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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #2905

    Default re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Dollar falling hard. Gold and bonds up big. Stocks wavering.

    The January seasonality chart might suggest a day 3 (not Jan 3) pause from the 2-day rally to start the year.


    Chart provided courtesy of www.sentimentrader.com

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  3. #2906

    Default re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Big negative reversal so far in the dollar this morning. It ran up and filled two gaps, then backed down. Looks like a bear flag and it may test the 50-day EMA soon. Potentially good relative strength for the I-fund after today (in comparison to C and S?). The dollar is actually still positive today so that relative strength probably won't show up in tonight's I-fund price. It's when (if) the UUP breaks down from the flag that it may benefit the I-fund. This is not a recommendation to get in the I-fund. Just an FYI.


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  5. #2907

    Default re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    It's when (if) the UUP breaks down from the flag that it may benefit the I-fund. This is not a recommendation to get in the I-fund. Just an FYI.
    That flag breakdown didn't take long...



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  7. #2908

    Default re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The Trannies have so far successfully tested that double dose of support, but it is back below the 20-day EMA.


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  9. #2909

    Default re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The Transports have held at support so far and we're seeing a bounce off the at support this morning as the railroad stocks are doing well. There is some resistance at today's high which created a little pullback to test a new support line - created by last week's high. Looks like 9200 is that pace to watch for support now, and about 9300 for resistance.


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  11. #2910

    Default re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Gaps filled or nearly filled this morning before a bit of a negative reversal....






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  13. #2911

    Default re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Fed-speak brought buyers back this afternoon.

    http://www.cnbc.com/2017/02/01/fed-l...y-meeting.html

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  15. #2912

    Default re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The S&P is breaking above the first resistance line of rising wedge, and nearing new highs and the top of the "F" looking flag...


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  17. #2913

    Join Date
    Jun 2011
    Location
    Oklahoma City
    Posts
    118

    Default re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    The S&P is breaking above the first resistance line of rising wedge, and nearing new highs and the top of the "F" looking flag...

    Does it look like it will break out? I think if we get any indication that the regulation on banks will be changed then we will see new highs. Mid 2300"s

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  19. #2914

    Join Date
    Jun 2014
    Location
    Virginia
    Posts
    431

    Default re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Come on 2300!

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  21. #2915

    Default re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by rspring View Post
    Does it look like it will break out?
    There's a tendency to see some give backs in the days following a jobs report rally. But the real answer will come from the outcome of the Super Bowl.

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/superbowlindicator.asp

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  23. #2916

    Join Date
    Nov 2009
    Location
    Petersburg, Alaska
    Posts
    349

    Default re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    There's a tendency to see some give backs in the days following a jobs report rally. But the real answer will come from the outcome of the Super Bowl.

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/superbowlindicator.asp
    Falcon win and we bust 2300...


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