I have a buy signal today on my non-top model for C and S. As always, there is a higher risk of failure in the next 3 trading days, and then it declines significantly, if upward progress is made in...
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I have a buy signal today on my non-top model for C and S. As always, there is a higher risk of failure in the next 3 trading days, and then it declines significantly, if upward progress is made in...
Despite the markets recent movements, I have no buy signal yet on my Uptrend non-stop model for the TSP funds, so hanging around in F which may not be the safest place to be either. I am out of gold...
Here is the SPX monthly chart, I have shown in the past. This chart suggests that there is more upside to come, as the upper BB has not been hit yet. However, the RSI has weakened a bit as well as...
Hi DBAnnie: I agree that the movement of bonds is at times mysterious. I put up the AGG on the weekly chart below to aid this conversation.
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The vertical blue line shows that the last...
My uptrend system "sold" on the close yesterday. Heading to F/G. Today looks like a back-test of broken support.
Monday , March 2 should be a positive day with a possible strong move up. A lot of up volume flowed into the markets in the last few minutes on Friday February, 27. Look for the large cap to lead....
I am still in the market and my uptrend system shows no signs of getting out of buy and hold status. My sentiment indicator is very bullish but can get even more extreme. I am watching the US dollar...
My Uptrend system is still in "buy and hold" mode, but negative divergences are appearing. Also, my sentiment system is nearing an extreme, where a sudden drop could occur, based on past...
Right on!! I have to admit I was asleep at the wheel for the last few weeks while the EFA was secretly changing. It was previously a descending triangle, but now looks as if it wants to change it's...
Getting an "early" buy signal today. My Uptrend system has not flipped green yet, but expect it to....soon. The I fund is looking strong
The first support area on SPX is approaching near the 1973-1956 area and there should be a pretty good bounce. The VIX is below a major resistance line going back to 2008 and will probably run away...
Strange market behavior the last few days, but I attribute most of it to options behavior. We might have a tradable bottom either today or tomorrow, and if the US dollar keeps falling this will...
Having a lousy start for 2015, thanks to the oil hacks. My Uptrend system is almost to the tipping point of a sell, but is hung up on several metrics. If the market can reverse right here, we are...
Thanks for the congrats. For 2015 here is what I see. C and S funds should show strength, with small caps leading again. I don't think we are even close to a top. Further, the I fund should take off....
2014 has been tricky to trade. Lightning reversals leave one behind, if didn't get on board at the right time. Technical indicators can help define, where these events would occur, and that has...
Christmas rally starting. My signal on 12 03 was a miss. Glad I waited. Expect SPX 2050 in coming days. Went in 60 S 20 I and 20 C
It appears that this bull market refuses to quit. My uptrend system is indicating a "buy" for C and S based on the close Wednesday 12/3. New uptrends are vulnerable for the first few trading days....
The market has been fluctuating during OX while some of the internals are quietly deteriorating. Don't know what to make of it really. However, I am still looking for the next 2 to 2.5 weeks to be...
Getting sell signal on equities today. Moving to F. Sold all my gold positions. Looking to buy VXX. My Uptrend system says sell C and S, based on the close Monday. This lines up with a turning point,...
Here I present a 20 year monthly chart of SPX:
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Topping patterns that we see in 2000 and 2008 take time -up to a year. Notice that the market rocks back and forth at the top, because the...
Thanks to DBA for the BB analysis! I use all timeframes to trade and compare between them. BB compression or expansion are very important as they can hint at the velocity of an upcoming move. For...
Dived into I The BB I was talking about is on the weekly chart.
I am on the fence. Bonds are no place to be right now. The US markets still have strength. The VIX has sold off, but could drift lower. I really like the EFA chart right now and think that might be...
My trend system says that there is too much strength and the probability is for an advance. Also the US dollar is too overbought in the short term and there is better risk/reward now for the I fund....
The buy on my Uptrend system posted on 10/17/14 for C and S is still in force. Too bad I did not follow it. One reason I tend to deviate somewhat is because I try and minimize market exposure in...
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
EFA (I Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
BND (F Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
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Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes |