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tsptalk
08-01-2016, 09:04 AM
On Friday, August 5 we get the July jobs report. Make your predictions on the number of jobs gained / lost in the month (and the unemployment rate)...

You can't pick a number already taken and each guess must be rounded to 1000's. (ex: +201,000, -14,000, +195,000, +176,000, -5,000, etc. - no 100's)

There's a travel mug up for grabs for the closest pick.

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug10_small.gif

If the winner also guesses the unemployment number correctly, they can upgrade to the stainless mug if they'd like (so predict both)!

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug11_small.gif

We'll take predictions until 8:15 AM ET Friday morning, August 5

Thanks, and good luck!

Briefing.com's consensus estimates are looking for +185,000 and 4.8%.
uscfanhawaii
08-01-2016, 08:43 PM
+250K
4.7%
Mathion
08-02-2016, 06:17 AM
+220,000
4.8%
jkenjohnson
08-02-2016, 07:15 AM
+190,000 and 4.8%
01LUV
08-02-2016, 07:48 AM
+175,000 and 4.8%
quabit
08-02-2016, 09:54 AM
+163K and 4.8
FogSailing
08-02-2016, 02:42 PM
+169K and 4.8%

FS
evilanne
08-02-2016, 04:32 PM
+171K
4.9%
emily
08-03-2016, 09:44 AM
187K, 4.7%
Maricar19
08-03-2016, 10:32 AM
170k, 4.8%
nnuut
08-03-2016, 10:35 AM
260K 4.7%
franks71vw
08-04-2016, 05:54 AM
+185k
Skorcher
08-04-2016, 01:09 PM
+223K 4.8%:1244:
sgtbriangreen
08-04-2016, 08:00 PM
186K, 4.9%
tsptalk
08-05-2016, 07:42 AM
Actual: +255K, 4.9%

U.S. Stock Futures Rise After July Jobs Report - WSJ (http://www.wsj.com/articles/stocks-creep-higher-ahead-of-u-s-jobs-report-1470382739)

Winner ...


+250K
4.7%


260K 4.7%

We have a tie. nnuut and uscfanhawaii !

Nice job!

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug10_small.gif

Please PM or email me your shipping info!


Thank you for playing, everyone!
evilanne
08-05-2016, 09:34 AM
Congrats uscfanhawaii & nnuut!
Can you tell us how you beat all the economists with your prediction?
uscfanhawaii
08-05-2016, 12:57 PM
Congrats uscfanhawaii & nnuut!
Can you tell us how you beat all the economists with your prediction?

Thanks!

Of course it is just a guess. But I did think that last month was understated so this month might be overstated. The private numbers that came out yesterday were much lower so I thought that I would be out of the running. It's amazing that there is such a disparity between the private and gov't numbers! :D