Search:

Type: Posts; User: FireWeatherMet; Keyword(s):

Page 1 of 20 1 2 3 4

Search: Search took 0.07 seconds.

  1. Replies
    1,170
    Views
    273,663

    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Looks like Small Caps have begun to turn over, while S&P500 seems to be topping (below).
    Have been 50/50 S and C for over a month, but will use 1st March IFT to lock in those gains and fight another...
  2. Replies
    1,170
    Views
    273,663

    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Funny things,

    Being undecided when jumping back into stocks, if large caps or small caps would be the leader, so I split my portfolio 50/50 between C and S.
    Reality last Friday illustrated...
  3. Replies
    1,170
    Views
    273,663

    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Leaving G Lillypad after yesterdays monster drop and todays up, but slightly fading, 2nd day.
    If CPI had stayed steady or even gone up, that would give me longer term worries, but a drop from 3.4%...
  4. Replies
    11
    Views
    572

    Re: Federal Fund Rate Cut Probability

    I agree there will be a Recession sometime in the future. I just don't see the signs of one now based on near record low unemployment, GDP past year above 3%.

    As for "Gov't spending fueling...
  5. Replies
    11
    Views
    572

    Re: Federal Fund Rate Cut Probability

    Well, there is NOTHING that even remotely suggests Recession is coming, other than Politically motivated Talking Heads on some media outlets hoping for one.
    It would have to be something unseen...
  6. Replies
    11
    Views
    572

    Re: Federal Fund Rate Cut Probability

    The big surge in equities, esp small caps last 3 months was due to rapidly lowering gas prices and Inflation.
    With Inflation falling from 9% all the way to 3% the Street was banking on Inflation...
  7. Replies
    4,416
    Views
    823,878

    Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    If unsure you can always take 50% to safety, then wait to see where the trend breaks.
    If we get a push to new highs you're still 50% in....if stocks plunge you can quickly exit the other 50%,...
  8. Replies
    1,170
    Views
    273,663

    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Those who were following my thread saw how bullish I was the past 2 months, with inflation going down and rate cuts appearing on the horizon for 2024.
    I made a decent profit off it late last year,...
  9. Replies
    3,094
    Views
    319,881

    Re: WorkFE's Account Talk

    Probably more like an Elevator on autopilot. Going straight up, lol.
    At least for the rest of this Santa Rally week.
  10. Replies
    0
    Views
    773

    Are Small Caps Too Hot Right Now?

    59718
  11. Replies
    1,170
    Views
    273,663

    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    You got good discipline.
    Tom posted a good article from Revshark today on having that patience in a parabolic market.
    My feeling was it could fall 2-3% tomorrow...or it could go up another 5% next...
  12. Replies
    1,170
    Views
    273,663

    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Leaving the S fund earlier this month to lock in gains is now confirmed to be a mistake.
    Everything changed yesterday with the Fed. Leaving 100% G Lilly pad and Going all in, 100% S COB Today.
    I...
  13. Replies
    45
    Views
    7,012

    Re: Inflation

    True, but in a lot of those we had economic slowdowns or outright Recessions.
    The current situation was a unique one, Post Pandemic and Oil Shock together, but since the 9.1% peak CPI in mid 2022...
  14. Replies
    45
    Views
    7,012

    Re: Inflation

    One thing I remember vividly from the "Super Recession" of 2008-09 was how long many people stayed negative on stocks going into late 2009 into 2010 and even longer, while we were well into one of...
  15. Replies
    1,170
    Views
    273,663

    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    After a great 3%+ early December surge in Small Caps, we look a little overextended and market seems to be getting a little choppy, as we approach the "Seasonality" of the typical 2nd week Dec...
  16. Replies
    4,416
    Views
    823,878

    Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    FYI I'm still in 100% S but plan on exiting either tomorrow or by the middle of next week, depending on the charts, and following inflation/economy news.

    A mention was made about those on the top...
  17. Replies
    4,416
    Views
    823,878

    Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    DON"T do it...closer to a 3% healthy pullback, than another 3% upward move, IMHO.
  18. Replies
    22
    Views
    2,539

    Re: GDP - Gross Domestic Product

    So much for Recession looming in the near future.
    And with inflation down sharply (3.5% vs 9% a year ago) the GDP is not bolstered by the inflation component.
    Still though a number closer to 3-4%...
  19. Replies
    1,170
    Views
    273,663

    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    When you consider in 2022, the S fund was down 26% and the C down 19% many of them actually were "relatively" smart.
  20. Replies
    1,170
    Views
    273,663

    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    While exiting before a sizeable drop at the end the 1st week of Nov, I missed out on the continuation of the monster rally the past 2 weeks.
    Was looking for a good entrance point, and have been...
  21. Replies
    144
    Views
    28,572

    Re: GDPNow GDP Estimates

    59454
  22. Replies
    3,982
    Views
    423,611

    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    If we define an equity Bear Market by a 20% Drop, then we've already had it, right?:scratchchin:

    59322
  23. Replies
    1,170
    Views
    273,663

    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    59321
  24. Replies
    1,170
    Views
    273,663

    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Had a nice ride in the C fund past 2 weeks with the late October low being set.
    This rally has everything working for it...the Fed signaling it might be done with raising rates, the inverted bond...
  25. Replies
    5,874
    Views
    1,215,658

    Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Oil being down sharply is a good sign for inflation "deflating'.
Results 1 to 25 of 500
Page 1 of 20 1 2 3 4
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes