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About Uptrend
Biography:
Interior Dept. employee
Location:
Oregon
Interests:
Kayaking, Fishing, Hiking, Bowling
Occupation:
Physical Scientist
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Last Activity
11-03-2015 11:37 PM
Join Date
10-04-2007

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Recent Entries

Daring the Downside

by Uptrend on 10-18-2014 at 06:10 PM
Many traders watch the 200 day moving average, currently coming in at 1906.02 on the SP 500. Based on Friday’s close of 1886.76, the market is now 19.26 points below. What’s more, this is the 5th daily close below and it has not been retested as resistance. Translating this moving average to the weekly chart of the SP500, courtesy of Stockcharts™, we see the recent failure of the 40 week moving average to provide support and a trend break going back to 2010 as well. There have been dips below this

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Halfway

by Uptrend on 02-10-2014 at 12:08 AM
The reversal and 60 point ride off the bottom from SPX 1738 to 1798 in the last four trading sessions has been quite impressive. Start of a new trend? Not so fast, let’s look at the chart below. Since November of 2012 the SPX has been on a steady uptrend. We see peaks 1, 2 and 3 forming an upper trendline as the advance continued and a break of that line to the upside during October, 2013. Further we see a retest of the upper trendline during December, 2013 acting as support; accompanied by

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Will a government shutdown cause a market meltdown?

by Uptrend on 09-25-2013 at 02:13 AM
There has been a lot of talk about the impasse in the House and Senate over passing a continuing resolution before October, 1 and a possible government shutdown. Its business as usual if you’re considered an essential employee that has responsibilities for national security, air traffic control, information technology and the like; and if not –well may be time for a furlough type vacation. There have been 17 government shutdowns in U.S. history, spanning 1976 to 1995, lasting 1 to 21 days. The

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Cycles land on crash date

by Uptrend on 08-30-2013 at 02:08 AM
For the short term, a rebound is very possible at this juncture in the market. SPX has dropped nearly 5 % from a 1709.67 high, early in the month to 1627.47 on Wednesday of this week. Will the fall continue or is there a chance of a rebound? There are many indices and factors one could look at, but I examine cycles in this blog. Notice on the SPX chart below the prominent cycles from April of this year. We have a 37 and 46 day cycle that combine to form a larger 83 day cycle traversing late

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Sell in May and Go Away?

by Uptrend on 05-01-2013 at 01:52 AM
Today SPX put in a twin top at 1597. However, the short term RSI and MACD are showing negative divergences, as seen on the hourly chart, and the stochastic is overbought as well. The second chart shows the summation indexes in the daily timeframe; NY Summation Index as dotted line in the main panel and the NA Summation Index as a solid line in the same view. While the MACD has flashed a buy signal several days ago (vertical green line to the far right), there is overhead resistance as seen by

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S&P 500 (C Fund)
S&P 500 INDEX,RTH (^GSPC)
DWCPF (S Fund)
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index (^DWCPF)
EFA (I Fund)
iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)
AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)
Source: https://finance.google.com/finance