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View Poll Results: What Will a Gov't Shutdown Mean for the Stock Market?

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  • It will go up

    6 17.65%
  • It will go down

    13 38.24%
  • Not sure

    15 44.12%
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Thread: What Will a Gov't Shutdown Mean for the Market?

  1. #13

    Default Re: What Will a Gov't Shutdown Mean for the Market?

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    Those who actually answer the phones at the call center are no longer Federal employees. They used to be, until it was contracted out under the prior President .

    Those answering the phones today at TSP are contractor emplpoyees, and the contract runs year to year.

    A shutdown should not affect the ability to move money around in the TSP.

    (No special knowledge- just my thoughts on the subject).
    I was thinking that too (because they are contractors) but do gov't contractors continue to work during a shutdown? Officially, they wouldn't be getting paid, no?

    Here's an article I found on the shutdown ... Psst. No shutdown during a 'government shutdown'

    "Regardless, federal contractors would lose out. Many contract workers could be furloughed without pay and not receive lost wages retroactively, especially in an extended shutdown. "
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  2.  
  3. #14

    Join Date
    Sep 2004
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    Surfing, USA
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    1,647

    Default Re: What Will a Gov't Shutdown Mean for the Market?

    The markets don't like uncertainty. There are a bunch of other things going on right now that make the markets jittery. I think the markets go down, but not like a rock. I think an interesting poll would be, will we have a shutdown and if so how long. I'm thinking we have a weekend shutdown. What will be interesting is to see who blinks first.
    A distribution of monkeys throwing darts to choose their allocations would likely have produced a higher performer ...-Desperado ... My Account & My Account Talk

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  5. #15

    Default Re: What Will a Gov't Shutdown Mean for the Market?

    Quote Originally Posted by Appatite View Post
    A government shutdown means the people working the Lincoln Memorial and other sites will be staying home. The rest will be working, right? Just the rumor I read this morning.
    __________________
    Aiming for one of those 15% years. Man, that would be nice.

    Hope you get it (the 15%). Me be happy to be within 15% of the tracker leader eoy. Disreguard my signature for the present.
    "I'm your Huckleberry"

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  7. #16

    Default IF Gov. shuts down what will the market do? Poll

    Take the Poll and/or post your comments!
    I like TSPTalk and I think most people here are well-intentioned but if I followed their advice, I'd be hunkered down in my basement with a thousand cans of tuna fish.

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  9. #17

    Default Re: IF Gov. shuts down what will the market do? Poll

    i'm more concerned with what the markets might do before the shut down.

    got all my travel money reimbursed, payday is next monday but usually hits the bank 24:00 friday night, plus my emergency accounts, and i'm getting a new computer.

    please, please, hold out for a sensible sparse budget boys, and i could use a free two weeks off.
    100g

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  11. #18

    Join Date
    Feb 2011
    Location
    Philly
    Posts
    412

    Default Re: IF Gov. shuts down what will the market do? Poll

    If there is a shutdown, can you take leave during it and still get paid?


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  13. #19

    Join Date
    Dec 2007
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    inland Northwest
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    4,124

    Default Re: IF Gov. shuts down what will the market do? Poll

    Quote Originally Posted by pmcint01 View Post
    If there is a shutdown, can you take leave during it and still get paid?
    sorry, but no. In fact you'd be wasting your a/l if you did that. think of it as involuntary-ie you would be at work if you could, therefore if/when the gov turns back on, we are likely to get reimbursed for time presumed we would have been working. thats the way it went last time.

    nobody (of those told to stay home) gets paid unless the gov turns back on, once it turns off. if you are required to work during the shutdown (some people would be), you'll get paid regardless.
    "life can only be understood backwards, but it must be lived forwards" - soren kierkegaard

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  15. #20

    Join Date
    Feb 2011
    Location
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    412

    Default Re: IF Gov. shuts down what will the market do? Poll

    I read one article that they'd have to turn off the blackberry service so that you wouldn't be able to do any work during the shutdown. Apparently part of the anti-deficiency act does not allow people to work if the government can't pay them.

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  17. #21

    Join Date
    Dec 2007
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    Default Re: IF Gov. shuts down what will the market do? Poll

    Let's see, the Pres., Joint Chiefs of Staff, etc. other "essential employees" as defined-they will stay on the job, their blackberries wont be turned off. again, "essential employees" will continue working and get paid. all others will be required to stay home and not work until called back.
    "life can only be understood backwards, but it must be lived forwards" - soren kierkegaard

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  19. #22

    Default Re: IF Gov. shuts down what will the market do? Poll

    Quote Originally Posted by alevin View Post
    Let's see, the Pres., Joint Chiefs of Staff, etc. other "essential employees" as defined-they will stay on the job, their blackberries wont be turned off. again, "essential employees" will continue working and get paid. all others will be required to stay home and not work until called back.
    Just read a short blurp that Reps and Dems are close to an agreement for a 2 week extension. Would delay closing for a short while.

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  21. #23

    Default Re: IF Gov. shuts down what will the market do? Poll

    Quote Originally Posted by pmcint01 View Post
    If there is a shutdown, can you take leave during it and still get paid?
    Last shutdown they did not allow leave to be taken. Makes sense if you think about it. They don't have money to pay us since we don't have a budget. If they could pay us we would be working.

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  23. #24

    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    Location
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    12,190

    Default Re: IF Gov. shuts down what will the market do? Poll

    The last shutdown I do not remember anything about leave. We were told to apply for unemployment and wait to get called back. The budget passed and we all got paid for the time off. This time if we shutdown I would not think Congress will pay us for the time off. Huge money savings. Just my opinion.
    May the force be with us.

  24.  
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