Fedsmith has another article today:
http://www.fedsmith.com/article/1486/
The stock market is poised to take a significant drop today.
Perhaps you are thinking that the market has already taken a step drop and you might be asking yourself: "How can it drop any further?"
It is understandable why readers would be thinking that it cannot drop any further. Before the market has opened this morning, the C fund is down 9.66%; the I fund is down 8.97% and the S fund is down 11.72%. The lifecycle funds are also down with a range of -1.72% for the income fund to -8.06% for the L2040 fund.
But these figures do not mean the market cannot fall further. In fact, it is likely to take a big dip. There has been panic selling in overseas markets while the federal government and the stock market was closed on Monday. The market futures show the possibility of another drop of 4% (500 points) or so.
In answer to the question on the minds of many readers, keep in mind this point of reference: The stock market dropped 500 points in one day on October 19, 1987. The leadiing Dow Jones index at that time was about 2300. A 500 point decline equaled a drop of more than 22% in one day. Check out the charts that depict the wild ride. Also keep in mind that after the dramatic drop, the stock market started going up and, even with the recent drops, it is still above 12,000 at the time of this writing.
Most of the participants in the Thrift Savings Plan have a considerable part of their investments in the G and F funds. These funds are not as likely to be damaged in a sudden drop of the market. As you can see from our TSP charts at the top of many pages on our site, these funds are up as of this morning while the other funds are all down.
Read the complete article at: http://www.fedsmith.com/article/1486/
So much for the "safe" Lincome fund!
"All the prophets of Doom, Can always find room, In a world full of worry and fear..." - Protest Song, Monty Python
From "Govexec.com" yesterday:
TSP prepares for increased activity due to stock market plunge
By Brittany R. Ballenstedt
bballenstedt@govexec.com January 22, 2008
Officials overseeing the Thrift Savings Plan said Tuesday that they are prepared to handle an influx of calls and other activity resulting from market volatility.
At a monthly meeting of the Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board, officials said they have increased call center support for participants worried about their plan assets. Stock markets worldwide took a nosedive on Monday, while U.S. markets were closed for the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday. On Tuesday, the S&P 500 index lost 1.1 percent, ending the day at a more than 16-month low.
"Obviously the markets are going through some sizable amount of volatility both here and around the world," said Andrew Saul, chairman of the board. "Long-term investing has proved a very sensible thing, but on the other hand, this is a free country, and everyone has to make their own decisions as to how they want to handle their own finances."
The news comes as officials are working to limit the number of interfund transfers participants can conduct to two each month. They plan to publish final regulations on transfers in the Federal Register in February. The rules will take effect in late March or April.
Still, trading was down slightly in December, when 133,550 interfund transfers were processed, compared with 188,623 in November. Officials chalked up the decrease to media reports on the potential impact of interfund transfers on the overall cost of running the plan.
"People have read that this is an issue of concern," said Gregory Long, TSP executive director. "Some have calmed down; others haven't."
Meanwhile, officials noted that for 2007, the administrative costs to TSP participants were only one basis point, or 1 cent for every $100 invested. Last year's low cost was largely due to a significant amount of money being forfeited to the plan to cover employees who were placed in the wrong retirement system.
The forfeitures are a result of the 2000 Federal Erroneous Retirement Coverage Corrections Act, which sought to provide relief to employees who spent at least three years in the wrong retirement plan after the Federal Employees Retirement System was introduced in 1987. Once the law is phased out, officials said, administrative costs likely will increase to what they were in recent years. In 2006, TSP participants paid three basis points, still far below comparable private sector plans, which often cost 50 to 80 basis points to run.
"It's really how many angels can dance on the head of a pin because we're talking about such small numbers," Long said. "The primary point is to say that the one basis point figure may go up."
TSP Legislative Director Thomas Trabucco said officials recently met with members of Congress to make minor changes to legislation that would allow automatic employee enrollment in the plan and change the default fund for indecisive investors to the appropriate life-cycle fund. Trabucco said the legislation should be ready for introduction soon.
Lawmakers have expressed concern over the cost implications of the automatic enrollment proposal, since it would result in more federal employees deferring some of their salary from their taxable income. While a Congressional Budget Office estimate cannot be made until the legislation is introduced, Trabucco acknowledged that an unofficial accounting indicates the proposal could deprive the U.S. Treasury of hundreds of millions in tax dollars.
The legislative proposals will be discussed further at TSP's next board meeting, set for Feb. 19. Officials also plan to provide an update on the potential for creating customizable user identifications to replace the 13-digit account numbers participants have been using since October 2007.
"The 13-digit account number is very challenging for folks to remember," said Mark Hagerty, TSP chief information officer. "There's lots of work required to get the [customizable identification] up and operational, but it should make the site more user-friendly."
Source: http://govexec.com/story_page.cfm?ar...dcn=todaysnews
"Staff Told to Protect Thrift Savings Plan's Assets"
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...203066_pf.html
Are they talking about costs our OUR ASSESTS?
"The 13-digit account number is very challenging for folks to remember," said Mark Hagerty, TSP chief information officer. "There's lots of work required to get the [customizable identification] up and operational, but it should make the site more user-friendly."
Holy Cow ... I had my 13-digit number memorized after using it a couple of times. Just how stupid do these people think we are???
To get to the light at the end of the tunnel, you have to be willing to face the train.
Rumor check:
I just saw this message on the TSPSHAREHOLDER.ORG petition site-
And entry that the TSP has screwed up bigtime, and sent the wrong quarter statemetn out to over a hundred and fifty thousands employees (At a cost of about a buck apiece):
# 3,142: Jan 24, 2008, Anonymous , Maryland
The TSP just mailed over 150,000 people the 3rd quarter statement (2nd copy) instead of the 4th quarter statement so guess who will pay for this mistake. We need to make some real changes to the TSP Board!
My question- is this true? Can anyone confirm that they got a third quarter statement rather than a 4th quarter statement just mailed to them?
I would like to double check some facts and get thrid party verification before I do anything with this....
Thanks
Heh! You can bet your account that they are absolutley convinced that you, and we all, are stupider than they. So if we are stupider than them; and we already know how stupider they themselves are, you can get an idea of how stupider they think we are, cheese!![]()
(all grammatacal, punctuation and spelling errors intentionally not corrected for illustrative purposes)
May God bless this Country, it's people, and all of us on this message board, and especially our Country's leaders, whoever they are, Please pray with me for our leaders to be lead out of their darkness, and into the light. I truly fear they are lost.
God bless us all.
Ray
"He also serves who only stands and waits" - John Milton
Help With Passwords
I’ve been using a tiny program to handle my trillion passwords for years that is excellent. I’m still using a ’99 Pro version but I’m sure today’s Lite, $20 or Standard $30 will suffice for quick handling of passwords. It’s called Perfect Keyboard and there’s a Trial Version. I love it. One just has to press 1 keyboard character to insert a password.
Homepage: http://softwareutilities.com/pkindex.htm Versions: http://softwareutilities.com/pk-editions.htm
Costs: http://order.kagi.com/cgi-bin/store.cgi?storeID=PI2&&
My problems at work- passwords change ALWAYS. But I do not have ' system administrator ' privileges to install. I guess Perfect Keyboard is for home use? Right?
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