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Thread: Tsunami's Account Talk

  1. #1465

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Positive changes for the I fund next year:
    https://federalnewsradio.com/comment...or-the-i-fund/

    https://www.msci.com/documents/10199...7-5b7dcc44536c

    Glad to see a down day to start May since I'm closing my eyes and diving back in....might be too early though. 100% C fund since that's the seasonally strongest fund for May.

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  3. #1466

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Tsunami View Post
    Positive changes for the I fund next year:
    https://federalnewsradio.com/comment...or-the-i-fund/

    https://www.msci.com/documents/10199...7-5b7dcc44536c

    Glad to see a down day to start May since I'm closing my eyes and diving back in....might be too early though. 100% C fund since that's the seasonally strongest fund for May.
    Here's a chart of a ratio of what will be the new I fund in 2019 over the current I fund. Looks like a good switch, at least in bull markets...I'd expect it that ratio to head the other direction in a bear market environment.

    ACWX:$MSEAFE | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

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  5. #1467

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Cycles suggest the potential for a major peak in oil here:

    $WTIC | SharpChart | StockCharts.com


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  7. #1468

    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Tsunami, I see you got back in today. It's nice to have 2 IFTs again. So, was this move based on your system or how you currently see the market?
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  9. #1469

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Cactus View Post
    Tsunami, I see you got back in today. It's nice to have 2 IFTs again. So, was this move based on your system or how you currently see the market?
    Both, although I'm apprehensive since June is often a lousy month for stocks. Not this year though hopefully.

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  11. #1470

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    May was the best month of May for U.S. stocks since 2003. Why not follow that up with an encore of the best June in a long time?
    03062018

    Warriors in a blow out, love it.

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  13. #1471

    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Actually, the S Fund has a good track record for May. It has been the winner for 10 out of the 18 years since its inception. That's the same lead that the I Fund has for April.

    Unfortunately, there is no clear cut leader for June. For the last 17 years the winners are:

    G F C S I
    5 3 0 6 3
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  15. #1472

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Finally a breakout for the inverse head and shoulders pattern in the S&P 500. Target is about 2800...

    Public ChartLists | StockCharts.com

    S fund still leading the way.

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  17. #1473

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Yikes! The FANG stocks and other Internet related stocks have been the lynch pin of the continued bull market. The Dow Jones Internet Composite Index, represented by the ETF "FDN" is a good measure of the story. Look at the chart of FDN and it's been steadily going more and more parabolic. It looks a lot like bitcoin last year except stretched out over 10 years.

    Select "All" as the time frame on this chart to see the parabola. When I zoom in I can count a potential complete 5-waves as of Friday the 13th's peak yesterday. It can keep extending of course, but I wouldn't want to ride this down when it reverses (and carries the rest of the market index's with it).

    https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/AMEX-FDN/

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  19. #1474

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Tsunami View Post
    Yikes! The FANG stocks and other Internet related stocks have been the lynch pin of the continued bull market. The Dow Jones Internet Composite Index, represented by the ETF "FDN" is a good measure of the story. Look at the chart of FDN and it's been steadily going more and more parabolic. It looks a lot like bitcoin last year except stretched out over 10 years.

    Select "All" as the time frame on this chart to see the parabola. When I zoom in I can count a potential complete 5-waves as of Friday the 13th's peak yesterday. It can keep extending of course, but I wouldn't want to ride this down when it reverses (and carries the rest of the market index's with it).

    https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/AMEX-FDN/
    Netflix down over 10% after hours, ruh roh.

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  21. #1475

    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Tsunami View Post
    Netflix down over 10% after hours, ruh roh.
    Holy guano, batman, has the correction begun?
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

  22.  
  23. #1476

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Cactus View Post
    Holy guano, batman, has the correction begun?
    I doubt it, but it could help fuel a small wave 2 pullback for a few days.


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