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Thread: Whipsaw's Account Talk

  1. #2917

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by ravensfan View Post
    I thought I had a good buy in on Monday. That is until the reversal later that afternoon. After today's action, I am now negative for 2019. It is amazing this uncanny knack I have for entering the market right before a huge drop...

    I think nasa1974 makes a good point about limiting moves or better yet, sometimes the best strategy is to do nothing at all.
    I find it best to only enter after a bottom is formed. Then I jump in after the upswing resumes and once I get 1%, I get back to G.
    A wise man once said, " never catch a falling knife!"

    1% a month = 12% a year. I try to never forget that!
    12% can make you rich.

    Sent from my XT1585 using TSP Talk Forums mobile app

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  3. #2918

    Join Date
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    3,729

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    I am only 40% in equities... so far my sticky pants are fully deployed. If this continues, I may need to change them... it's not pretty!!!

    Question is, will I have the guts to put in the next 50% when the streets are really bloody....ugghhhh….
    DBA, LMK when you think we're at a low. MW articles are indicating yesterday's 2% decline was carnage, seems a little hyperbolic to me. Maybe we won't get much lower. Still seems to be much strength out there with the end of day rally yesterday. Futures are off again this morning, we'll see. Being on the lily pad for so long, would really like to see it drop a good ways.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  5. #2919

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Good morning Whipsaw! Not yet.... Tariffs kick in after midnight Thursday night. So, maybe more downside.

    Chinese negotiators arrive tomorrow. So who is gonna blink? I am not sure China will....could be a Mexican standoff. In which case, no deal...maybe extend talks some more and possibly market recovers... then again no one knows. Earnings season is about done. Mid-May typically gets soft. So, thinking to exit. Economy is doing great!

    hummmm…..do nothing, go in more or exit???? ugghhhhhh


    market slightly up right now, but there is plenty of time for some one to get it moving....
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  7. #2920

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    It happened... Sarah Sanders said There are indications China wants to make a deal....so markets now up100 points on DOW..... lol... the insanity of it all.....
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  9. #2921

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    It happened... Sarah Sanders said There are indications China wants to make a deal....so markets now up100 points on DOW..... lol... the insanity of it all.....
    Moving in...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

  10.  
  11. #2922

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Not sure if I will be able to believe anything that comes out of the month of SS.

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    It happened... Sarah Sanders said There are indications China wants to make a deal....so markets now up100 points on DOW..... lol... the insanity of it all.....
    Weatherweenie's Account Talk
    Teddy Roosevelt: Patriotism means to stand by the country. It does not mean to stand by the president or any other public official. Retired on November 30, 2023 with 30+ years of service.

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  13. #2923

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    1st IFT in quite some time... 50% S, 50% G COB.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  15. #2924

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by 1965Vintage View Post
    I find it best to only enter after a bottom is formed. Then I jump in after the upswing resumes and once I get 1%, I get back to G.
    A wise man once said, " never catch a falling knife!"

    1% a month = 12% a year. I try to never forget that!
    12% can make you rich.

    Sent from my XT1585 using TSP Talk Forums mobile app
    That is good advice. Somehow I have gotten away from the basics.
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  17. #2925

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Yes, RF, thanks. In hindsight, I likely pulled the trigger too soon. I did have reservations, which is why I only went with 50%. The die is cast, now come what may. Still bought on sale, not a deep discount though, lets see if china makes a deal...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!


  18.  
  19. #2926

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    So, with the look of a bottoming tail on the S fund, PivotBoss analysis of a bottom forming based on Russel futures this morning, a 3 out of 4 chance the trade talks to go right, and a dare by weatherweenie, I've put the other 50% into the S-Fund, COB.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  21. #2927

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Ummmmm, what?!

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    and a dare by weatherweenie,
    Weatherweenie's Account Talk
    Teddy Roosevelt: Patriotism means to stand by the country. It does not mean to stand by the president or any other public official. Retired on November 30, 2023 with 30+ years of service.

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  23. #2928

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I was in a meeting at the cut off so couldn't post but I wish you guys luck!

    I stayed out because I just don't think the markets will like the "continue to talk" line if China doesn't fade off of their 10% line. And if they don't fade off that line I see Trump walking away from holding off on the new Tariffs. That scenario is likely enough that I am scared away from getting in at this time.

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