If we don't nail down a +238 point gain on the Dow I'll be sorely agitated - but the opportunity is available for even more gains. The ECB is starting to stir.
50-day EMA got in the way this morning on the Russell and S&P. Now there's that open gap to deal with, and as I mentioned in today's commentary, they seem to always get filled....
Tom
Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |
I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.
Probably something similar to these gaps. The bottom of the gap could get penetrated, but not for too long - unless we get the action similar to July's fill which broke down - but that may be the exception during a rally.
Tom
Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |
I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.
Wow, Dow closed over 17,000 and S&P nearing the 2000 mark again. That recovered quickly.
Let's see what tomorrow brings.
The bears were sure hibernating today in front of tomorrow's Fed meeting.
Tom
Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |
I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.
So if the Fed says the same thing they've been saying for years"no rate hikes for the next few months or longer" would that be already baked into today's rally?
Just wondering, given that after tomorrow there are only 2 trading days left, would it make more sense stepping briefly aside before jumping back in next week?
CURRENTLY 50% C and 50% S (as of COB 04/18/2024) 2nd April IFT
I think today's rally could have been the ebola sigh of relief after Obama spoke. The concern for the Fed tomorrow is what they say about deflation. That's what's hurting Europe now so we'll see if they think it will have any impact on us.
Tom
Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |
I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.
Something we've been looking at in the TSP Talk Plus reports this week...
The red boxes were the Tuesday / Wednesday meetings with the Wednesday policy statement announced.
Tom
Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |
I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.
Only concern for this correlation is that there wasn't such a strong $ and the BOJ significantly increasing their QE in September... we'll see what happens this month.
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