View Full Version : I am going to put all my money in the F fund
titan3d
03-18-2005, 05:54 AM
The F-Fund is the lowest non-G TSP fund and nobody wants it. Everybody thinks the bond market is going down and when everybody is on one side of a trade, its smarter to be on the other side. For this reason, I think the F-fund makes more sense right now than any other fund. The masses are always wrong, and right now the masses don't want the F-fund, so I want it.
cowboy
03-18-2005, 08:07 AM
Cool! Might be the smartest move of all, good luck to you!
Dukester
03-18-2005, 08:31 AM
Good Luck .............that's the one fund I would never put any money into....reward to risk factor not good enough for me....always seem to climb slow (if at all) but seems to drop at will
titan3d
03-18-2005, 08:42 AM
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=%5EGSPC&t=2y&l=on&z=m&q=l&c=agg
Looks like major divergence between the C fund and the F fund since 2003. All imbalances like this are corrected in time. I only wish I had F fund data going further back so I could do a historical comparison. AGG, the F fund equivalent, only goes back to 2003.
rokid
03-18-2005, 05:00 PM
Titan3d,
The F Fund tracks the Lehman Brother U.S. Aggregate Bond Index. If you're interested, I've got annual return data back to 1983.
titan3d
03-18-2005, 06:03 PM
rokid wrote:
Titan3d,
The F Fund tracks the Lehman Brother U.S. Aggregate Bond Index. If you're interested, I've got annual return data back to 1983.
Can you post a chart comparing theC fundand the F fund since 1986?
rokid
03-18-2005, 07:04 PM
Titan3d,
Hopefully, this spreadsheet contains the data you need. If not, let me know. In addition, pls let me know if you find any mistakes and/or can fill in some of the blanks.
Enjoy.:^
rokid
03-19-2005, 10:04 AM
For those who don't have Excel:
F Fund C Fund
1986 15.29 18.50
1987 2.75 5.20
1988 3.63 16.80
1989 13.89 31.03
1990 8.00 -3.15
1991 15.7530.77
1992 7.20 7.70
19939.52 10.13
1994 -2.96 1.33
1995 18.3137.41
1996 3.66 22.85
1997 9.60 33.17
1998 8.70 28.44
1999 -0.85 20.95
2000 11.67 -9.14
2001 8.61-11.94
2002 10.27-22.05
2003 4.11 28.54
2004 4.30 10.82
Average 7.97 13.55
Std.Dev. 5.64 16.94
titan3d
03-19-2005, 10:41 AM
Thanks rokid for all this info. I see that even in 1994 when bonds suffered very badly, the F fund only went down 3%. That indicates to me there is very little risk by putting most of my money there now.
rokid
03-19-2005, 12:27 PM
Titan3d,
RE: 100% F Fund. Using historical TSP Fund data (1988-2004), adiversifiedportfolio of 27% G, 51% F, and 22% S, would give you the same return (7.97%) at lower risk (4.85%).
Something to consider.;)
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