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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #3133

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    It would have been a more even playing field to pull the stats for when the Dow was down 2.5% in a day instead of 500+ points. Agree.

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    One thing may be different this time... 500-points now is a lot different than 500-points going back 25 years. I wish they would have listed the 17 times because going back 20 years (let's say 1997) the Dow was in the 7000's and 500 points was obviously much more significant.

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  3. Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The yield curve has been flattening gradually, but still isn't truly "flat", much less inverted, yet. That's usually a pretty good indicator of whether we're heading for a recession or not.
    https://www.bondsupermart.com/main/m...d-curves-chart
    My own read is that today's drop was one of those good-news-is-bad-news odd things that the market does sometimes in reaction to positive economic data (and its subsequent impact on interest rates). I'm fully expecting the Dow to be up 200-300 points on Monday morning, as it'll be seen as a buying opportunity. If we're flat or even a little negative again over the coming week, I'll be more alarmed, b/c that could mean we're off into "here be dragons" territory.

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  5. Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    i think it'll bottom out on monday and start its uptrend late monday/early tuesday. everyone over the weekend is freaking out so that'll transfer to early monday morning - so i think tuesday will be the real indicator as to whether or not we'll be in the doldrums or not
    AH52

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  7. #3136

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    We know what's happening to stocks, but it's interesting that the credit market hit and held at the 200-day EMA... so far.


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  9. #3137

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    666 number you brought up today in today's commentary reminded me of the financial crisis. I remember riding the S&P down from around 1500 to 666. It stuck in my head seeing it at that number. I did a search on it and found a link to an article back in 2014:

    https://www.ft.com/content/3cb7838e-...8-00144feab7de

    Coincidence I guess..

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  11. #3138

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Interesting. I didn't think of that, but I remember that S&P number now.

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  13. #3139

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Exchange-traded security linked to volatility plummets 80% after hours, sparking worries of market ripple effect - http://cnbc.com/id/104989938

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  15. #3140

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The number of the beast! Mauled due to greed again!

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  17. Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk



    Quote Originally Posted by badgerland View Post
    i think it'll bottom out on monday and start its uptrend late monday/early tuesday. everyone over the weekend is freaking out so that'll transfer to early monday morning - so i think tuesday will be the real indicator as to whether or not we'll be in the doldrums or not
    AH52


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  19. #3142

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The dollar filled a gap early, hit the 20-day EMA, then reversed down.


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  21. #3143

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    10-Year Treasury Yield now over 2.9%...


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  23. #3144

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    10-Year Treasury Yield now over 2.9%...

    Rising rates are not typically good for the housing or stock markets, right?

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