[tsptalk]

Down to 5... and me and my son are still in. He really wants that $100. :D

One of the other remaining 3 (BoomiesPack) hasn't made a pick in 4 weeks (taking the default each time).

[tsptalk]

1st Place (Last Man / Woman Standing) = $100.00 and a TSP Talk Travel Mug

2nd Place = TSP Talk Travel Mug

3rd Place = TSP Talk Travel Mug

Well, we were down to 5 in this original pool and all 5 got knocked out this weekend. I had not thought of this type of situation but I guess we can do this one of two ways:

1) We can do it like a golf tournament when players tie for 2nd place or lower and the prizes are divided among the tied players. That would be $20 each plus a travel mug for all.

2) Or, we can go to a tie breaker and have the 5 teams keep going.


If you are one of thos 5, what would you prefer to do?

I will also send an email to the remaining teams.

[tsptalk]

1) We can do it like a golf tournament when players tie for 2nd place or lower and the prizes are divided among the tied players. That would be $20 each plus a travel mug for all.

2) Or, we can go to a tie breaker and have the 5 teams keep going.

I haven't heard from 2 of the remaining 5 but so far we are leaning toward a tie-breaker and keeping it going. If the other 2 don't respond here or to the email I sent, then tomorrow I will see if I can reopen the pool so the 5 tied players can make picks.

[meltuna]

I say keep going if possible. Thanks for your website and the pool(its been fun). Jim Maloney

[tsptalk]

OK the tie Breaker is on! Final 5, make your picks. Good luck!



Well, we were down to 5 in this original pool and all 5 got knocked out this weekend. I had not thought of this type of situation but I guess we can do this one of two ways:

1) We can do it like a golf tournament when players tie for 2nd place or lower and the prizes are divided among the tied players. That would be $20 each plus a travel mug for all.

2) Or, we can go to a tie breaker and have the 5 teams keep going.


If you are one of thos 5, what would you prefer to do?

I will also send an email to the remaining teams.

[tsptalk]

5 still alive in this original pool. That one guy who has taken the default team for the last several weeks is starting to annoy me (since I'm one of the 5). :D

[tsptalk]

Down to 3 here and yes, my son and I are 2 of the 3. Very fishy, huh? If Green Bay did not hit the last second field goal against the Giants yesterday, it could have been just me and my son - if the Giants were able to win in OT.

Garnet Greer,
Tom (tsptalk),
Tommy

We finally lost Boomiespack, who hadn't made a pick in months.

Also, "Jim" was eliminated, but I will give him a travel mug for coming in 3rd, since I won't count myself as part of the top 3. I'll contact you when it's all over. Oh, and "Jim" is also one of the 5 left in the revival pool (http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showthread.php?10002-Revival-NFL-Last-Man-Standing-Pool).

[tsptalk]

And then there were 2. I was this week's victim.

[tsptalk]

Reminder that most games are on Saturday this weekend so get your picks in early.

[tsptalk]

Congratulations to my son for being the Last Man Standing!

There goes my tax deduction as I'll probably have to give him cash. :D

2nd place go to "Garnet G". I took 3rd place so I will pay the BoomsiesPack and Jim M who tied for 4th.

Please Private Message (PM) (http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/private.php?do=newpm&u=1) or email (http://www.tsptalk.com/images/email_support.gif)me your shipping info to claim your travel mugs!

[Intrepid_Timer]

Congratulations to my son for being the Last Man Standing!

There goes my tax deduction as I'll probably have to give him cash. :D

2nd place go to "Garnet G". I took 3rd place so I will pay the BoomsiesPack and Jim M who tied for 4th.

Please PM or email me your shipping info to claim your travel mugs!

Congrats to little Tom!! Can he give us some stock picks? :)

[Nordic]

Tom - Are you planning on having the Last Man Standing NFL Pool in 2012? I had a blast with it last year.

[Kaufmanrider]

Tom - Are you planning on having the Last Man Standing NFL Pool in 2012? I had a blast with it last year.

I did too. Until I lost:toung: Willing to try again this year.

[tsptalk]

Tom - Are you planning on having the Last Man Standing NFL Pool in 2012? I had a blast with it last year.
Sure. I'll look into getting it started. When's the first game? :embarrest:

[ILoveTDs]

A week from tomorrow.

[konakathy]

Everyone can "pog mo thoin" this year!!!

Just sayin' :notrust:

[tsptalk]

The 2012 Pool has started. (http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/site-news-announcements/12902-last-man-standing-nfl-pool-2012-its-easy-free.html)