TSP Talk - Thrift Savings Plan Talk
TSP Talk on Facebook TSP Talk on Twitter Mobile TSP Talk
Search TSP Talk and tsp.gov
TSP Talk Market Comments TSP AutoTracker Premiums Site Map TSP Funds Forum Returns

Thrift Savings Plan Talk

For Federal Government Employees and Military Personnel
TSP Talk - Thrift Savings Plan Talk
Quotes, Charts, Info

TSP Share Prices & Returns
Fund Index Quotes
Popular Charts
Market Futures Quotes
Earnings Reports
Economic Calendar


Need a back-link...
or want to Advertise?
 

Premium Services

TSP Talk - Thrift Savings Plan Talk

 

Mobile Options


- Android Forum App

- iPhone Forum App

 

 Quick Link to ...
TSP Share Prices | Reader Testimonials

RevShark's TSP Timing Newsletter & Afternoon Commentary

Intrepid Timer Strategies  |   TSP Talk Plus

Market Commentary

November 19, 2018

Archives  |  Current TSP Share Prices
TSP Talk - Thrift Savings Plan Talk

 
 Today's Commentary         (Not seeing a current commentary?)               


Stocks opened lower on Friday but found support near the opening lows and ended up with a modest positive follow-through to Thursday's big reversal day.  The returns were mixed however with the C and S-fund posting minor gains while tech and the Nasdaq lagged on some disappointing earnings, but the Dow gained a respectable 124-points.
 
Daily TSP Funds Return

More returns

 


We saw a lot of bouncing back and forth early on Friday but some positive comments from President Trump regarding China and trade helped spark an early afternoon rally that mostly held into the close.  There seems to be a lot of indecision out there with these big intraday swings as a battle ensues between the bulls who are looking for a relief rally this holiday week, and the bears who are still selling the rallies.

Seasonality gets very positive on Wednesday and Friday of this week, with Thursday being Thanksgiving Day, of course.  Trading volume may be lighter that that doesn't mean volatility will be lighter.  As a matter of fact lighter volume can trigger volatility because big orders can really push the indices around. 

I am going to make this quick today as I had some personal obligations to take care of over the weekend and into Monday. Our TSP Talk Plus subscribers got this week's new system signals so we have our plan of attack.  Now let's hope the plan comes together. 

 



The S&P 500 / C-fund has bounced nicely off the lows but it is about to run into that 200-day EMA again.  The holiday could help break that resistance since the bears are usually more apt to stay away during holidays, but they'll be ready to pounce again after the holiday if the bulls are not ready.

    


The DWCPF (S-fund) rallied for a couple of days since filling that open gap.  It may try to create another "V" low but without a decent move it could easily turn into a bear flag. 

   


The Dow Transpiration Index has been stalling at the 50 and 200-day EMAs over the last couple of days.  The bulls may get an opportunity to break above that inverted head and shoulders pattern if the bears are hibernating this week but I'll be more interested in the action after the holiday when the positive bias has passed.

    
 

The EAFE Index / I-fund was up nicely with the help of a pullback in the dollar on Friday.

    


The High Yield Corporate Bonds were down early but bounced back with stocks and it put in back-to-back lows, similar to a couple of other short-term lows in recent weeks.

    


The AGG (bonds / F-fund) had another nice day on Friday and it was able to move back above that stubborn 50-day EMA, so that's about 3 layers of resistance it made it through last week.

    


Read more in today's TSP Talk Plus Report.  We post more charts, indicators and analysis, plus discuss the allocations of the TSP and ETF Systems.  For more information on how to gain access and a list of the benefits of being a subscriber, please go to: www.tsptalk.com/plus.php

Thanks for reading.  We'll see you back here tomorrow.

Tom Crowley


Like what you're seeing on TSP Talk?  Why not Tell a Friend about us?  We'd really appreciate it, and they may too.  Thanks!
 

  The easiest way to print this commentary is to copy and paste above into a document like Word.


Chart provided courtesy of www.sentimentrader.com
 
Market Commentary Archive


Commentary Archives
 

Have questions? Visit our message board for answers.

Would you like to be on our email alert list? Your email address will never be given out. Please read our privacy policy. By signing up you agree to the TSP Talk Terms of Service.

Like what you're reading? Please Tell a Friend about us.

Help and Resources

Site Map
FAQ
FAQ - Premium Services
FAQ for Alerts
Reader Testimonials
How to Make a Transfer
How to Make an IFT (Video)
Report Problems / Errors
Contact Us

TSP - What is it?
Who Is TSP Talk?
What Can We Do For You?
Want More Help?

Mug Shots

TSP Talk User Map
Tell a friend or co-worker
Recent Forum Activity
Video & Image Library
Market Analysis Videos
TSP.gov Home Page
GovLoop
My Federal Retirement
FERS Guide

Mobile Options
- TSP Talk Forum Apps

 
 
SPY (C Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
AGG (F Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

TSP Talk does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report, nor does TSPtalk.com assume any liability for any loss that may result from reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions. Such information and opinions are subject to change without notice and are for general information only.  The information contained on this website is for educational purposes only and not intended to be recommendations, and may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or otherwise distributed without prior written consent from TSPtalk.com. Full Disclaimer

Copyright © 2003 - 2018
Buy Low Sell High, Inc.
TSPtalk.com ® is a trademark of Buy Low Sell High, Inc.
All Rights Reserved

Buy Low Sell High, Inc., P.O. Box 13213, Ogden UT 84412


TSP Talk Market Comments TSP AutoTracker Premiums Site Map TSP Funds Forum Returns