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Thread: Unemployment Rate over 12 Month MA Strategy

  1. #25

    Default Re: Unemployment Rate over 12 Month MA Strategy

    Here is the unemployment rate for January:

    Rate: 4.8%
    12 MMA: 4.84%
    Crossover: rate still below 12 MMA
    Trend: still going down

    That means no change. We are still in the market.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 21 : 100% S. | Retirement Date: Dec 2022
    Past Returns:
    2016 -1.79%, 2015 8.71%, 2014 -7.39%, 2013 17.29%, 2012 2.75%,5Yr Avg 3.57%

  2.  
  3. #26

    Default Re: Unemployment Rate over 12 Month MA Strategy

    For those who need a chart to see how close we are to the bottom today relative to historical norms, here you go.

    unempJan2017.png
    Allocations as of COB Dec 21 : 100% S. | Retirement Date: Dec 2022
    Past Returns:
    2016 -1.79%, 2015 8.71%, 2014 -7.39%, 2013 17.29%, 2012 2.75%,5Yr Avg 3.57%

  4.  
  5. #27

    Join Date
    Jun 2004
    Location
    Boiled Peanut, Georgia, USA
    Posts
    44,680

    Default Re: Unemployment Rate over 12 Month MA Strategy

    Yes those stuck with Minimum Wage and a 30 hour week have exploded in resent years.
    Links Crude Settle $47.97 03-24-2017
    +$.27 Gain


  6.  
  7. #28

    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    San Diego, CA
    Posts
    6,730

    Default Re: Unemployment Rate over 12 Month MA Strategy

    With the promise of jobs from this administration, watch this number rise. More Unemployed, a.k.a. gave up looking, may be coming back into the count. I think you will see skewed numbers for a bit. (Not a political post)
    It's a Constitutional Republic, not a Democracy, idiot!
    Tracker =
    100%G ::::Real World = 100%G

  8.  
  9. #29

    Join Date
    Feb 2012
    Location
    Arkansas
    Posts
    2,045

    Default Re: Unemployment Rate over 12 Month MA Strategy

    Will the number of employed (paid) protestors offset the number of unemployed protestors in unemployment reports?
    Are there more shepherds than sheep?
    It appears "protestor" is fast becoming a job title. Will the Trump administration be credited with creating those jobs?
    it looks like a solid 4-8 year full-time occupation.
    I wonder if they can apply for unemployment when the gig is up?

  10.  
  11. #30

    Join Date
    Jul 2016
    Location
    Texas
    Posts
    1,246

    Default Re: Unemployment Rate over 12 Month MA Strategy

    Nonfarm Payrolls - M/M change - Consensus: 175,000 Actual 227,000

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  13. #31

    Join Date
    Feb 2012
    Location
    Arkansas
    Posts
    2,045

    Default Re: Unemployment Rate over 12 Month MA Strategy

    The High Cost of a Home Is Turning American Millennials Into the New Serfs

    The High Cost of a Home Is Turning American Millennials Into the New Serfs - The Daily Beast

    Article is as much about lower/stagnant wages and less than full time employment opportunities as it is higher housing costs.
    Last edited by nnuut; 02-04-2017 at 12:12 PM.

  14.  
  15. #32

    Default Re: Unemployment Rate over 12 Month MA Strategy

    Here is the unemployment rate for February:

    Rate: 4.7%
    12 MMA: 4.83%
    Crossover: rate still below 12 MMA
    Trend: still going down
    That means no change. We are still in the market.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 21 : 100% S. | Retirement Date: Dec 2022
    Past Returns:
    2016 -1.79%, 2015 8.71%, 2014 -7.39%, 2013 17.29%, 2012 2.75%,5Yr Avg 3.57%

  16.  
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