Thread: MIssing the Boat

Welcome. You will fit right in .

Please post your moves.

Ta. Da Doc.

rondalw wrote:

No Techs, just common sense. Try it and go with it.

Brilliant!

Err, what is common sense telling us to do? Anyone?

Again, no disrespect but my gut tells me to stick with my plan. Sticking with my original thoughts on market. 25 G, 25 c and 50 S. Just me.



Out of here, good luck

I think your allocation (25 G, 25 c and 50 S) is an excellent longer term allocation for this type of market. Very similar to my 2005 suggested allocations for longer term investors (www.tsptalk.com/longer_term.html, at the bottom of the page).

rondalw wrote:

Again, no disrespect but my gut tells me to stick with my plan. Sticking with my original thoughts on market. 25 G, 25 c and 50 S. Just me.



Out of here, good luck

Well at least in the G fund you made some money this year, .09 a share.

Good on ya!

Dubious: Well, I am not sure what is meant by comment. However, I guarantee you I have made better then your projections. You are all but side sitters, thinking you can make it by reading charts. Get head out of ... and move on, ban me great, I don't follow your pusillanimous approach (duck and cover). Just quit fooling the people that watch this forum.

rondalw wrote:

Dubious: Well, I am not sure what is meant by comment. However, I guarantee you I have made better then your projections. You are all but side sitters, thinking you can make it by reading charts. Get head out of ... and move on, ban me great, I don't follow your pusillanimous approach (duck and cover). Just quit fooling the people that watch this forum.

Welcome. You will fit right in .

I am sure you are doing better then me with your investments. I am clueless. Please share your views with all of us. I have a pen and paper here to write down your wisdom.

Bless us, oh great one.

Dubious: Be advised I have already shared my "wisdom" I am not a sooth-sayer but you guys scare so many people with your projections. Yes, I have done well but I do not project it as the Holy Grail. Just common sense which I have seen little amongst the great ones here.

rondalw wrote:

Dubious: Be advised I have already shared my "wisdom" I am not a sooth-sayer but you guys scare so many people with your projections. Yes, I have done well but I do not project it as the Holy Grail. Just common sense which I have seen little amongst the great ones here.

My projections have become reality more then not........the fed fuzzy math is a slight handicap. Hard to keep with all the "adjustments" to make things look rosy.

Anyone here is trying hard...sorry we do not meet your standards :?.

Crude is sitting at 55.87 on the current contract...common sense would tell me...that is like peanut butter for stocks.

But what do I know, I retired when I was 33.

Dr Clueless

Great, you retired at 33 but what does that have to with us getting ready to retire at age 50? Have you worked under this system? If you have, forgive me. Not usre what we are arguing abouy. I have a different view. Just don't want the scare tactics seen here messing with us fthat have had to work for teh "G" most of our live.

Straight scoop is all I ask.

Best advice is to follow Tom's comments.

I can not make money on the TSP accounts. The noon deadline and all the jazz slows me down. I really just let my account sit in G fund from after Xmas to around Halloween and once and awhile do the obvious of going 100% I fund for a day when something wonderful happens in the States. However, long term the trend for the U.S. stock markets is down. There may be a up week or two but that will be short lived.

My opinion (I know you hate charts but that is what I use that with economic data and a bit of historic refererence) is the S&P and NASDAQ have broken down. I believe the DOW needs to get to around 9000-9700. Head winds (are many). We have a 1972 situation in front of us. Commodity prices spiking, inflation on the rise and the fed dead at the switch. 1 Jun options will be considered expenses...that is going to sink the NAS.

If it was not for the commodities stocks the DOW would be off 5-6% this year at least.

We have the worse kind of bubble. The housing bubble. Bubbles in the past did not have the problem of people taking out the money to consume. Like take out your home equity and your line of credit to purchase more crap. In my opionion what is coming is going to make the Rodney King Riots look like a weiner roast.

Dome and glome enough for ya? The consumer debts after their home equity is wiped out is going to be mind blowing. Now you can not file for bankrupcy to wipe them clean. 34% of the middle class is going to be wiped out and another 25% will be in debter prison the rest of their lives.

:P