Trader System

**qibovin** · 06-07-2007, 06:32 PM

Originally Posted by Paladin

I was wondering the exact same thing yesterday.....which was also the same day that our IFTs matched perfectly down to the hundredth of a percent. You must be my missing twin, separated at birth!

Yeah, I was going to do 40/50/10, but I saw how nice your numbers looked and thought--why not get a little bit more of that S? Thanks a lot

You cost me 10% of 0.31% so far

But who's counting?

(Just kidding, I appreciate your comments throughout the board)

**tsptalk** · 06-07-2007, 08:23 PM

Originally Posted by FundSurfer

Today's action will most likely trigger a Trader Fred sell signal. This means that tonight Trader System will signal a sell for tommorrow when you would move to G-fund. Just my guess based on what he said his trigger is.

Very possibly. I know the stop was 16.69 on the C fund for a couple of the submodels and that may be hit today.

**qibovin** · 06-07-2007, 08:25 PM

Originally Posted by tsptalk

Very possibly. I know the stop was 16.69 on the C fund for a couple of the submodels and that may be hit today.

At -1.76% that's 16.62--I think so.

**sugarandspice** · 06-08-2007, 02:54 PM

I am wondering if Fred's system has ever gotten a sell signal from a stop before. Did he run backtesting with stops in place? And if so, what where the results regarding transfers from hitting those stops.

Could you ask for me Tom?

**tsptalk** · 06-08-2007, 03:20 PM

I will.

**tsptalk** · 06-08-2007, 08:11 PM

Originally Posted by sugarandspice

I am wondering if Fred's system has ever gotten a sell signal from a stop before. Did he run backtesting with stops in place? And if so, what where the results regarding transfers from hitting those stops.

Could you ask for me Tom?

From Fred:
... on the good question about back testing with stops. I
will send you two sets of submodel profiles, with and
without stops. In general, using the stops improves
the return of the submodels. I am not sure how you
would want to add them to the web site, so I will just
send both sets by 12pm Sunday.

So, more info to come.

**tsptalk** · 06-13-2007, 05:27 PM

Trader Fred's reply can be found here

He also sent along a document for each submodel, one with stops, and one without. (38 total documents). The guy is a hard worker.

I'll post links to them on the system page when I get time.

**tsptalk** · 06-28-2007, 08:17 PM

Fred's system is based on pattern recognition. I don't think he will attempt to figure out why. It's like trying to tell a technical analysis that a company has reduced debt and expenses and should start making more money. They don't care. They just want to see positive action on the chart.