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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #3457

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Some possible longer term landing zones. Not that there can't be short-term rallies in the interim...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  3. #3458

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Posts
    14,689
    Blog Entries
    13

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Damn that's getting ugly, isnt' it?


    (I'm still strapping in for the roller coaster ride tomorrow)

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  5. #3459

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The Dow was down 680-points at the lows. Was that enough to call it a capitulation? I don't know. That was a 3% loss for the day, a little worse that the 2% drops we've gotten used to, as Sniper noted a week or so ago.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  6.  
  7. #3460

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    After the bounce off the lows on Thursday, this rally failure this morning feels "flushy".
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  8.  
  9. #3461

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The FANG stocks are getting hit again. I suppose money managers are lightening up to avoid showing 33% losses in stocks like AAPL and NFLX in their portfolios. But they'll probably buy them back in January. It could also be tax selling related from retail investors.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  10.  
  11. #3462

    Join Date
    Jul 2012
    Location
    Honolulu, Hawaii
    Posts
    1,823

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Definitely ugliest market since 2008, but that time it felt like a few monster down days. This time it's like death by 1000 papercuts

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  13. #3463

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Yeah, still waiting for one of those 2008 monster relief rallies.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  14.  
  15. #3464

    Join Date
    Jun 2014
    Location
    Virginia
    Posts
    680

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I'm sure we'll get some big rallys if the S&P looses another 1000 points and goes to 2008 levels.
    Have a Merry Christmas and pray for Santa!

  16.  
  17. #3465

    Join Date
    Jul 2012
    Location
    Honolulu, Hawaii
    Posts
    1,823

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Anyone on this site trade the VIX? Everytime I think about it I always feel a rush of fear that changes my mind lol.


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  19. #3466

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    After a few bad experiences, the only time I buy a VIX ETF is to hedge a long position like SSO or TNA.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  20.  
  21. #3467

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    This market seems to be sniffing out something that we have not even heard about yet. There's something in the air besides rate hikes and tariffs. I don't know what it is but it reminds me of when stocks declined 10% in the days LEADING UP TO 9/11.

    Not that we'll have another 9/11, but I'll be on the lookout for something newsworthy soon to make this make sense.

    Either that or we should see a relief rally soon. Even in the worst of bear markets, snap back rallies up to the 200-day avg. are normal....

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  22.  
  23. #3468

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk


    This didn't help:

    Dow Jones plunges after Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin comments on banks

    https://www.yahoo.com/gma/dow-jones-...opstories.html

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