Market Summary
It
is getting a bit redundant, but there is no denying that it is was
another poor day for the markets. Early in the day the major indexes
were hanging tough until Dallas Fed President Fisher made comments
again regarding inflation, sending stocks into a free fall. The DJIA
traded over 90 points lower; however, bounced well and closed down
roughly 30 points.
Once
again the only thing positive that can be said about today, is that
we are definitely getting closer to a bottom.
My
gut feeling late this afternoon was that the selling turned to panic
and fear, which typically leads to a strong bounce. We took the
opportunity to add some QQQQ’s for client accounts and flipped some
into the close. There is an important Jobs Report in the morning
tomorrow and we think bad news is already priced in and could see a
further bounce. If a bounce does come tomorrow, while it may be
tradable, it will be very hard to trust until the technical damage
that has been done, starts to be repaired.
On a
day like today, many market participants may be tempted to turn off
their computer, avoid the television and simply pretend that the
down turn is not happening. Unfortunately, on a day like today we
have to muster up the strength to revisit the shopping list and
prepare to look for bargains. Our list is quite long, and very
attractive; however, we won’t attempt to throw caution to the wind
and will await the proper points of entry.
I
find myself working overtime on days like today, searching out good
earnings winners that have been discarded haphazardly. I also find
myself watching recent momentum favorites for a turn, as they will
often be the first to bounce. A good example of this is recent
Shark Bite
Netease.com, Incorporated (NTES), which after selling off
sharply for 2 days, bounced from $81.31 to close at $84.23, a $3.00
reversal and good indication of buyers finally showing up with bids.
Oil
has been trending lower over the past several days, and I suspect we
are do for an over sold bounce. While we intend to play it, we don’t
advise calling it the October bottom. Stocks have much work to do
before they can be trusted again. Earnings season is coming up soon
and that should help stabilize stocks with good earnings.
Have
a good evening.
RevShark