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Reply With QuoteSome are wondering if we are in a volatility to ignore mode after the consolidation:
Re: Bquat's Account Talk
Excellent question BQ. The dollar and Euro have been going crazy appreciating the last few days. Lots of talk from the Fed and media about Yellen raising rates. The yield curve has been flattening which normally serves to scare folks in stocks more than in bonds. If Yellen does raise rates that could change but I think the bond market has already absorbed most of a rate hike so the impact could be more in stocks. At any rate, I doubt stocks would pullback further than 2330 since there are so many bulls in the market. Of course a game changer would be some "real bad news".
Things that could play in the larger picture:
The Debt ceiling - March 15th
Tax cuts this year - May depend on what happens with this Russia investigation.
Obamacare overhaul this year - May depend on what happens with this Russia investigation.
Infrastructure spending - As soon as they can figure out cutting other areas to pay for it - May depends on what happens with this Russia investigation.
If Yellen decides to hold off a rate hike until June, tomorrow and Monday should see nice gains in the bond market and a selloff of the dollar. We'll see what happens manana..
FS
FogSailing
Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.
Re: Bquat's Account Talk
Some are wondering if we are in a volatility to ignore mode after the consolidation:
Don't bias your charts.Show support and resistance. My comments and charts are not trading recommendations.
Re: Bquat's Account Talk
With both the S Fund and F Fund both having a chance to embed today I have no sense of market direction short term. I did want to point out too things. First is that I have added a 34 DMA to show more of a monthly direction. I chose 34 because it's half way between the 18 and 50 day. Secondly I have a circle in the F Fund showing the effect of the consolidation on the moving to cause them to group up. Is this any indication of a bigger move coming?
Don't bias your charts.
Re: Bquat's Account Talk
I likey....Splits your dma's nicely and makes a decent median line all by itself!
Re: Bquat's Account Talk
Weakness continues in both. Moving averages in F Fund are coiling up more:Originally Posted by Bquat
Don't bias your charts.
Re: Bquat's Account Talk
Is this second coil a show of more weakness in bonds coming or is it a bottom:
Don't bias your charts.
Re: Bquat's Account Talk
That said on the 7th. Charts now still show weakness:
Don't bias your charts.
Re: Bquat's Account Talk
What's going on in oil? Is the drop potential met:USO 4 Hour forgot label:
Don't bias your charts.
Re: Bquat's Account Talk
SPY Longterm:
Don't bias your charts.
Re: Bquat's Account Talk
Oscar had something bad to say about Transports. I'm not seeing it:
Don't bias your charts.
Re: Bquat's Account Talk
Forgot last night. Quick charts:
Don't bias your charts.
Re: Bquat's Account Talk
This was the biggest drop we had in a while. Bad part is that Dead Cat Bounce area acted as resistance:
Don't bias your charts.
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