Jobs Report Contest - July 2014

[tsptalk]

On Friday, August 1, we get the July jobs report. Make your predictions on the number of jobs gained / lost in the month (and the unemployment rate)...


You can't pick a number already taken and each guess must be rounded to 1000's. (ex: +201,000, -14,000, +195,000, +176,000, -5,000, etc. - no 100's)

There's a travel mug up for grabs for the closest pick.

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug10_small.gif

If the winner also guesses the unemployment number correctly, they can upgrade to the stainless mug if they'd like (so predict both)!

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug11_small.gif

We'll take predictions until 12:00 midnight ET this Wednesday night, July 31.


Thanks, and good luck!



Briefing.com's consensus estimates are looking for +220,000 and 6.1%.

[nnuut]

+223,000 6.1%

[Bronco07]

+221,500 / 6.12%

[jkenjohnson]

+235,000 6.0%

[Weather]

+247K, 6.0%

[Cathy57]

+189000 & 6.1%

[uscfanhawaii]

+221,500 / 6.12%

For me, +240K, 6.0%. :D


By the way, Bronco, you have only a few more hours to change your guess so that it can count. (No half thousands.) :rolleyes:

[James48843]

+219K, 6.1%

[Frixxxx]

232 6.0

[mar69]

225,000, 6.1

[slayer72]

188,000 and 6.1%

[Minnow]

+210,000 6.1%

[remark]

198,000 6.1

[dirtdawber]

237,000 5.9

[robertbr1963]

201,000 and 6.2%

[tsptalk]

Contest closed. Thread will reopen after the jobs report is announced.

[tsptalk]

Jobs report Actual:

+209,000
6.2%


+210,000 6.1%

Winner!

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug10_small.gif


Nice 'job' Minnow. Please PM your shipping info for your Travel Mug!

[James48843]

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 209,000 in July, and the unemployment rate
was little changed at 6.2 percent.


Bureau of Labor Statistics just released that this morning @ 08:30 a.m.

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

[k0nkuzh0n]

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 209,000 in July, and the unemployment rate
was little changed at 6.2 percent.


Bureau of Labor Statistics just released that this morning @ 08:30 a.m.

Employment Situation Summary (http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm)

Right at 830 futures jumped (from being down). I was watching XIV (inverse VIX ETC). Closed yesterday at 39.73. Prior to 830 it was around 38, and after 830 it jumped above 39. Its right at yesterdays closing price right now.

[Minnow]

Winner!

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug10_small.gif


Nice 'job' Minnow. Please PM your shipping info for your Travel Mug!

Thanks man. Thank you for running such an awesome site!!!

[nnuut]

Good guess Minnow!:D

[Minnow]

Good guess Minnow!:D

Thanks buddy. I'd rather be lucky than good sometimes.