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View Full Version : Jobs Report Contest - Nov '14



tsptalk
12-02-2014, 10:06 AM
On Friday, December 5 we get the November jobs report. Make your predictions on the number of jobs gained / lost in the month (and the unemployment rate)...


You can't pick a number already taken and each guess must be rounded to 1000's. (ex: +201,000, -14,000, +195,000, +176,000, -5,000, etc. - no 100's)

There's a travel mug up for grabs for the closest pick.

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug10_small.gif

If the winner also guesses the unemployment number correctly, they can upgrade to the stainless mug if they'd like (so predict both)!

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug11_small.gif

We'll take predictions until 12:00 midnight ET this Thursday night, December 4.


Thanks, and good luck!



Briefing.com's consensus estimates are looking for +230,000 and 5.8%.

ILoveTDs
12-02-2014, 10:41 AM
235K @ 5.8

RealMoneyIssues
12-02-2014, 10:48 AM
284k and 5.7%

DreamboatAnnie
12-02-2014, 07:20 PM
272k @ 5.2%

JTH
12-02-2014, 07:24 PM
256K @ 5.6%

ravensfan
12-02-2014, 07:32 PM
243K @ 5.7%

Cathy57
12-02-2014, 07:34 PM
+189,000 & 5.7%

konakathy
12-02-2014, 07:41 PM
254K @ 5.6%

uscfanhawaii
12-03-2014, 01:33 AM
+222
5.7%

maui21ice
12-03-2014, 04:53 AM
231K @ 5.9%

jkenjohnson
12-03-2014, 06:50 AM
223 and 5.8%

slayer72
12-03-2014, 07:37 AM
240,000 and 5.8%

Weather
12-03-2014, 07:45 AM
185k; 5.9%

RAM56
12-03-2014, 09:16 AM
+225,000
5.6 %

Tawny27
12-03-2014, 09:24 AM
+ 203,000
5.8%

MrJohnRoss
12-03-2014, 10:56 AM
+208K
5.7%

nnuut
12-03-2014, 11:21 AM
217K 5.7%

This is tough to guess which way they Cook Da Books!:laugh:

czapor1967
12-03-2014, 11:24 AM
207k @ 5.5%

Firedog
12-03-2014, 11:38 AM
261K and 5.7%

robertbr1963
12-04-2014, 07:14 AM
229k, 5.9%

James48843
12-04-2014, 08:12 AM
199K, 5.9%

MrBowl
12-04-2014, 03:01 PM
+266K and 5.7%

FireWeatherMet
12-04-2014, 03:47 PM
278.000 Jobs

5.7%

Firing on all cylinders :)

Frixxxx
12-04-2014, 05:10 PM
236K 5.8%

tsptalk
12-04-2014, 10:04 PM
About an hour left to make your prediction.

tsptalk
12-04-2014, 10:59 PM
Thread will reopen after the jobs report is released.

tsptalk
12-05-2014, 07:38 AM
Actual: +321,000, 5.8%

Winner!...


284k and 5.7%

Nice job, RMI!

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug10_small.gif

Please PM or email me your shipping info!

Thank you for playing, everyone!

James48843
12-05-2014, 07:43 AM
Wow.

RealMoneyIssues
12-05-2014, 07:46 AM
That's twice this year, and I was sorta trying to be funny... with that big increase I would have expected unemployment to go down... maybe some are coming back and looking for jobs now??? you never know :)

PM sent, lets see how long it takes to get overseas ;)

BichonFreeze
12-05-2014, 07:51 AM
That's a big report.

Frixxxx
12-05-2014, 08:13 AM
Can we start a correction/revision contest?

tsptalk
12-05-2014, 08:16 AM
Good news may actually be good news again with QE off the table... Although the futures did dip slightly after the report?

Frixxxx
12-05-2014, 08:24 AM
Good news may actually be good news again with QE off the table... Although the futures did dip slightly after the report?

I think it is the 5.8% unchanged that is telling.........drop drop drop - or not.

jkenjohnson
12-05-2014, 09:03 AM
That's twice this year, and I was sorta trying to be funny... with that big increase I would have expected unemployment to go down... maybe some are coming back and looking for jobs now??? you never know :)

PM sent, lets see how long it takes to get overseas ;)

Congrats RMI. I'm still trying to win one. I guess I'll have to buy one.

MrJohnRoss
12-05-2014, 09:31 AM
Nice forecasting job RMI, now tell us where the markets will be by the end of the year. :D

WorkFE
12-05-2014, 09:33 AM
How about the next 6 months

Stock market guru (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-market-gurus-new-forecast-sp-500-at-2300-in-six-months-2014-12-05)

Minnow
12-05-2014, 07:06 PM
PM sent, lets see how long it takes to get overseas ;)

Well done RMI...

I'm confused, I thought I (you) lived in P-cola. ;)