Thread: Sentiment Survey Talk

The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey continues to cook; up 7.61% on the year. As I mentioned above, it went to a sell signal for this coming week.

I am turning into a real believer on the sentiment survey as a trading tool.

It even seems to give you a day or two to make your moves.

Exactly! That was why I went to the Wednesday night / Thursday survey so we'd have the results on Friday morning in time to make a transfer.

Yes, very interesting with this sentiment survey. I am not looking at it closely enough yet though. But, will start getting with the program on this more as a tool of decision making I do believe.

The survey is hitting a good lick. We can use it as a cross check or by itself. I am getting eager for Trader Fred to give a signal also. Very exciting!

Just curious Tom:

Did you close it earlier than usual tonight?

I thought it was usually up till thursday afternoon.


Thanks in advance, and I will be following the signal and moving out of stocks today, or, if there is still strength, tomorrow.

But it looks like today is my only chance- if they don't trade on friday.

Yes. We decided to post it a day earlier this week because of what you said. TSP won't be taking transfers Friday morning because of the market holiday - actually they will take them but they won't be effective until Tuesday if you do make a transfer on Friday.

By the way, did you see the commentary today about the AAII survey? Totally different story... www.tsptalk.com/comments.html. Should be interesting.

Yes- conflicting sentiment surveys.

I wonder if "dueling surveys" mean anything. I'm in right now, but have to decide whether to obey the TSPTALK sentiment survey for the three day weekend period, or take the nod from the AAII survey and hold off till tuesday.

Decisions, Decisions..........

I have noticed that our survey sometimes gives early signals. That is, if we get a sell signal for the following week, the market might be flat that week, but the following week it goes down. Not always, but there is a tendancy. It would be nice if the market went straight down next week confirming this strong sentiment indicator, but it wouldn't surprise me if next week was up fractionally because of that delay - then down the next.

The sentiment survey system is now up 9.41% for the year and triggered a sell signal (100% G fund), which means it will be up another 0.08% next week.

This is our little secret. I will mention this in the comments now and then but I won't go crazy promoting it as it may affect the survey results.

Wow!