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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #3061

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The HYG High Yield Corporate Bond fund has been doing well since bouncing off of the 100-day EMA again. I do see the potential for a head and shoulders pattern as the right shoulder may be getting formed, but we saw almost similar action in March which led to new highs.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  3. #3062

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Who knows where this will end today, but so far the SPY filled a gap and rebounded. But it is back below the 50-day EMA.

    The space between Monday's close and today's high (currently about 244.50 and 244.10) can be considered an open gap, although not everyone views those as gaps and they aren't as apparent on the chart.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  5. #3063

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Small caps are trying to break the downtrend, but 50 EMA still in the way...




    Transports testing resistance too, although peaking above the 50 EMA. Tough one here , but you never know before a holiday. They can be pushed around pretty easily.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  7. #3064

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Depending on where you draw your crayon lines, this Nasdaq 100 looks like it really wants to (or has already) breakout of the bull flag....

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  9. #3065

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Small caps are trying to break the downtrend, but 50 EMA still in the way...




    Transports testing resistance too, although peaking above the 50 EMA. Tough one here , but you never know before a holiday. They can be pushed around pretty easily.

    Nice to see DWCPF move up above the 50 day and transports cracking above resistance. Hopefully, the advance will hold through the close and we get a nice wave up before the weekend holiday.

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  11. #3066

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Nasdaq 100 (aka QQQ) just a few points from a new all time high. What a difference a week makes.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  13. #3067

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Nasdaq 100 (aka QQQ) just a few points from a new all time high. What a difference a week makes.

    So what would this three day pattern be called? It is not technically a three white soldiers pattern since the opening price (for each of the last two days) was not within the previous day's candlestick.

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  15. #3068

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I don't know candlestick patterns in that way. I just see a breakout from a bull flag but I'm also concerned about this being a pre-holiday trading week on light volume.

    Normally a bull flag's upside target is the length of the pole so in this case we'd be talking about 6275 - 6300 before it's over, but that's if this is "normal" action. The jobs report tomorrow will make things interesting.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  16.  
  17. #3069

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Well, here's the post holiday reversal we've been talking about in our daily commentary.

    The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) had a tiny open gap that got filled this morning, but more importantly it is testing the top of its big bull flag today. So far not terrible technical action but the top of the flag or the 20-day EMA really need to hold.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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  19. #3070

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Looks like more than post holiday reversal to me. I think it's the NK fear more than profit taking at work here.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
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    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  21. #3071

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) had a tiny open gap that got filled this morning, but more importantly it is testing the top of its big bull flag today. So far not terrible technical action but the top of the flag or the 20-day EMA really need to hold.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  22.  
  23. #3072

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Interesting little drop and a pop in the Corp. high yield bond fund today. That double top gave us a pullback, but was that it?

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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