I'm new here!

[gatrhumpy]

OK, so a co-worker turned me onto this site. I have been lurking for a couple of hours now, and it seems a lot of people are very knowledgeable when it comes to TSP stuff.

About the ebbtracker. I have been looking at it, and I'm very confused at what some of the numbers mean. For example, it seems the author is somewhat contradictory. He says that for tomorrow (Friday, August 31st), that the I fund is bad (hence the stop), but that you should still keep 100% of your money in the I fund? I'm confused. What about the rest of the numbers? Why are some numbers positive (yield a positive return) while the color is red?

[ChemEng]

Welcome to the boards! Good luck with growing your TSP!

[budnipper1]

OK, so a co-worker turned me onto this site. I have been lurking for a couple of hours now, and it seems a lot of people are very knowledgeable when it comes to TSP stuff.

About the ebbtracker. I have been looking at it, and I'm very confused at what some of the numbers mean. For example, it seems the author is somewhat contradictory. He says that for tomorrow (Friday, August 31st), that the I fund is bad (hence the stop), but that you should still keep 100% of your money in the I fund? I'm confused. What about the rest of the numbers? Why are some numbers positive (yield a positive return) while the color is red?

Welcome gatrhumpy...
Read the whole ebbtracker page and you will find the answers to your questions. (Also look for this notes about contrarian moves.)
http://www.tsptalk.com/ebbchart.html

[gatrhumpy]

Welcome to the boards! Good luck with growing your TSP!

Thanks. Do you know of a thread that explains all the numbers and stuff about the ebbtracker? I'm interested in the details about how it works.

[gatrhumpy]

Welcome gatrhumpy...
Read the whole ebbtracker page and you will find the answers to your questions. (Also look for this notes about contrarian moves.)
http://www.tsptalk.com/ebbchart.html

Meh. I'm still somewhat confused.

Does anyone use Excel to track their investments and use numbers to calculate stuff (percentage return, etc.)?

[budnipper1]

:D OK, it's going to take some time to absorb all the info on TSPTalk. It will start making sense after you've had time to browse through everything. As far as how the Ebbtracker works, you'd have to ask Ebb about that. For me, it's not that important. The track records speaks for itself. I suggest that you go to Ebb's talk thread and post your questions about his system. Here's the link:
http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showthread.php?t=2949

[gatrhumpy]

:D OK, it's going to take some time to absorb all the info on TSPTalk. It will start making sense after you've had time to browse through everything. As far as how the Ebbtracker works, you'd have to ask Ebb about that. For me, it's not that important. The track records speaks for itself. I suggest that you go to Ebb's talk thread and post your questions about his system. Here's the link:
http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showthread.php?t=2949

Thanks.

[jayhawker]

Meh. I'm still somewhat confused.

Does anyone use Excel to track their investments and use numbers to calculate stuff (percentage return, etc.)?

The 2007 TSP Returns Calculator is here (http://www.tsptalk.com/utilities.html). It's an Excel spreadsheet to track your TSP trades and returns.

Also, I invite you to try TSPLookup (http://www.tsptalk.com/tsplookup). :)

[SkyPilot]

As far as how the Ebbtracker works, you'd have to ask Ebb about that.
http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showthread.php?t=2949

It's Magic!

[tsptalk]

Welcome gatrhumpy! We were acquainted via PM, but I want to officially welcome you. :)

The ebbcahrt is based on backtesting results. Certain patterns of $ and stop signs, proved more profitable than others. The numbers are the returns of past allocations and historical chart pattern (red or green) results.

[gatrhumpy]

The 2007 TSP Returns Calculator is here (http://www.tsptalk.com/utilities.html). It's an Excel spreadsheet to track your TSP trades and returns.

Also, I invite you to try TSPLookup (http://www.tsptalk.com/tsplookup). :)

Holy crap! I'm only up 5.61% since I started tracking on January 3rd, 2007! Ugggggggggh.

[tsptalk]

That's not bad actually. The ebbchart is just in another league.

[gatrhumpy]

That's not bad actually. The ebbchart is just in another league.

I guess. I had 50% in the S fund and 50% in the I fund.

For tomorrow, I changed it up. 90% in the I fund and 10% in the S fund.

[Spaf]

The "ebbtracker" is a family secret recipe! Kind of like "Bush baked beans". However, if you know "Duke" he might give you a hint!.....:D......Only Ebb knows how it works. All we know is that it mows the green stuff!


Thanks. Do you know of a thread that explains all the numbers and stuff about the ebbtracker? I'm interested in the details about how it works.

[gatrhumpy]

The "ebbtracker" is a family secret recipe! Kind of like "Bush baked beans". However, if you know "Duke" he might give you a hint!.....:D......Only Ebb knows how it works. All we know is that it mows the green stuff!

I guess that's all I needed to hear!

[James48843]

Welcome Gatrhumpy (wow, I[ll have to learn how to spell that)

As to your question regarding why Ebb would signal to get out, but actually leave his money in, well, that is a good question.

Ebb started posting his system signals earlier this year. It's based on some good data timeperiods. But he also has had a few misses here and there. So he started revising one or two of the patterns- (was out, now is in on a contrarian move) based on the percentaes of times he has been right vs. wrong.

So I guess you could say he is fine tuning it.

And he's been right more often that he has been wrong. So he's gained a pretty good following.

he jsut recently started doing a few "contrantian moves", and most of the time those have been successful too.

Just watch for a while, and you'll get the picture.

Good luck!

[Eldritch Flatus]

Any monies you make using this site are earned monies. Earn while you learn. And I hate to be use contrite cliche's, but if you snooze you can loose.:nuts: Also you're going to hear (see) it a million times...You have to be in to win.:D

[James48843]

Newby Alert-

Everyone say hi to Sonic:

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showthread.php?p=113169#post113169

[gatrhumpy]

I put 10% of my money in the S fund and 90% in the I fund over the weekend, and I made about $317 over the weekend. I put it back into 100% of the G fund for today (Tuesday).

[Birchtree]

gatrhumpy,

I'll gladly lend you a pair of my stickey pants if you think they would help you. Otherwise, welcome to the cash bar.

[gatrhumpy]

gatrhumpy,

I'll gladly lend you a pair of my stickey pants if you think they would help you. Otherwise, welcome to the cash bar.


Huh?:confused:

[Sonic]

Welcome,
I'm new as well, a friend introduce me to this site and have been watching for a year. I appreciate the information they have available and hopefully I might have some feedback. My main goal is to retire a little more comfortable. Good luck with your moves. Currently 100% F. I like following EBB. He's been terriffic and saved me from some big losses.

[James48843]

Welcome Sonic-

Glad to see you found us. We hope you learn more about investing and develop a successful strategy for yourself.

Ebb seems to be on a roll, so you came in at a good time.

Best of luck for the future! And happy investing!

[Dodge_Em]

Hello Newbie,

Don't forget to educate yourself on the High's and Low's of the I -Fund.

The dreaded FV's that make you cry yourself to sleep. :cheesy:
It may have the top return from the funds but on days where there are huge gains ... You might be left on the short end of the pool.

Good Luck.

[gatrhumpy]

Last Tuesday I moved everything to the G fund, and saved myself from some huge losses. Ebbtracker seems to be on a roll now!

[EW_ret]

You can join our new Automated Tracker with just ten posts. Read the Automated Tracker Rules found in my signature. We lowered the post minimum for this new tracker because there is less administrative overhead, and members enter their own TSP fund allocations and transfers. When you have ten posts send me a Private Message (PM) with your email address. I will then set-up your user profile in the Automated Tracker.

[ATCJeff]

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