October Jobs Report Contest

[tsptalk]

On Friday, November 8, we get the October jobs report. Make your predictions on the number of jobs gained / lost in the month??

You can't pick a number already taken and each guess must be rounded to 1000's. (ex: +201,000, -14,000, +195,000, +176,000, -5,000, etc. - no 100's)

There's a travel mug up for grabs for the closest pick.

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug10_small.gif

New: If the winner also guesses the unemployment number correctly, they can upgrade to the stainless mug if they'd like (so predict both)!

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug11_small.gif


We'll take predictions until 12:00 midnight ET on Thursday night.

Thanks!

[WorkFE]

152,000

Unemp. 7.2%

[Frixxxx]

137,000

[MrBowl]

+84,000
7.3%

[MrJohnRoss]

+95,000
7.3%

[imike023]

+80,000

7.3%

[Chulke]

+130K Jobs
7.1% unemployment rate

[Frixxxx]

137,000

7.2%

Oops, going for the upgrade!

[DreamboatAnnie]

+164,000

[Bquat]

127,000 7.3% unemployment.

[ILoveTDs]

148,000

[Sensei]

+119,000

[Cathy57]

+89,000

[Cybernaut]

+151,000

7.2% unemp. rate

[Minnow]

103,000

7.2%

[uscfanhawaii]

148,000

Hey ILTD, you forgot to make your unemployment guess.

Wouldn't want you to miss out on a chance to get the 'upgrade'!! :worried:

[Weather]

+82,235

Correction:

+82,000

7.4%

[EricDeLee]

99000
7.2

[scollins1225]

+146,000 Jobs
7.2% unemployment rate

[Gumby]

+58,000 7.4%

[babydux]

+118,000, 7.4 % unemployment

[tucahay]

+ 121,000 and 7.1%

[uscfanhawaii]

+86,000
7.2%


Can I change my guess?

I am revising my guess higher...... +124K, 7.2%

I don't think anyone else has claimed that number.

[nnuut]

+24,000

[tsptalk]

15 minutes left to make a prediction...

[burrocrat]

+187,000 and 6.9%.

it's dark out there, really dark. we need some positive trumped up news. things are fine, really, i'm fine.

[tsptalk]

Contest closed. Thread will reopen in the morning after the report is released. Good luck!

[James48843]

Unemployment Rate Rises to 7.3% in Shutdown-Skewed October; 204,000 Jobs Added





The economy added 204,000 jobs in October -- more than consensus -- and hiring for September and August were revised up by a combined 60,00, according to the Labor Department. The unemployment rate ticked up to 7.3% from 7.2%. Concerns that the 16-day government shutdown would mar growth appear to be unfounded but Gene Sperling, director of President Obama’s National Economic Council, says the real question is: Will the shutdown have a lasting negative impact on growth?


More:
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/oct-jobs-report-aberration-comes-next-really-matters-122903029.html

and here are some more details of the October jobs report from the New York Times:
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/11/09/business/economy/us-unemployment-rate-rises-to-7-3-204000-jobs-added.html?_r=0

[tsptalk]

+187,000 and 6.9%.

it's dark out there, really dark. we need some positive trumped up news. things are fine, really, i'm fine.
We have a winner!

The unemployment number was off but Burro gets another Travel Mug! Good job!

Please PM me the shipping info. Thanks.

http://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/mug10_small.gif

[Frixxxx]

+187,000 and 6.9%.

it's dark out there, really dark. we need some positive trumped up news. things are fine, really, i'm fine.
Hmmmmm.....posted @ 11:58 PM, :suspicious:
Inside information?

:toung:Gratz Burro:toung:

[nnuut]

Good guess Burro, even if the numbers are trumped up!

[burrocrat]

thank you, thank you very much. it appears i'm much better at games of chance rather than skill.

i need another mug to go with the 4 sock monkeys dreamboatannie sent me for winning the furlough bet. i was going to take a mugshot of my family of sock monkeys and my family of 3 tsptalk mugs, but the one little monkey looked so sad without a mug.

i was hoping for the new stainless one because i already have the travel tumbler. maybe tom will let me pay the difference for the upgrade or else take it as a credit towards a tsptalk ball cap someday.

[DreamboatAnnie]

Hey Burro...give him a beer and take the mugshot..he'll be better off, much happier, than the others!!

[burrocrat]

Hey Burro...give him a beer and take the mugshot..he'll be better off, much happier, than the others!!

i don't think batman drinks beer. besides he's too young for that, gotta wait until at least a sophmore in high school for the bonfire/booby parties. no sense rushing things, there's still plenty of time to change my evil ways, baby.