PDA

View Full Version : As China's Losses Mount, Confidence Turns to Fear



Silverbird
11-05-2008, 08:49 AM
SHENZHEN, China -- When Chong Yik Toy Co. went bankrupt, the bosses fled without meeting their payroll and angry workers took to the streets in protest. Less than 72 hours later, the local government came to the rescue.

Armed with bags full of cash totaling half a million dollars, accountants began distributing the money so the 900 former employees would have something to get by on. The Chinese officials who made the emergency payments on Oct. 21 called it an "advance," part of a "back-pay insurance fund."

But the reality was obvious to everyone: It was a government bailout.
In the initial weeks of the global financial crisis, Chinese officials resolutely declared that they were not significantly affected. But now, as factory closings, dire corporate earnings reports and stock market losses continue to mount, the Communist Party's confidence has changed to another feeling entirely: fear.

For the first time in the 30 years since China began its capitalist transformation, there is a perception that the economy is in real trouble. And for the Communist Party, the crisis is not just an economic one, but a political one. The government's response offers a glimpse into its still ambiguous relationship with capitalism -- relatively hands-off in good times, but quick to intervene directly at the first signs of a downturn in order to prevent popular unrest.

In recent weeks, local governments have set up special loans for ailing companies and initiated severance payments for workers who have already lost their jobs. Officials are candid in acknowledging the efforts are needed to head off what they call "mass incidents" -- the Communist Party euphemism for protests.

The economic devastation has been worst in the industrial centers of southern China, areas that had thrived in recent decades by producing the electronics, clothing, toys and furniture that fill retail stores in the United States.

With export orders falling because of the global slowdown and rising raw material and labor costs, more than 68,000 small companies nationwide collapsed in the first half of 2008 and about 2.5 million jobs in the Pearl River Delta (http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/related/topic/Pearl+River+Delta?tid=informline) region may be lost by the end of the year, according to government and industry estimates......
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/11/03/AR2008110303486.html

Steadygain
11-05-2008, 09:01 AM
But the reality was obvious to everyone: It was a government bailout. In the initial weeks of the global financial crisis, Chinese officials resolutely declared that they were not significantly affected. But now, as factory closings, dire corporate earnings reports and stock market losses continue to mount, the Communist Party's confidence has changed to another feeling entirely: fear.

For the first time in the 30 years since China began its capitalist transformation, there is a perception that the economy is in real trouble.

2 Points:
1) It is a system based on 'greed' - 'corruption' - and forces all participants into a 'global network'
2) A Weapon of Financial Mass Destruction will hit every Nation on the globe. Now we recognize how similar they are to the USA; doing their best to 'cover the truth'until they can no longer hide it.

This won't go away overnight; but most of us realize that. :worried:

Silverbird
11-05-2008, 09:09 AM
The Communist Government used to rule with the "Iron Rice Bowl". But that didn't work. Then they turned to the "favors" system locally, encouraging free wheeling, no holds barred Capitalism, while trying to appear on the world stage as a responsible world player.

Anyone want to buy Chinese made goods right now? :sick: China is dependent on the developed economies as a market and on multinationals as a source of employment. The illusion is broken. The Party no longer has the answers.

Steadygain
11-05-2008, 09:16 AM
The Communist Government used to rule with the "Iron Rice Bowl". But that didn't work. Then they turned to the "favors" system locally, encouraging free wheeling, no holds barred Capitalism, while trying to appear on the world stage as a responsible world player.

Anyone want to buy Chinese made goods right now? :sick: China is dependent on the developed economies as a market and on multinationals as a source of employment. The illusion is broken. The Party no longer has the answers.

Thank you ! Silverbird ;):)

I am amazed with your clarity and I very much enjoy someone who is willing to call it as it is and not beat around the bush.

It is a broken world altogehter - the illusion was never there for me 'at least in regards to China' - but Iceland and other regions that were hit far worse; I really feel for them.

God bless and have a wonderful day.