Thread: Weekly Account Tally Talk

I see from this week's Tally, Nutt and Rod are definitely most improved from last year!

Is this because their particular style is better suited to the current market conditions?

Or have they changed gears?

Answers, please.

GA

Rod was in G-fund for a big chunk of last year while deployed. He got stuck with the drop in May.

Originally Posted by GeorgiaGal

I see from this week's Tally, Nutt and Rod are definitely most improved from last year!

Is this because their particular style is better suited to the current market conditions?

Or have they changed gears?

Answers, please.

GA

GaGal, when I read your post it really made me think about what I'm doing differently this year. Last year I was lucky enough to miss the May dive into the dirt. I think that made me overly cautious which drove me in and out of the markets when they were really in an uptrend, should have been in when I was out. Ended up between 11% and 12% should have done much better, like you. I follow the chart channels a lot more this year, up, down, up, down, if all of the other conditions are upbeat and funds are at the bottom (where ever that is) of their channel I'm in. I pay a lot of attention to energy, Economic Calendars (that's a big one) the dollar effect on the "I" fund etc. In other words I've been lucky but it seems to be working better for some reason. Just luck GaGal, no real system, just watching what's going on every day. I'm sure I won't be in the top 10 much longer, there are some really sharp traders on this web site and they will be leaving me in the dust before long.
Norman

Congrats, Tech.....looks like the Monkey Bar is paying off!

Maybe you can lead me to 30%? I did the calc's at TSP.gov, and with 30% a year for the next 7 years, I can retire in grand style and also leave huge trusts to my two beautiful daughters.

I am amazed by you and others here. You know there's some young upstarts that are going to be nipping at your heels soon! LOL!

GA

I see Trader Fred is in 137th place. Heck, if I were in the Tally even I would be doing better than that (albeit not by too much). Fred is going to have to make a move here pretty. From where I am sitting, his "system" is looking about as reliable as Tom's, EbbnFlow's, Mlk's, mine, or anybody elses

Its a long term thing. It wouldn't be fair to judge anyone on a few weeks.

Originally Posted by Wheels

I see Trader Fred is in 137th place. Heck, if I were in the Tally even I would be doing better than that (albeit not by too much). Fred is going to have to make a move here pretty. From where I am sitting, his "system" is looking about as reliable as Tom's, EbbnFlow's, Mlk's, mine, or anybody elses

Wheels, I'm with FundSurfer on this one. I'm pretty sure Trader Fred still feels confident about his system. Same here, and even though my horse stumbled out of the gate early this year, I won't be satisfied with less than a +30% return. I can remember a couple years back when people here would be patting each other on the back for getting a 10% return. I don't think that would fly anymore at this stage. Last year's old and new TSPTalkers have raised the bar for good. Onward and forward, TSPTalkers!

Originally Posted by Wheels

I see Trader Fred is in 137th place. Heck, if I were in the Tally even I would be doing better than that (albeit not by too much). Fred is going to have to make a move here pretty. From where I am sitting, his "system" is looking about as reliable as Tom's, EbbnFlow's, Mlk's, mine, or anybody elses

Yup. It dropped from #22 to #137 since that last buy and sell signal. I'm glad this is a marathon and not a sprint.

On a positive note, the TSP Talk Longer Term Inactive account is 9th (+4.75&#37 this year after finishing 11th (+19%) last year.

Originally Posted by ebbnflow

Wheels, I'm with FundSurfer on this one. I'm pretty sure Trader Fred still feels confident about his system. Same here, and even though my horse stumbled out of the gate early this year, I won't be satisfied with less than a +30% return. I can remember a couple years back when people here would be patting each other on the back for getting a 10% return. I don't think that would fly anymore at this stage. Last year's old and new TSPTalkers have raised the bar for good. Onward and forward, TSPTalkers!

30%!!?? ...you do that and you buy the champagne

Yeah, it's wayyyy too early in the game to begin judging anyone's return or system. I'd say that should come on Jan 1st for the previous year!

This past week was a prime example of how folks can quickly climb or fall on the tally. Next week will once again shake things up.

I'm very comfortable with my return because it's the best I've been at this early in the year.

Previous years:

2006: +1.99% on 16 Feb

2005: -.10% 0n 14 Feb

No tracker for 2004 or earlier although I could probably back-date some. I began the TSP when it became available to the military. But, I did not begin to actively trade until I found TSP Talk in Jun of 2004.

God Bless

I stand by my system just the way Trader Fred does his - and when he does a rolling flip flop back to the buy signal - I'll still be standing stationary with my system. I do hope I can get some dynamism this year.