Jobs Report Contest - May '14

[tsptalk]

On Friday, June 6, we get the May jobs report. Make your predictions on the number of jobs gained / lost in the month (and the unemployment rate)...


You can't pick a number already taken and each guess must be rounded to 1000's. (ex: +201,000, -14,000, +195,000, +176,000, -5,000, etc. - no 100's)

There's a travel mug up for grabs for the closest pick.

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug10_small.gif

If the winner also guesses the unemployment number correctly, they can upgrade to the stainless mug if they'd like (so predict both)!

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug11_small.gif

We'll take predictions until 12:00 midnight ET this Thursday night, June 5.


Thanks, and good luck!



Briefing.com's consensus estimates are looking for +220,000 and 6.4%.

[uscfanhawaii]

+200K
6.3%

[RealMoneyIssues]

199k
6.4%

[BichonFreeze]

195k
6.5%

[jkenjohnson]

230K

[clester]

230K

240k

[CrabClaw]

233k

[Weather]

+243K 6.3%

[ILoveTDs]

208K 6.5%

[Cathy57]

+189,000 & 6.4%

[mar69]

228k
6.4%

[czapor1967]

191K 6.1%

[Firedog]

+175K

[Frixxxx]

+216K
6.5%

[Cybernaut]

+223k
6.3%

[Tawny27]

+ 178,000
6.6%

[RAM56]

+ 165,000
6.3%

[jpcavin]

+190k/6.4%

[Sensei]

+212,000

6.5%

[Bronco07]

+217 / 6.32

[tsptalk]

Sorry, I forgot to mention this contest in the commentary. Kind of a light turnout. Easier for you to win, I guess. :)

Thread will reopen in the morning.

[James48843]

Payroll employment rises by 217,000 in May;


unemployment rate unchanged at 6.3%

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm (http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm)

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

THE EMPLOYMENT SITUATION -- MAY 2014

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 217,000 in May, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 6.3 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment increased in professional and business services, health care and social assistance, food services and drinking places, and transportation and warehousing.

Household Survey Data

The unemployment rate held at 6.3 percent in May, following a decline of 0.4 percentage point in April. The number of unemployed persons was unchanged in May at 9.8 million.

Over the year, the unemployment rate and the number of unemployed persons declined by 1.2 percentage points and 1.9 million, respectively. (See table A-1.)

Among the major worker groups, the unemployment rates for adult men (5.9 percent), adult women (5.7 percent), teenagers (19.2 percent), whites (5.4 percent), blacks (11.5 percent), and Hispanics (7.7 percent) showed little or no change in May. The jobless rate for Asians was 5.3 percent (not seasonally adjusted), little changed
from a year earlier. (See tables A-1, A-2, and A-3.)

[BichonFreeze]

+217 / 6.32

Seems like you won this month. Congrats.

[tsptalk]

+217 / 6.32
Off by 0.02%. I knew this data was leaked! :D

Nice job! PM or email me with your shipping info.

Your choice:

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug11_small.gifor http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug10_small.gif

(they are both the same size, it just doesn't look like it in the image)

[nnuut]

Wow that's about as close as you can get!:D