Top Decile Daily Results - July 07

**ATCJeff** · 07-03-2007, 03:24 AM

Daily Results Top Decile (Monday, July 02, 2007)

Thunder5________14.83% 0.08% 0.08%
Pyriel___________14.60% 1.26% 1.26% +1
BigJohn_________13.86% 1.26% 1.26% +2
Vol46___________13.68% 0.73% 0.73%
SentimentSurvey__13.46% 0.08% 0.08% -3
ChemEng________13.37% 1.17% 1.17% +1
KnotGuilty_______12.96% 0.73% 0.73% -1
Weatherweenie___12.17% 1.09% 1.09% +5
Namor__________11.88% 0.08% 0.08% +1
I fund___________11.79% 0.73% 0.73% +1
SafetyGuy_______11.66% 0.08% 0.08% -2
Russell__________11.38% 0.38% 0.38%
50 Mercury______11.35% 0.13% 0.13% -3

Format: Name, YTD Return, Weekly Return, Daily Return, Rank Change

Honors:
Top Dog = Thunder 14.83%
Top Week = Pyriel & BigJohn 1.26%
Top Today = Pyriel & BigJohn 1.26%

Today's Allocations:
Thunder5 100G
Sentimentsurvey 100g
Pyriel 100S
Vol46 100I
BigJohn 100S
KnotGuilty 100I
ChemEng 50C 50S
Namor 100G
SafetyGuy 100G
50 Mercury 50G 50F
I Fund 100I
Russell 70G 30C
Weatherweenie 50C 25S 25I

Today's Moves:
Thunder5 25S 75I
Pyriel 100G
Namor 100I
Russell 50C 50I
Weatherweenie 25C 25S 50I

Errors:
None, I hope.

News:
Congrats to Weatherweenie for a big jump in ranking. Pyriel is on an outstanding run the last few weeks.

Any errors please PM me. Thanks....

**ATCJeff** · 07-04-2007, 02:53 AM

Daily Results Top Decile (Tuesday, July 03, 2007)

Thunder5________15.43% 0.60% 0.52%
Pyriel___________14.60% 1.26% 0.00%
Vol46___________14.37% 1.33% 0.60% +1
BigJohn_________14.19% 1.55% 0.29% -1
ChemEng________13.77% 1.52% 0.35% +1
KnotGuilty_______13.64% 1.33% 0.60% +1
SentimentSurvey__13.46% 0.08% 0.00% -2
Weatherweenie___12.71% 1.57% 0.48%
Namor__________12.55% 0.68% 0.60%
I fund___________12.46% 1.33% 0.60%
Russell__________11.95% 0.89% 0.51% +1
SafetyGuy_______11.66% 0.08% 0.00%-1
50 Mercury______11.21% 0.00% 0.13%

Format: Name, YTD Return, Weekly Return, Daily Return, Rank Change

Honors:
Top Dog = Thunder 15.43%
Top Week = Weatherweenie 1.57%
Top Today = 100% I Funders'

Today's Allocations:
Thunder5 25S 75I
Sentimentsurvey 100g
Pyriel 100G
Vol46 100I
BigJohn 100S
KnotGuilty 100I
ChemEng 50C 50S
Namor 100I
SafetyGuy 100G
50 Mercury 50G 50F
I Fund 100I
Russell 50C 50I
Weatherweenie 25C 25S 50I

Today's Moves:
Thunder5 40G 20C/S/I
Pyriel 100I
ChemEng 100G
Weatherweenie 25C 75I

Errors:
None, I hope.

News:
Tomorrow is a vacation! Happy 4th of July gang.

Any errors please PM me. Thanks....

**ATCJeff** · 07-06-2007, 04:28 AM

Daily Results Top Decile (Thursday, July 05, 2007)

Thunder5________15.48% 0.64% 0.04%
BigJohn_________14.58% 1.89% 0.34% +2
Pyriel___________14.46% 1.14% 0.12% -1
Vol46___________14.23% 1.21% 0.12% -1
ChemEng________13.77% 1.52% 0.00%
KnotGuilty_______13.50% 1.21% 0.12%
SentimentSurvey__13.46% 0.08% 0.00%
Weatherweenie___12.61% 1.48% 0.09%
Namor__________12.42% 0.56% 0.12%
I fund___________12.33% 1.21% 0.12%
Russell__________11.88% 0.83% 0.06%
SafetyGuy_______11.66% 0.08% 0.00%
50 Mercury______11.01% 0.18% 0.18%

Format: Name, YTD Return, Weekly Return, Daily Return, Rank Change

Honors:
Top Dog = Thunder 15.48%
Top Week = BigJohn 1.89%
Top Today = BigJohn 0.34% (100% S)

Today's Allocations:
Thunder5 40G 20C 20S 20I
Sentimentsurvey 100g
Pyriel 100I
Vol46 100I
BigJohn 100S
KnotGuilty 100I
ChemEng 100G
Namor 100I
SafetyGuy 100G
50 Mercury 50G 50F
I Fund 100I
Russell 50C 50I
Weatherweenie 25C 75I

Today's Moves:
Thunder5 100G
Pyriel 100G
BigJohn 100G
Russell 15G 40C 15S 30I
Weatherweenie 100G

Errors:
None

News:
None

Any errors please PM me. Thanks....

**ATCJeff** · 07-07-2007, 02:18 AM

Daily Results Top Decile (Friday, July 06, 2007)

Thunder5________15.48% 0.64% 0.00%
Vol46___________14.73% 1.65% 0.44% +2
BigJohn_________14.58% 1.89% 0.00% -1
Pyriel___________14.46% 1.14% 0.00% -1
KnotGuilty_______14.00% 1.65% 0.44% +1
ChemEng________13.77% 1.52% 0.00% -1
SentimentSurvey__13.46% 0.08% 0.00%
Namor___________12.91% 1.00% 0.44% +1
I fund___________12.82% 1.65% 0.44% +1
Weatherweenie___12.61% 1.48% 0.00% -2
Russell__________12.30% 1.20% 0.37%
SafetyGuy_______11.66% 0.08% 0.00%
50 Mercury______10.91% 0.27% 0.09%

Format: Name, YTD Return, Weekly Return, Daily Return, Rank Change

Honors:
Top Dog = Thunder 15.48%
Top Week = BigJohn 1.89%
Top Today = 100% I Funders'

Today's Allocations:
Thunder5 100G
Sentimentsurvey 100g
Pyriel 100G
Vol46 100I
BigJohn 100G
KnotGuilty 100I
ChemEng 100G
Namor 100I
SafetyGuy 100G
50 Mercury 50G 50F
I Fund 100I
Russell 15G 40C 15S 30I
Weatherweenie 100G

Today's Moves:
Russell 25G 75I

Errors:
None

News:
None

Any errors please PM me. Thanks....

**ATCJeff** · 07-07-2007, 03:22 PM

Saturday Update (July 07, 2007)

Rokid's Tally

1. Thunder5 15.49%
2. Vol46 14.74%
3. BigJohn 14.57%
4. Pyriel 14.46%
5. KnotGuilty 14.01%
6. ChemEng 13.77%
7. SentimentSurvey 13.46%
8. Namor 12.92%
9. I Fund 12.83%
10. TSPgo High Risk 12.58%
11. Weatherweenie 12.54%
12. ATCJeff 12.44%
13. WindHunter 12.37%

New Members:
ATCJeff ( I'm Back)
TSPgo High Risk
WindHunter

Current Allocations:
Thunder5 100G
Vol46 100I
BigJohn 100G
Pyriel 100G
KnotGuilty 100I
ChemEng 100G
Sentiment Survey 100G
Namor 100I
I Fund 100I
TSPgo High Risk 100I
Weatherweenie 100G
ATCJeff 100G
WindHunter 100G

**ATCJeff** · 07-08-2007, 04:53 PM

Something odd....

Look at the top 13 allocations and you'll see something strange. The only two allocations you'll see for Monday is 100% G or 100% I.

**Show-me** · 07-08-2007, 05:19 PM

That is very interesting.

**vol46** · 07-08-2007, 10:16 PM

Squirrels 7 Bulls 3

Reminds me of the squirrels running down the tree, gathering a few nuts, and scurrying back up the tree.
Whereas the bulls are standing in the arena waiting for the matador. Not a good scenario for the bulls.

**Birchtree** · 07-08-2007, 11:01 PM

My friend, you ever seen a squirrel caught between four tires that are moving? It's called panic. Too much focus on a single trade causes the fear levels to rise. As this occurs, market timers become hesitant and cautious, trying to avoid mistakes. The risks of choking under pressure (not making a trade) builds. The desire to be right is in direct opposition to the ability to make money. Trying to read between the lines makes me wonder how many young men in their mid twenties have enough balance to push around - it does make bunny hopping easier when there is minimal dough on the line. The fear of loss can keep a market timer from executing a trade - or is it capital appreciation - anyway it takes all kinds of strategies to make a market.

**BigJohn** · 07-09-2007, 04:22 PM

As one of the "squirrels" I find it interesting that my choice to be in the G fund was described in general terms as being motivated by "fear," "panic," "hesitation," "caution," and "choking." To be fair, Birch does admit that it takes all kinds to make a market...only after starkly categorizing those that differ from his buy and hold strategy. Also to be fair, I am a big fan of Birch's postings and have read them for quite some time...and truly took little offense to this one, I just wanted to poke a little fun at him.

My "bunny hoping approach" as he describes it has based around the tried and truism that "pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered." On a monthly basis if I have some good days in the stock market and get up .5-1.5 %, I will go to the G fund unless something I read on this site or in the WS Journal makes me think otherwise. I read all of the postings of last years top performers and make my moves accordingly...not out of fear, or a lack of testosterone.

Best of luck to everyone with all investment methods.

**Griffin** · 07-09-2007, 06:42 PM

Well said, I read all the top performers comments (this year and lasts) - even if they are so humble, they emphatically deny they have any skill (you know who you are

). I'm all for continued new highs, but most of the major foreign and domestic indexs have not seen new highs in weeks - that is typically a good sign that the market is about to correct - so I am inclined to describe your position as "sensible", "calculated" etc....but get ready to hop faast 'cause we could see the shorts get squeezed real hard before the correction comes.

Originally Posted by BigJohn

As one of the "squirrels" I find it interesting that my choice to be in the G fund was described in general terms as being motivated by "fear," "panic," "hesitation," "caution," and "choking." To be fair, Birch does admit that it takes all kinds to make a market...only after starkly categorizing those that differ from his buy and hold strategy. Also to be fair, I am a big fan of Birch's postings and have read them for quite some time...and truly took little offense to this one, I just wanted to poke a little fun at him.

My "bunny hoping approach" as he describes it has based around the tried and truism that "pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered." On a monthly basis if I have some good days in the stock market and get up .5-1.5 %, I will go to the G fund unless something I read on this site or in the WS Journal makes me think otherwise. I read all of the postings of last years top performers and make my moves accordingly...not out of fear, or a lack of testosterone.

Best of luck to everyone with all investment methods.

**GGal** · 07-09-2007, 11:53 PM

Originally Posted by Griffin

Well said, I read all the top performers comments (this year and lasts) - even if they are so humble, they emphatically deny they have any skill (you know who you are

). I'm all for continued new highs, but most of the major foreign and domestic indexs have not seen new highs in weeks - that is typically a good sign that the market is about to correct - so I am inclined to describe your position as "sensible", "calculated" etc....but get ready to hop faast 'cause we could see the shorts get squeezed real hard before the correction comes.

I don't know what squeezing the shorts means (except sometimes I do it to my husband playfully).....