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    TSP Talk Longer Term Market Outlook

    Our prior year TSP returns


                       2006 Longer Term Outlook Returns

    This is our "suggested" aggressive buy and hold account as discussed in our Longer Term Outlook Comments
    An allocation is made on the first of January and reevaluated on the first of July.

    You can find a blank spreadsheet on the Financial Utilities page to monitor your own returns.
    Email me if you have a question on how to fill it out or need more information about the data below.
     
    2006 TSP Longer Term Outlook Transactions and Returns
    2006 TSP Longer Term Allocations and Returns   TSP TALK                        
                                      My My    
            Fund Price     Fund Allocation (%)     Fund Returns - (Incr/Dec) 20% in  Return Return    
    Trans End Date G F C S I G F C S I G F C S I Each  Period Year    
    2005 Price 11.16 10.67 13.55 16.27 17.59                              
    1 January 11.20 10.68 13.91 17.36 18.67 10% 15% 25% 25% 25% 0.36% 0.09% 2.66% 6.70% 6.14% 3.19% 3.92% 3.92% Jan  
    - February 11.24 10.71 13.94 17.19 18.62 10% 15% 25% 25% 25% 0.36% 0.28% 0.22% -0.98% -0.27% -0.08% -0.18% 3.74% Feb  
    - March 11.28 10.61 14.12 17.85 19.24 10% 15% 25% 25% 25% 0.36% -0.93% 1.29% 3.84% 3.33% 1.58% 2.01% 5.82% Mar  
    - April 11.33 10.59 14.31 17.91 20.17 10% 15% 25% 25% 25% 0.44% -0.19% 1.35% 0.34% 4.83% 1.35% 1.64% 7.56% Apr  
    - May 11.38 10.58 13.9 17.13 19.39 10% 15% 25% 25% 25% 0.44% -0.09% -2.87% -4.36% -3.87% -2.15% -2.74% 4.61% May  
    - 14-Jun-06 11.40 10.62 13.47 16.17 17.98 10% 15% 25% 25% 25% 0.18% 0.38% -3.09% -5.60% -7.27% -3.08% -3.92% 0.52%    
    2 June 11.43 10.60 13.91 17.21 19.39 0% 0% 35% 35% 30% 0.26% -0.19% 3.27% 6.43% 7.84% 3.52% 5.75% 6.29% 1.60% Jun
    - July 11.48 10.74 14.00 16.73 19.58 0% 0% 35% 35% 30% 0.44% 1.32% 0.65% -2.79% 0.98% 0.12% -0.46% 5.81% Jul  
    - August 11.53 10.91 14.33 17.09 20.12 0% 0% 35% 35% 30% 0.44% 1.58% 2.36% 2.15% 2.76% 1.86% 2.41% 8.35% Aug  
      September 11.57 11.00 14.70 17.24 20.15 0% 0% 35% 35% 30% 0.35% 0.82% 2.58% 0.88% 0.15% 0.96% 1.26% 9.71% Sep  
      October 11.62 11.08 15.18 18.1 20.93 0% 0% 35% 35% 30% 0.43% 0.73% 3.27% 4.99% 3.87% 2.66% 4.05% 14.16% Oct  
      November 11.67 11.2 15.47 18.74 21.55 0% 0% 35% 35% 30% 0.43% 1.08% 1.91% 3.54% 2.96% 1.98% 2.79% 17.35% Nov  
      December 11.71 11.14 15.69 18.76 22.22 0% 0% 35% 35% 30% 0.34% -0.54% 1.42% 0.11% 3.11% 0.89% 1.47% 19.07% Dec  
                                             
       My Return vs…               4.93% 4.40% 15.79% 15.30% 26.32% 13.35%   19.07%    
       vs G Fund =   14.14%               G F C S I Div   Mine    
     vs F Fund =     14.66%                                  
     vs C Fund =   3.28%                                  
     vs S Fund =   3.77%                                  
     vs I Fund =     -7.25%                                  
     vs Div. Acct (20% each) = 5.72%                                  
    **  vs 40% F, 60% Stocks = 5.82%                                  
                                             
    *  A positive number indicates my return is greater than other allocation.                          
     A negative number indicates my return is less than other allocation.                          
    **  40% F, 20% C, 20% S, 20% I Fund                                  

     


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