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Thread: Forecasters predict busy hurricane season

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    Default Forecasters predict busy hurricane season



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  3. #2

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    Default Re: Forecasters predict busy hurricane season

    Heads up- new Hurricane about to form.

    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
    1100 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2016

    ...TORRENTIAL RAINS OVER WESTERN CUBA...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...23.6N 84.3W
    ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM WSW OF KEY WEST FLORIDA
    ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WNW OF HAVANA CUBA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine
    was located near latitude 23.6 North, longitude 84.3 West. The
    depression is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn
    toward the west-northwest is forecast today, followed by a slow
    northwestward motion on Tuesday. A turn toward the north is
    expected Tuesday night. On the forecast track, the center of the
    depression will be passing north of the north coast of western Cuba
    today, and moving farther into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico
    tonight and Tuesday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
    depression is likely to become a tropical storm later today or
    tonight.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rain
    accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over Cuba, with isolated amounts of
    12 inches possible through Wednesday. These rains could cause
    flash floods and mud slides. Total rain accumulations of 3 to 5
    inches are possible over the southern Florida peninsula and the
    Florida Keys through Wednesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 7
    inches could occur over the Keys and coastal areas of southern
    Florida. This rainfall may cause localized flooding.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
    Looks like this one is increasing in strength right now.

    21006232-large.jpg

    More information: Tropical Depression 9 in Gulf of Mexico could become tropical storm Monday | NOLA.com

    I have a friend in Key West that has been talking about the heavy rain for the last couple days. If this one strengthens, it could become pretty bad soon.
    Last edited by James48843; 08-29-2016 at 11:04 AM.

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  5. #3

    Default Re: Forecasters predict busy hurricane season

    Yup...in a developing La Nina, but still leftover warm waters from recent El Nino...a decent hurricane season should occur...busiest one in about 4-5 years.

    Atlantic hurricane season still expected to be strongest since 2012 | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 7/14/17)

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