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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #2773

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The Dow just made a new all-time high this morning, and the Transports may be breaking out from their descending channel. It's early, so let's see where they close.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  3. #2774

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    The Dow just made a new all-time high this morning, and the Transports may be breaking out from their descending channel. It's early, so let's see where they close.

    Prior to this rally it seems like the C fund was gaining more than the S fund. Now it is reversed. Have any idea why?
    Is today Saturday again?

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  5. #2775

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    It has more catching up to do.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

  6.  
  7. #2776

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by jkenjohnson View Post
    Prior to this rally it seems like the C fund was gaining more than the S fund. Now it is reversed. Have any idea why?
    Probably interest rates. Small caps depend on borrowed money more than large caps and now that rates look like they'll stay down a little longer, it helps the outlook for small caps.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  8.  
  9. #2777

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Probably interest rates. Small caps depend on borrowed money more than large caps and now that rates look like they'll stay down a little longer, it helps the outlook for small caps.
    I'll buy that.
    Is today Saturday again?

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  11. #2778

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    This breakout in the dollar is probably not a good sign for the I-fund.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  12.  
  13. #2779

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Two important breakouts from bull flags this morning...



    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  14.  
  15. #2780

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    From Monday's commentary:

    "One of the more import charts is this weekly chart of the Transports. It looks like a very large inverted head and shoulders pattern, which would produce a very bullish upside target if it can breakout, but inverted H&S patterns can be continuation patterns, continuing the larger trend that it was in before the H&S, which in this case was down. So, it is very important for this market leader to move above 8000 with some authority before we can say this is bullish."




    More: TSP Talk - Market Commentary

    http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/blogs/tspt...new-highs.html
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  16.  
  17. #2781

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The early action on Monday has the SPY testing the bottom of its "F" flag, that we talked about in Monday's commentary.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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  19. #2782

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    McDonald's has been a drag on the Dow but small caps and the Transports have been doing well. The Nasdaq 100 made a brief new high this morning but has since pulled back to flat. The current candlestick is a little "toppy" so how the QQQ closes, and what kind of candlestick is created, could determine the next short-term move.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  21. #2783

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Some follow-up on QQQ. It closed up slightly but after hours it was up to 114.24 after Apple's earnings.

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    McDonald's has been a drag on the Dow but small caps and the Transports have been doing well. The Nasdaq 100 made a brief new high this morning but has since pulled back to flat. The current candlestick is a little "toppy" so how the QQQ closes, and what kind of candlestick is created, could determine the next short-term move.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  22.  
  23. #2784

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The Nasdaq is up on the Apple earnings but the other major indices are struggling this morning in front of this afternoon's Fed policy statement.

    But the flags / bases are still intact...



    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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