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Thread: Will the S Fund Rebound?

  1. #13

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    S fund did good yesterday and down a lil so far shortly after the open. Might be a good time to jump in.

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  3. #14

    Join Date
    May 2006
    Location
    Mesa, Arizona
    Posts
    111

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    RSI on the DW4500 has hit the 70 mark. I am weary of a pullback down to the 50 level on the RSI. The index has been almost straight up for the past 2 months or so. Could be due for a sizeable pullback (anywhere from 20 to 65 points). The index has gained about 80 points in the last two months. I think you can play it on the dips hoping for an up day following but be ready to pull out if it is down a couple of days in a row. My methods of evaluation have me on the sideline for this week. May either re-enter tomorrow COB or Friday COB but most likely in the I.

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  5. #15

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    S's been doing very well, but what will happen if the fed doesn't cut interest rates?

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  7. #16

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    Quote Originally Posted by DCguy View Post
    S's been doing very well, but what will happen if the fed doesn't cut interest rates?
    I don't think another rate cut at the next FOMC meeting is really a strong expectation at this point. If that's the case, then no cut should not have a significant impact.

    As always, the way they write the minutes and the fed speak surrounding the meeting will likely have a greater impact on the market either way.
    Official Retirement Date: 06-31-2014!

  8.  
  9. #17

    Join Date
    Dec 2006
    Location
    Idabel, OK
    Posts
    299

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    S fund should have made +.14 today and the C +.08

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  11. #18

    Join Date
    Dec 2006
    Location
    Idabel, OK
    Posts
    299

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    Quote Originally Posted by DennisFAA View Post
    By this way of looking at it..What did S do yesterday by comparison?

    Thanks
    Today's final was C +.08 and S +.13
    Yesterday was C -.09 and S -.17


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  13. #19

    Join Date
    Dec 2006
    Location
    Idabel, OK
    Posts
    299

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    Quote Originally Posted by DennisFAA View Post
    First of all, thank you for the patient reply.

    So if I understand this correctly..If I was in S yesterday, I technically lost .17 cents/share...and if I was still in S today, I earned technically .13 cents/share...Then if I jumped out of S for another fund for Monday, that means my net loss for the Thursday and Friday was .04 cents/share...

    Correct my thinking please if I'm way off..

    Thanks again...
    You got it, Dennis!

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  15. #20

    Join Date
    May 2006
    Location
    Mesa, Arizona
    Posts
    111

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    Sorry I missed some of the blog late last week. I was on my RDO and was busy on a garage sale deal over Friday and Saturday mornings. I am staying put in the G fund most likely for the rest of this week but certainly for another day or two. The S Fund was due for a pullback and now it is a question of how much. After todays close, I will take a look at the chart and try to come up with some projected pullback levels (Fibonnocci). The RSI on the DW4500 was also up there hitting 70 on Wednesday. RSI of 70 usually is indicative of a pullback coming. The current RSI is 62. I would like to see that come down to around 50. That might be a good reentry area. The index was up 62.5 points since September 14 through October 11. A 20 to 40 point pullback wouldn't be out of the question. It has already pulled back almost 15.5 points with todays action so far.

    As a side note, energy stocks are exploding up and are offsetting what would be bigger losses in the market. I have a portfolio of energy stock options that I am playing with. This morning, all of my current holdings eclipsed the 70 levels on RSI. I elected to sell everything and bank some huge gains of over 100%. I think the energy stocks will be pulling back and that will have a huge effect on the market possibly pulling it down with them. Once the energy stocks pull back, I will probaby buy some more long options. I am feeling wary about the markets right now.

    S fund is currently down around 0.9% for the day (-$0.19).

    Short term, I am in the G 100%.

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  17. #21

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    I moved from the I to the S fund for Tuesday. Think small caps will roll after todays drop. free for all!!

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  19. #22

    Join Date
    May 2006
    Location
    Mesa, Arizona
    Posts
    111

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    I have just been doing some chart analysis and found some interesting numbers. The DW4500 has currently retraced 45% of its September 25 low, 75.7% of its October 4 low and its RSI has dropped down to 56. A drop below 50 could signal a trend change with a much larger drop towards the August lows. We have currently retraced about 18.7% of the August low. I am hoping for another upward bounce and will move into the S for tomorrow. This may be the last upleg before a much larger pullback or it may just be a continuation of the uptrend. I will keep my finger on the trigger to pull my funds if anything starts to go wrong!

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  21. #23

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    hm.. C and S lost all gains in the morning and are down 1%... will probably end up in the red.. It's too late for an IFT...

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  23. #24

    Join Date
    Dec 2004
    Location
    Bethesda, MD
    Posts
    1,704

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    Quote Originally Posted by DCguy View Post
    hm.. C and S lost all gains in the morning and are down 1%... will probably end up in the red.. It's too late for an IFT...
    Good thing you couldn't IFT... S fund looks like it'll get .26%.
    Last edited by fedgolfer; 10-17-2007 at 03:16 PM.

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