Guess the Jobs Report Contest Mar'14

[tsptalk]

On Friday, April 4, we get the March jobs report. Make your predictions on the number of jobs gained / lost in the month??

You can't pick a number already taken and each guess must be rounded to 1000's. (ex: +201,000, -14,000, +195,000, +176,000, -5,000, etc. - no 100's)

There's a travel mug up for grabs for the closest pick.

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug10_small.gif

If the winner also guesses the unemployment number correctly, they can upgrade to the stainless mug if they'd like (so predict both)!

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug11_small.gif

We'll take predictions until 12:00 midnight ET this Thursday night, April 3.


Thanks, and good luck!



Briefing.com's consensus estimates are looking for +195,000 and 6.6%.

[MrBowl]

211,000 and 6.7%

[richargs62]

196,000 and 6.42

[Cathy57]

+189,000/ 6.7%

[slayer72]

+194,000 and 6.6%

[Weather]

+112K 6.7%

[CrabClaw]

+160k 6.7%

[remark]

+204,000 6.6%

[exceed83]

190K & 6.5%

[ILoveTDs]

201K 6.5%

[amoeba]

The only thing I have ever predicted corrrectly in the market for the last 2 years has been this contest - so here goes:

+131,000; 6.7%

[Sensei]

+170,000 and 6.6%

[twoody]

+145K 6.6%

[uscfanhawaii]

+199K, 6.5%

And I predict that whatever the number comes out as, Friday will be a negative reaction day.... followed by a nice gain back on Monday! :blink:

[Atarrin]

+140k jobs; 6.7%

[OleyOlson]

175,000 and 6.6%

Oley Olson

[James48843]

!92,000 jobs and 6.6%

[Minnow]

181K 6.7%

[MrJohnRoss]

+193,000 and 6.5% (mainly due to a drop in labor participation).

[imike023]

225k & 6.6%

[mar69]

199,200 & 6.6%

[DouglasL]

188,000 & 6.6%

[jkenjohnson]

195,000 6.7%

[clester]

205,000

[RealMoneyIssues]

179k and 6.5%

[tsptalk]

About 90 minutes left to put in your guess.

[tsptalk]

Actual jobs report numbers: +192,000 and 6.7%


!92,000 jobs and 6.6%

I am going to assume that the exclamation point was supposed to a "1"? :)

Nice job, James!

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug10_small.gif


US futures hold gains after jobs data; jobless rate at 6.7% (http://www.cnbc.com/id/101554502?__source=yahoo%257cfinance%257cheadline% 257cheadline%257cstory&par=yahoo&doc=101554502%257cUS+futures+hold+gains+aft)

[James48843]

Yoo Hoo! Yep - that's a 1.

Thank you! Thank you very much!

[tsptalk]

Oh, yeah. PM or email me your address if you want the new Travel Mug. Thanks!

[Weather]

And we now have over 91 million not particpating in the labor force. That's a an increase of one million people over the past year.

[tsptalk]

Do we need to add a new category to the contest? A trifecta? :)

[MrJohnRoss]

And we now have over 91 million not particpating in the labor force. That's a an increase of one million people over the past year.

Well said. Quote of the day.