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Thread: Cactus' Account Talk

  1. #229

    Join Date
    Oct 2010
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    Aiea, Hawaii
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    1,122

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Cactus View Post
    This article is referring to 2019. We are still scheduled for a pay increase in 2018 as far as I know. have you heard of a 2018 pay freeze?
    2018 General Raise will be 1.9%. Split 1.4% Regular, and 0.5% Locality.
    Trump Authorizes 1.9% Pay Raise for Feds, Says Greater Increase 'Not Warranted' - Pay & Benefits - GovExec.com

    (Don't spend it all in one place! )
    There are 10 types of people in the world. Those who know binary, and those that don't!!
    Retired on December 31, 2018!!

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  3. #230

    Join Date
    Sep 2006
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    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    I'm hoping the raise covers the increase in health insurance premiums.

    Quote Originally Posted by uscfanhawaii View Post
    2018 General Raise will be 1.9%. Split 1.4% Regular, and 0.5% Locality.
    Trump Authorizes 1.9% Pay Raise for Feds, Says Greater Increase 'Not Warranted' - Pay & Benefits - GovExec.com

    (Don't spend it all in one place! )
    Weatherweenie's Account Talk
    Teddy Roosevelt: Patriotism means to stand by the country. It does not mean to stand by the president or any other public official. Retired on November 30, 2023 with 30+ years of service.

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  5. #231

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    Let's see. C Fund up. I Fund up. S Fund slightly down to neutral.

    Figures that it would be the fund I jump into that performs the worst
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  7. #232

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,733

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    I hear you, what happened? FOMC?
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  9. #233

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    Amendment to end TSP Catch-Up contributions: https://www.fedsmith.com/2017/11/13/...contributions/
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  11. #234

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    I don't like the way the markets dropped at the end of the day today. So much for seasonality. As of yesterday the S Fund was only 0.28% for the month and the I Fund was just 0.45%. The C Fund at least got above the 1% mark at 1.29%. So much for any Santa Claus rally. At this point it looks like the markets are exhausted and the near term top is in. Maybe we get a little last day hurrah tomorrow, but I'm expecting it to trickle down next week into the New Year. My two cents.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%


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  13. #235

    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    Location
    Cleveland, Ohio
    Posts
    12,180

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Cactus View Post
    I don't like the way the markets dropped at the end of the day today. So much for seasonality. As of yesterday the S Fund was only 0.28% for the month and the I Fund was just 0.45%. The C Fund at least got above the 1% mark at 1.29%. So much for any Santa Claus rally. At this point it looks like the markets are exhausted and the near term top is in. Maybe we get a little last day hurrah tomorrow, but I'm expecting it to trickle down next week into the New Year. My two cents.
    Same thing happened yesterday around 2pm.
    May the force be with us.

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  15. #236

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    Yeah, I saw that. This and the fact that the week after Christmas was negative for the last three years (2014, 2015 & 2016) makes me wonder if I should get out today.

    I'll probably ride it out but remember that I make a pretty good contrarian indicator.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  17. #237

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    Another flat day. So much for the positive bias seasonality on the day after Christmas. Let's hope it doesn't go south from here into the New Year.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  19. #238

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    Once again the C & S Funds are negative for the last week of the year. December was disappointing overall.

    From here I guess we take our lump of coal and hope for a better start to 2018.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  21. #239

    Join Date
    Feb 2013
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    Sometimes Maryland, Sometimes Texas
    Posts
    3,507

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Cactus View Post
    Once again the C & S Funds are negative for the last week of the year. December was disappointing overall.

    From here I guess we take our lump of coal and hope for a better start to 2018.
    You would have thought with the passage of the tax reform bill this would have been a Santa Claus rally for the record books. But instead, the Grinch showed up again.
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  23. #240

    Join Date
    Jul 2016
    Location
    Texas
    Posts
    2,274

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    Yes, C & S were disappointing yesterday but doesn't the "Santa rally", if there is one, extend into the 1st few days of the new year?

    It is hard to tell how taxes impact everyone's actions...RMDs have to be taken by end of year to avoid any tax penalty, which may require selling; only losses offset gains that will reduce gains/taxes for this year; short term gains are the only thing I can see being delayed by the pending tax law since LT capital gains will pretty much be taxed the same now or later.

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