NewsFeeder
02-15-2019, 03:51 AM
The stock market is careening down a dangerous ‘slope of hope’
Consider the average recommended equity exposure among the Nasdaq-oriented market timers I monitor (as measured by the Hulbert Nasdaq Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HNNSI). Today, in contrast, in the wake of a 17%-plus gain in the S&P 500 (SPX)*and a 20%-plus rally in the Nasdaq (COMP) the HNNSI has risen to plus 73%. In other words, as you can see from the accompanying chart, in six weeks’ time this group of short-term stock-market timers has increased their average equity exposure by more than 140 percentage points: Away from being aggressively bearish (recommending that clients allocate three-fourths of their trading portfolios to short-selling) to being almost as aggressively bullish (now recommending that three-fourths of clients’ portfolios be long).
https://finance.yahoo.com/m/d5dd8ce5-b204-3d06-8d67-2f05e04766b0/the-stock-market-is-careening.html?.tsrc=rss
Consider the average recommended equity exposure among the Nasdaq-oriented market timers I monitor (as measured by the Hulbert Nasdaq Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HNNSI). Today, in contrast, in the wake of a 17%-plus gain in the S&P 500 (SPX)*and a 20%-plus rally in the Nasdaq (COMP) the HNNSI has risen to plus 73%. In other words, as you can see from the accompanying chart, in six weeks’ time this group of short-term stock-market timers has increased their average equity exposure by more than 140 percentage points: Away from being aggressively bearish (recommending that clients allocate three-fourths of their trading portfolios to short-selling) to being almost as aggressively bullish (now recommending that three-fourths of clients’ portfolios be long).
https://finance.yahoo.com/m/d5dd8ce5-b204-3d06-8d67-2f05e04766b0/the-stock-market-is-careening.html?.tsrc=rss