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  1. $SPX at 3-year high vs. Pres. approval rating

    When the $SPX is at a 3-year high and the President's approval is < 40%, its annualized forward return = -1.3%. When > 60%, return = +27.8%.
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    Interesting July seasonal stats

    -Generally, July starts Naz worst 4 months of the year,
    -But, July is the best month of the 3rd quarter, and
    -Post-Presidential election year Julys are ranked #1 for Dow (up 13, down 3), #1 S&P...
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    low volatility and new record highs

    Urban Carmel posted on TWTR the following observation from Sam Stovall:

    So far, 2017 has seen 17 new all-time closing highs for the S&P 500 and just 10 days where the index moved more than 1...
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    Interesting seasonal stat

    This one comes from Ryan Detrick:

    As of day 100 this year, the S&P 500 is up > 7.5%. Since 1950, this has happened 23 other times. Of those times, the market has finished higher 20 times, with an...
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    Sleezy Insurance companies

    yet more evidence that insurance companies (particularly this one, which primarily sells annuities) are uncompromisingly sleezy and aren't beyond ripping their own employees off

    ...

    Jackson...
  6. Cycle Study shows a possible turn for the worse

    Andrew Thraser, CMT posted this on his blog

    says that he doesn't do much "cycle analysis" (I don't blame him), but looking at this chart, the market's at a point where the cycle he's looking at...
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    Re: 1 percent + surges to multiyear highs

    So far, the tendency for the market to consolidate after the sort of vigorous surge that we saw last week continues. However, as we often say here at Shark HQ, market players are creatures of habit,...
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    1 percent + surges to multiyear highs

    SentimentTrader posted the following image showing the near-term action after the SPY surged more than 1% to fresh mutiyear highs on the biggest volume in 2 months (which is what we saw yesterday).
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    Re: One more January Barometer update

    From NAUTILUS CAPITAL
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    Interesting Cycle Study

    Andrew Thrasher, a Chartered Market Technician posted this cycle study to his TWTR acct yesterday:

    "If you like cycles, this one has been pretty interesting over the last 7 or so years. Doesn't...
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    One more January Barometer update

    I find this sort of seasonal / time-based analysis fascinating, and here's an update on the January Barometer that I've been yammering about.

    So, since it's inception in 1961, there have been 18...
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    Re: TSP Survey - Which would you want?

    A later transfer time, for sure. Even it was 3p.

    You know what would be even better???

    http://www.reactiongifs.com/r/lbgo.gif

    Intraday transfers!!
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    Thursday's Breakout

    good morning

    Here's an interesting stat from Thursday's breakout:

    On days where the SPY closes at a fresh 50-day high for the first time in at least 10 days, leaving an unfilled gap, there's an...
  14. Thread: Market News

    by SharkFP
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    Re: Market News

    This just in:

    WFM has no organic growth




    #HatTip @hmeisler for that wonderful pun
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    January Barometer Update

    So, more interesting details concerning the January Barometer

    As I mentioned before, when the S&P 500 finishes January positive, the index finished the year higher almost 85% of the time, with an...
  16. Thread: The Streak

    by SharkFP
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    The Streak

    Another boring day for the indices puts the current streak of the S&P 500 not losing more than 1% in a session at 82 days. The last time we've gone that long was in 1996.

    Meanwhile, the Russell...
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    Re: January Barometer

    Yes, that was my assumption as well. "You" as in the rhetorical you, not "you" as in "you yourself".
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    Re: January Barometer

    That is correct. The results are based on buying the last day of Jan and selling the last day of Dec.
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    January Barometer

    Good morning everyone,

    Here's an interesting look at the January Barometer that I thought I'd share:


    since 1961, the S&P 500 has finished January positive 33 times (34 including 2017)


    of...
  20. Thread: ETF TRADING

    by SharkFP
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    Re: ETF TRADING

    Hi Nunzy,

    Didn't know if you saw this or not, but Schwab announced last week that they are lowering commissions on equity and ETF trades to $6.95 from $8.95, effective this past Friday. Some other...
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