one more article …. this one is on what's going on in Chinas market.
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com...le27116477.ece
What Would Happen to the TSP if Interest Rates Turned Negative?
https://www.fedsmith.com/2016/02/18/...rned-negative/
[COLOR=#0000ff][FONT=comic sans ms][I]"In the land of idiots, the moron is King."--Unknown[/I][/FONT][/COLOR]
one more article …. this one is on what's going on in Chinas market.
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com...le27116477.ece
Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 4-24-24=50G- 50C https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410
Thanks UQ, I was not too concerned about interest rates going negative, as that was the fear several years ago when the economy was doing poorly. I am now wondering more about what happens if bond yields increase on US Treasuries due to China dumping its' U.S. bonds and not continuing to buy U.S. bonds. It could cause US Treasury interest/yield rates to increase to draw in buyers and was thinking this could cause some inflation. But how would this impact the G Fund??? For example, when bond yields go up the F fund value drops. Just wondering...
Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 4-24-24=50G- 50C https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410
I saw the best explanation yet yesterday regarding what's driving U.S. stocks and bonds higher this year. It's very simple, as described by Martin Armstrong, the low and in some cases negative rates in Europe are driving increasing numbers of European investors to buy U.S. stocks and bonds in order to find yield. The question is just when this money flow will come to end. I can't see U.S. rates dropping to zero, but who knows. The fact that the Fed is preparing for that eventuality is telling.
I'm glad it's happening though since today there was a rate cut at Navy Federal CU and my wife and I just locked in a low 3.625% 30-year VA loan (she's the Navy vet, not me) with zero points and zero fees for our retirement house. As a result of the low rates we were able to afford a dreamy place where ESPN's Dick Vitale is in our neighborhood LOL. I'm not worthy, but we're enjoying it. Now my wife is focused on things like picking out the perfect shade of purple to paint her woman-cave.
I don't see either side backing down. Our economy is currently strong. I'm betting the thinking is "Leave that worry for another day." So I see both parties holding tough positions until something causes movement.
FS
FogSailing
Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.
Just wanted to share some weekly charts. Stochastic dropped below 80 plus MACDs crossing below their signal lines and 3EMA crossed below 5EMA, seem to indicate more downside to come, but who really knows. Seems to be close to support near the 20 SMA (Bollinger mid-point). Plus DOW mini futures up right now by 98 points, so maybe it carries through on Monday for a nice bounce. Fed minutes come out Wednesday.
Notice that when 3EMA crosses below 5EMA, things go South! This chart goes back 1.5 years and its fairly clear to see. doesn't mean it will happen this time but I am keeping my eyes on it. So for now, I remain on the lilly pad a bit longer.
Best Wishes to you all on your Investments!!!!!!!
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Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 05-20-2019 at 12:44 AM.
Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 4-24-24=50G- 50C https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410
Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 4-24-24=50G- 50C https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410
Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 4-24-24=50G- 50C https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410
Thanks, DBA!
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
Your welcome WS! Believe it or not, last night I was contemplating entry after looking at daily candle charts because MACDs were crossed above their signal lines and F fund was starting to move down. But my hesitance was that Stochastics still have not crossed upward and 3 EMA still below 5EMa slightly. Futures were also a bit up last night.
Today, looking at candles currently forming and noting the down slope of the mid-point (dotted line) of Bollinger bands, I decided to wait for more confirmation of a bottom. i think a bottom will not be in for awhile, but was looking fir a quick in and out before the Holiday effect. Oh..well.... . I will stay on lilly pad a bit longer... Ribit! Ribit!
Best Wishes to you All !!!!!!!
Here are some daily charts that helped in this decision. I also noticed that in May, after the last dip, the short rally did not even reach the mid-point of Bollinger band. I expected it to at least hit that point, and it didn't happen so market is showing weakness. Notice how March rally touched mid-point, backed off and then came back to rally above the mid-point thru April. Hummm...
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Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 05-22-2019 at 10:33 AM.
Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 4-24-24=50G- 50C https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410
Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 4-24-24=50G- 50C https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410
I want to get in, but I can't find the door! ........ Uggh! I was hoping for an opportunity today or tomorrow.... I am thinking today, but will see ..... I think its still just a bit premature. But I could take a chance. I would only go in for a few days... for a quick possible pop up to the mid-point on Bollinger bands and/or only until the MACDs start to cross down (assuming they ever go upward to get the party started). Then contemplating that I would only to stay in as long as 3EMA is above 5 EMA (again assuming it crosses up during the move up during short rally to the mid-point. But, I would probably do better to exit when the MACDs starts crossing back down instead of waiting for the 3/5EMA cross down.
For June overall, I still think it continues downward during June---- with possible up turns at start and towards the end if China news doesn't crop up... which it will! In the end, its all a crap shoot!
Best Wishes to you All !!!!!!!!
Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 05-30-2019 at 09:48 AM.
Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 4-24-24=50G- 50C https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410
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