20140424.jpg
S-Fund Challenge Tally for 4-24-14!
Don't forget to put your game face on.
Unofficial (Apr. 24, 2014): C +0.17%; S -0.18%; I +0.06%.
Short Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (51.9%); 8/red-grn-red (52.4%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 4/grn-red-grn (53.8%); 6/red-red-grn (53.9%); 7/red-grn-grn (53.1%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (55.8%); 3/grn-red-red (56.9%); 5/red-red-red (60.1%).
S&P 500: 55.0% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.0%; long > 55.0%.
Accuracy: 8/12 (67%). Longs: 5/6 (83%). Shorts: 3/6 (50%). Cash: green (2 up, 2 down); red (2 up, 3 down).
Friday: Pattern 4/grn-red-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 54.4%): C 55.2%, S 53.8% (DP WP: 71%), I 54.2%.
Forecast: long C-fund; long S-fund; cash I-fund.
Friday's pattern 4 is long instead of cash because of a double pattern on the ebbchart (Apr. 25-28). The 1st day of double pattern 4-4 has a win percentage of 71% (see double-patterns chart below).
20140424.jpg
S-Fund Challenge Tally for 4-24-14!
[COLOR=#0000ff][FONT=comic sans ms][I]"In the land of idiots, the moron is King."--Unknown[/I][/FONT][/COLOR]
Didn't like price action today... provides too many questions versus answers...
I will say up tomorrow because it is a Friday... I guess we will see...
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Changing position to LONG for 4-25-14 until further notice.
Futures are down btw.
[COLOR=#0000ff][FONT=comic sans ms][I]"In the land of idiots, the moron is King."--Unknown[/I][/FONT][/COLOR]
Rules:
- Trade what you see, not what you believe
- Don't put stuff in your signature that a Mod doesn't like
"Government exists to protect all people’s rights, not some people’s feelings." - A. Barton Hinkle
Great Tools:
http://www.CreditKarma.com
http://www.Mint.com
http://www.SaveUp.com/r/nmJ
That has no bearing on our markets, commodities or equities... I believe you will find institutional investors are selling into retail investor buying...
This is turning from a market pause into a market top... There has been no proof otherwise (no higher highs, all lower highs)...
Rules:
- Trade what you see, not what you believe
- Don't put stuff in your signature that a Mod doesn't like
"Government exists to protect all people’s rights, not some people’s feelings." - A. Barton Hinkle
Great Tools:
http://www.CreditKarma.com
http://www.Mint.com
http://www.SaveUp.com/r/nmJ
RMI,
Although some emotional influence from the Ukraine issue could be a factor in the selling before the weekend, because we don't know the full consequences if Russia will invade. However, you might be right, that Institutional Investors could be selling, because they are not insulated from world affairs.
4/28/14 down
Investors take cover as acid rain from Ukraine erodes market sentiment.
Unofficial (Apr. 25, 2014): C -0.81%; S -1.60%; I -0.36%.
Short Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (51.9%); 8/red-grn-red (52.4%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 4/grn-red-grn (53.5%); 6/red-red-grn (53.9%); 7/red-grn-grn (53.1%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (55.8%); 3/grn-red-red (56.9%); 5/red-red-red (60.1%).
S&P 500: 55.0% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.0%; long > 55.0%.
Accuracy: 8/13 (62%). Long: 5/7 (71%). Short: 3/6 (50%). Cash: green (2 up, 2 down); red (2 up, 3 down).
Monday: Pattern 4/grn-red-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 54.1%): C 54.9%, S 53.5% (DP WP: 29%), I 53.9%.
Forecast: cash C-fund; short S-fund; cash I-fund.
Monday's 's pattern 4 is short instead of cash because of a double pattern on the ebbchart (Apr. 25-28). The 2nd day of double pattern 4-4 has a win percentage of only 29% (see double-patterns chart below).
20140425.jpg
S-Fund Challenge Results for 4-25-14!
[COLOR=#0000ff][FONT=comic sans ms][I]"In the land of idiots, the moron is King."--Unknown[/I][/FONT][/COLOR]
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
EFA (I Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
BND (F Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
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Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes |
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