January 06 Tally

**FundSurfer** · 02-02-2006, 04:23 PM

Thanks to Milkman for entering all the data, I just massage the numbers. We now have 80!! people being tracked. Since the list is so long, I'm only posting an abreviated list with an attached text file with the whole list.

Code:

            Jan   Last 3    Last 6    Last 12  2005 Total
                   Months    Months    Months
G-fund     0.36%   1.17%     2.26%      4.39%     4.49%
F-fund     0.09%   1.42%     0.87%      1.93%     2.40%
C-fund     2.66%   6.49%     4.76%     10.18%     4.96%
S-fund     6.70%  11.79%     9.27%     20.73%    10.45%
I-fund     6.14%  13.22%    17.23%     21.32%    13.63%
20% Each   3.19%   6.82%     6.88%     11.71%     7.29%

Long Term GURU's - Last 12 months better than C-fund

Dakota     4.03%  10.55%    13.20%     19.88%    14.01%
Showme     0.81%   5.42%    10.80%     17.04%    13.43%
Neirbod    2.53%   9.20%    11.74%     14.84%     8.91%
Pyriel     2.75%   7.97%    10.21%     14.09%     7.89%
Rokid      4.14%   8.41%     7.80%     14.07%     8.07%
mlk_man    2.82%   9.87%    12.96%     13.86%     8.68%
Cowboy     1.81%   6.56%    10.90%     12.57%   #N/A
Rod        2.10%   8.30%    10.12%     11.88%     7.56%
Tekno      1.48%   3.49%     4.44%     11.78%   #N/A
Safetygu   3.88%   6.19%     6.63%     11.43%     3.94%
Systemtr   2.53%   9.17%     9.78%     11.19%     7.62%
Mike       2.63%   7.68%     8.95%     10.95%     5.21%
Skip       2.82%   7.30%     6.69%     10.80%     7.69%

Top 5 January Returns

Brak       5.38%  #N/A     #N/A      #N/A       #N/A
Aslan      5.26%  10.77%     6.50%   #N/A       #N/A
Terptrad   5.21%  #N/A     #N/A      #N/A       #N/A
andy       5.04%   5.85%     6.94%   #N/A       #N/A
GGal       4.90%  10.17%    11.55%   #N/A       #N/A

Note that to have data for a month you must have started posting before the last day of the previous month.

Milk_man e-mails out a spreadsheet with all the data. Please check that sheet for correct data entry BEFORE PM'ing Milk_man or myself that your number is wrong. We do the best job we can, but we don't catch everything.

These data have had compounding taken out of these numbers so that we are comparing apples to apples. It makes a difference by the time you get to the end of the year. If you want to see compounding then download Tom's spreadsheet and enter your data in that. This Tally is for comparitive purposes. We don't want someone to have an advantage in their monthly totals because they have been posting longer than someone else.

If you have a comment about what columns are shown, let us know. We had a discussion before but I don't think many people saw the discussion. In the future I will add a YTD column (year to date) but it would be a repeat of January this month.

**mlk_man** · 02-02-2006, 04:47 PM

Nice job FS, you quick!!

**pyriel** · 02-02-2006, 06:43 PM

Originally Posted by mlk_man

Nice job FS, you quick!!

2nd day of the month... That is quick...;-)

**FundSurfer** · 02-02-2006, 08:41 PM

I bit the bullet and figured out a better way of setting up the formulas this year. I also set up the spreadsheet at the beginning of the year so it would be easier. It is pretty easy to copy some formulas around and cut n paste results but it takes a lot of time to enter all those transfers. Like I said, milk_man did all the work.

**Fivetears** · 02-02-2006, 11:48 PM

Where's mine, FS? My personal Excel tracker has me at a 3.43% for January. I'm not sure what the MM tracker has me at.

**mlk_man** · 02-03-2006, 01:47 AM

Originally Posted by Fivetears

Where's mine, FS? My personal Excel tracker has me at a 3.43% for January. I'm not sure what the MM tracker has me at.

This is a quote from fundsurfers orginal post

"Note that to have data for a month you must have started posting before the last day of the previous month."

If you need more explanation, let me know.

**rokid** · 02-09-2006, 02:10 AM

FYI. The attached is based on the Jan 2006 tally. I wanted to see what correlation there was, if any, between YTD returns, investment style, and number of moves.

Oops. Can't upload the file. It's too large. Too bad.

**rokid** · 02-09-2006, 08:42 AM

Here is the file described in the previous post. Conversion of the file to .pdf made it small enough to load. Note, the term "decile" just means 10% of the total - in this case groups of eight.

**mlk_man** · 02-09-2006, 12:53 PM

I believe you're doing us an injustice here rokid. One month during a major uptrend is not a very good indicator that one should set it and hold it.

I understand that you're just trying to prove your own opinion though. I do however question your motives. Guess it might take going through another 3 year bear market to change your mind. According to Tech and Wiz, that time could be now..............

Best of luck to you!

M_M

**oldschool** · 02-09-2006, 01:22 PM

Thanks Rokid, MLK, interesting! I do wonder how things would look after even one down month. I'd hazard a guess that overall folks would under/out perform C (for example) in roughly the same proportions, but the names (i.e. investing styles) that outperformed would change quite a bit.

oldschool

**pyriel** · 02-09-2006, 06:02 PM

My friend and I stumbled on this site over a year ago. When we learned about what people are doing we decided to try it. I started jumping around while he kept his at 20c40s40i. Well, as everyone can see, he got more than 10% return while I got a paltry 7.49% for the year. He is still 20c40s40i and kicking my butt for this year. I've changed my timing tactics and not moving as much. However, if he still kick my butt for the next six months, I will probably will switch to hold and steady investing. The only thing I would keep is to send my new investment to the G fund so that I can buy on the downtrend later. P