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Thread: Guess the Dow Contest 2016

  1. #49

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Guess the Dow Contest 2016

    Kyle Bass just said he expects the market to finish 10-20% down this year. I think we'll hit the -20% area at a bottom in October, but for the year-end close I'll go with the optimistic -10% value... 15683

    Edit - Oops, someone else already took that exact number....well, I'll do like on the Price is Right and go with 15684 and won't even apologize LOL.
    Last edited by Tsunami; 01-08-2016 at 12:04 PM. Reason: I'd picked the same number as someone else

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  3. #50

    Default Re: Guess the Dow Contest 2016

    19,000 (although I think we'll see some of those low number guesses in the next few months...before a latter half rally...similar to 2009).
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  5. #51

    Default Re: Guess the Dow Contest 2016

    17260.

    that is quite a spread among guesses, from -29.52% to +15.89%. tsptalkers are altogether a smart bunch so i am going with the average of all guesses, -1.83%.
    100g

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  7. #52

    Default Re: Guess the Dow Contest 2016

    Good call burro. The Wisdom of Crowds.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  9. #53

    Default Re: Guess the Dow Contest 2016

    The contest is closed. See you at the end of December 2016!
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  11. #54

    Default Re: Guess the Dow Contest 2016

    Totals:

    Member Guess
    pamkk 20735
    ATCJeff 20561
    userque 20220
    nnuut 20000
    Frixxx 19841
    uscfanhawaii 19444
    James48843 19295
    wiff007 19278
    weatherweenie 19238
    Dinicti 19100
    lindoug 19053
    Fireweathermet 19000
    anthony 18906
    gegor 18819
    quabit 18728
    ABQTurtle 18699
    Tinslinger 18622
    mrBowl 18353
    Maricar19 18275
    OBGibby 18213
    crosslance 18212
    Daze823 18169
    jonfresno 18101
    guppie 18011
    eccougar 17635
    Mathion 17377
    burrocrat 17260
    NavyEng 17200
    peterson82 17025
    sjcook23 17023
    hopiowa 16969
    CrgButcher 16694
    Tsunami 15684
    ripper 15683
    felixthecat 15505
    FogSailing 15500
    Skorcher 14790
    Minnow 14573
    MrJohnRoss 14378
    alevin 13830
    RealMoneyIssues 13186
    Intrepid_Timer 12927
    DeamboatAnnie 12799
    pjsstuff71 12391
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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  13. #55

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Guess the Dow Contest 2016

    Contest getting real interesting with the recent DOW pullback!
    19800 something today....(frixxx !?! )
    Last edited by uscfanhawaii; 12-29-2016 at 02:52 PM. Reason: add Dow level
    There are 10 types of people in the world. Those who know binary, and those that don't!!
    Retired on December 31, 2018!!

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  15. #56

    Default Re: Guess the Dow Contest 2016

    2016 Dow final closing price: 19,763


    We have a winner!

    Quote Originally Posted by Frixxxx View Post
    19,841
    Nice job, Frixxxx! PM me your prize choice and shipping info.

    Choose prize from the TSP Talk prize list.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  17. #57

    Default Re: Guess the Dow Contest 2016

    Nice call Frixxx..Congrats
    A wise man speaks when he has something to say...A FOOL speaks when he just has to say something

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  19. #58

    Join Date
    Jul 2016
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    Texas
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    2,274

    Default Re: Guess the Dow Contest 2016

    Congrats! Can you give us any insight to how you made your prediction?

  20.  
  21. #59

    Join Date
    Oct 2010
    Location
    Aiea, Hawaii
    Posts
    1,122

    Default Re: Guess the Dow Contest 2016

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    2016 Dow final closing price: 19,763


    We have a winner!



    Nice job, Frixxxx! PM me your prize choice and shipping info.

    Choose prize from the TSP Talk prize list.
    Hey...I thought it was closest without going OVER!!
    Just kidding, nice job Frixxxx!

    And Good Luck for 2017!!
    There are 10 types of people in the world. Those who know binary, and those that don't!!
    Retired on December 31, 2018!!

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  23. #60

    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Location
    Almost Heaven
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    Default Re: Guess the Dow Contest 2016

    Congrats Frixxxx!!!

    .... two-time winner?
    Which one of you nuts has got any guts? -- Randle P. McMurphy
    ... stupidity will always find a way. -- Nnuut

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