Thread: S-fund Challenge! Guesses

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S-Fund Challenge Tally for 4-24-14!

Didn't like price action today... provides too many questions versus answers...

I will say up tomorrow because it is a Friday... I guess we will see...

Changing position to LONG for 4-25-14 until further notice.

Futures are down btw.

Originally Posted by RealMoneyIssues

Didn't like price action today... provides too many questions versus answers...

I will say up tomorrow because it is a Friday... I guess we will see...

Wow, so wrong... what the heck is going on... I am now starting to doubt BT's premise, where is the strength... gone in 60 seconds, no conviction by investors

Originally Posted by RealMoneyIssues

Wow, so wrong... what the heck is going on... I am now starting to doubt BT's premise, where is the strength... gone in 60 seconds, no conviction by investors

Ukrainian fears.

Originally Posted by Bquat

Ukrainian fears.

That has no bearing on our markets, commodities or equities... I believe you will find institutional investors are selling into retail investor buying...

This is turning from a market pause into a market top... There has been no proof otherwise (no higher highs, all lower highs)...

Originally Posted by RealMoneyIssues

That has no bearing on our markets, commodities or equities... I believe you will find institutional investors are selling into retail investor buying...

This is turning from a market pause into a market top... There has been no proof otherwise (no higher highs, all lower highs)...

Ok, just don't be scaring me buddy.

Originally Posted by RealMoneyIssues

That has no bearing on our markets, commodities or equities... I believe you will find institutional investors are selling into retail investor buying...

This is turning from a market pause into a market top... There has been no proof otherwise (no higher highs, all lower highs)...

RMI,

Although some emotional influence from the Ukraine issue could be a factor in the selling before the weekend, because we don't know the full consequences if Russia will invade. However, you might be right, that Institutional Investors could be selling, because they are not insulated from world affairs.

4/28/14 down

Originally Posted by ebbnflow

Don't forget to put your game face on.

Unofficial (Apr. 24, 2014): C +0.17%; S -0.18%; I +0.06%.

Short Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (51.9%); 8/red-grn-red (52.4%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 4/grn-red-grn (53.8%); 6/red-red-grn (53.9%); 7/red-grn-grn (53.1%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (55.8%); 3/grn-red-red (56.9%); 5/red-red-red (60.1%).

S&P 500: 55.0% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.0%; long > 55.0%.
Accuracy: 8/12 (67%). Longs: 5/6 (83%). Shorts: 3/6 (50%). Cash: green (2 up, 2 down); red (2 up, 3 down).

Friday: Pattern 4/grn-red-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 54.4%): C 55.2%, S 53.8% (DP WP: 71%), I 54.2%.
Forecast: long C-fund; long S-fund; cash I-fund.

Friday's pattern 4 is long instead of cash because of a double pattern on the ebbchart (Apr. 25-28). The 1st day of double pattern 4-4 has a win percentage of 71% (see double-patterns chart below).

Investors take cover as acid rain from Ukraine erodes market sentiment.

Unofficial (Apr. 25, 2014): C -0.81%; S -1.60%; I -0.36%.

Short Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (51.9%); 8/red-grn-red (52.4%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 4/grn-red-grn (53.5%); 6/red-red-grn (53.9%); 7/red-grn-grn (53.1%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (55.8%); 3/grn-red-red (56.9%); 5/red-red-red (60.1%).

S&P 500: 55.0% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.0%; long > 55.0%.
Accuracy: 8/13 (62%). Long: 5/7 (71%). Short: 3/6 (50%). Cash: green (2 up, 2 down); red (2 up, 3 down).

Monday: Pattern 4/grn-red-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 54.1%): C 54.9%, S 53.5% (DP WP: 29%), I 53.9%.
Forecast: cash C-fund; short S-fund; cash I-fund.

Monday's 's pattern 4 is short instead of cash because of a double pattern on the ebbchart (Apr. 25-28). The 2nd day of double pattern 4-4 has a win percentage of only 29% (see double-patterns chart below).

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S-Fund Challenge Results for 4-25-14!