Thread: S-Fund: A TA Short Term Outlook

tspgo-com,

Thanks for the graph - I thought the S fund would probably hit the wall later rather than sooner. I think the energy holdings which are broad will continue to provide support to the index into spring 2006. The C fund I think will slowly take over the outperformance duties and lead up for the next couple of years providing we are in a long cycle - keeping my money on the C fund.

The S-fund is overtaking the I-fund. Barely 25 basis points now separate the two.

Dave

S-fund should go up about 15 points today, while I-fund will be neutral or negative. That means S will have overtaken the I by a point or two.

Dave

[align=center]Date[/align]

[align=center]S Fund[/align]

[align=center]I Fund[/align]


[align=center]Jul 05, 2005[/align]

[align=center]15.30[/align]

[align=center]15.20[/align]
The S Fund did overtake the I Fund on a Net Asset Value basis today.

Do you see what I see ....?



We are approaching an area of great concern. If the S&P and the C-Fund do not break out of this Reverse Symmetrical Triangle (RST) big trouble lies ahead. There are about 20-30 more points to the up side, then down the drain it goes. If the S&P goes down it will take everything down with it. Including the C, S, and I. If you are not following the 5-5-10 Rule, I would say it is time to play it safe and run for cover. August is not known for being a great month for stocks.

Happy trading,

TSPGO!

Hmmm....moving out of the S today and into the I would probably be a good play...wish I had seen it two days ago....could be if one did such a thing that a quick 5% could have been realized....

:dude:

The Technician wrote:

Hmmm....moving out of the S today and into the I would probably be a good play...wish I had seen it two days ago....could be if one did such a thing that a quick 5% could have been realized....

:dude:

Hey Tech, can you explain a little more why moving out of S is a good idea. Is it because of the recent good gains in S that it might rest, while the I fund will now get the bounce?

Yea....S took a jump but I expect it will make a drop for a day or two.....I'm expecting I to jump next for a couple ofl days possibly....then depending on the market whether S will jump again....

I'mlooking at some newer data manipulations and recent trends of what might happen.....the best thing is we're in a up mode for the market but I can't say for how long...given the overall disposition....I'd say it won't last long....but who knows right.....

Nothing like having a hair trigger....

:^

The market winds have changed right in front of us over the last month....oil has been given the market a reprieve.....after considering all I know of control system theory, I should have guessed it....they (those who are pulling the world economic strings) are going to play this thing full tilt.....with a good economy and returns on commodities, interest rates, and earnings throttling along at a fair rate.....that would be a balanced output for such a system....

This bodes well for the market environment for many money making opportunities....if you can pick out the right time to get in and out....:^

I'm gonna love this....

:dude:

[align=center]The S-Fund seems to be completing a "Cup and Handle" formation. Wait for the handle to be formed. ( the retracing). Get back in when the subsequent breakout takes place. Keep in mind the possibility that the pattern will fail, and breakout in a downtrend. A premature entry might be a call for disaster. [/align]
[img]file:///C:/Program%20Files/WPK/websites/tspgoframes/images/sfund051114talk.gif[/img]

Aftergetting raw Whilshire 4500 datathe other day I believe we should have a positive day today......maybe we can get to 536 and above here....

I'm kinda thinking that we could go on to the 570's range if everything pans out on the market for the next several months....

Please keep the oil guys in the closet.....they sure know how to wreck the economy for everybody else....

Take my speculations as just that.....speculations....its just I haven't been tracking the Whilshire before and until some practical stability has been obtained, predictions can go weird......

:^