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Thread: ssdave's Account Talk

  1. #13

    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    Black Hills, SD
    Posts
    84

    Default Re: ssdave's Account Talk

    Well, today's action is what I've been waiting to use my second IFT for, and I was tied up this morning and couldn't make the transfer. F is up, and I is down and I'm sitting in 100% F. If it carries through to tomorrow without a reversal, will look at going back into CSI, or if F stays up and CSI reverses, will go to G and wait until next month. Only one effective swing transfer a month really limits our options......

    dave

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  3. #14

    Default Re: ssdave's Account Talk

    Good patience ss. Today may have been a gift for those looking to buy, but we are right at support and we need some instant gratification or the technical picture starts to deteriorate some.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  4.  
  5. #15

    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    Black Hills, SD
    Posts
    84

    Default Re: ssdave's Account Talk

    Well, Monday will see how good a choice I made today. Went 30,40,30 CSI today from F.

    The way I see it, F is going to move temporarily upwards in a small way as people jump from the market, but long term is going to go down as the rates paid by borrowers have to go up to get people to buy. Cheap money isn't going to be around forever, and any regulation on banks will make money harder to borrow, thus more expensive. Inflationary pressures of course will also contribute to the rate rise. I see the only way we'll get out of the huge government debt being run up is by allowing inflation to eat up some of the debt. So, the only choice is when and how, not if, to get out of F fund.

    Choice was jump to G, or take advantage of hopefully a swing low to get into the market. I chose to go into the market, my best guess is that we're in a volatile swing, not a long term correction. If I'm wrong, I'll jump to G once my personal loss stop limit is reached. The potential gain long term outweighs the risk of a loss that I can limit by self control in invoking my stop loss transfer.

    dave

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  7. #16

    Join Date
    Jun 2004
    Location
    Boiled Peanut, Georgia, USA
    Posts
    76,383

    Default Re: ssdave's Account Talk

    I did the same, 50% "C", 50% "S", but with Obama Exploding the Markets I'm nervous as a cat. We shall see Monday. anxiety.gif



  8.  
  9. #17

    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    Black Hills, SD
    Posts
    84

    Default Re: ssdave's Account Talk

    Went 70% G, 30% I today from 30,40,30 CSI.

    I don't trust the market to move up (or even stay flat) with a state of the union address scheduled to "speak to the masses about what the president intends to do about the economy". BHO thinks that speaking to the masses means handing out gravy and taking from the "rich". Never good for the market, as we saw from his swipe at the banks last week. Hopefully he's getting and taking better advice on his State of the Union Address, but somehow I think not.

    I don't think I fund has recovered from last Friday yet, so will keep my stake in there. If the dollar drops on the presidents address and the Fed meeting, will maybe help out I fund a bit, and then I'll take a profit.

    Have to remember in a normal year without the huge gains we saw from March on last year, a lot of little 1% gains adds up to a pretty good yearly return.

    dave

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  11. #18

    Default Re: ssdave's Account Talk

    Hi Dave,
    You live in what was regarded as the most sacred area for many years. It's amazing how highly that area was 'cherished' and when it came to losing their land ~~ and to the largest degree it really was their land ~~ of course they had the fullest assurance that the Black Hills would be spared No need to worry

    I can't go through your area without remembering it's history and because of that I also regard it as a sacred place.

    I think you're right on the TSP Stuff and it looks like you'll be a good one to keep up with. Locking in what you have at 70% is a good move ~~ yet leaving 30% I is also smart because it's the one most likely to make some kind of gain.

    I'm usually too 'chicken' to stay in when I've had enough exposure and subsequently more than not it was a mistake.

    Anyway -- I think the idea of grabbing some 'fast gains' is the way to go for awhile.

    Welcome !!!! and you've got some great stuff !

    Steady


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  13. #19

    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    Black Hills, SD
    Posts
    84

    Default Re: ssdave's Account Talk

    Thanks for the message, Steady. Hills is a nice area, but very urban forest for me. More like a tree farm than a forest. I spent 21 years up in Northern Idaho, but that's becoming very populous now too, expecially around Coeur d'Alene and Post Falls. At least you can get away there. I don't think you can get more than 1000 feet from a road here, and see people everywhere you go.

    Glad I bailed back to G today, even at a break even or slight loss from my buy on Friday. Was worth a chance, but not going to sit in on the risk through the rest of the week.

    Main worry to me is that the market is ignoring all good news and good earnings, too many worriers. I'll sit out for a bit, have to anyway, done with my 2 IFT.

    dave

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  15. #20

    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Location
    Oklahoma
    Posts
    76

    Default Re: ssdave's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by ssdave View Post
    Thanks for the message, Steady. Hills is a nice area, but very urban forest for me. More like a tree farm than a forest. I spent 21 years up in Northern Idaho, but that's becoming very populous now too, expecially around Coeur d'Alene and Post Falls. At least you can get away there. I don't think you can get more than 1000 feet from a road here, and see people everywhere you go.

    Glad I bailed back to G today, even at a break even or slight loss from my buy on Friday. Was worth a chance, but not going to sit in on the risk through the rest of the week.

    Main worry to me is that the market is ignoring all good news and good earnings, too many worriers. I'll sit out for a bit, have to anyway, done with my 2 IFT.

    dave
    SSDave
    I have been to that area in Idaho you talk about. It was one of my better TDY area destinations. Loved going to Spokane in the summer. Not been to the SD area, but hopefully one day......we just got hills here in OK and not many trees!! Ole mother nature likes to take them out, whether it be a tornado or ICE!! and looks like we maybe in for some of the wintery mix tomorrow. (1-2"'s of ice, they say)
    Brighter side is, Makes it fun getting to work!!! Let the bumper cars begin!


    Blindman

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  17. #21

    Join Date
    Sep 2004
    Location
    Missouri
    Posts
    8,619

    Default Re: ssdave's Account Talk

    I got to visit Idaho, sounds like my kind of place.

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  19. #22

    Default Re: ssdave's Account Talk

    Want to get lost? Come a little farther north!

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  21. #23

    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    Location
    Cleveland, Ohio
    Posts
    12,148

    Default Re: ssdave's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by akpackfan View Post
    Want to get lost? Come a little farther north!
    Alaska is beautiful. The wife and I did a cruisetour with Princess Cruise Lines in 2007.
    May the force be with us.

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  23. #24

    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Location
    Oklahoma
    Posts
    76

    Default Re: ssdave's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by akpackfan View Post
    Want to get lost? Come a little farther north!

    I missed a TDY there by..... "that much".....I was dissapointed. I guess I will have to pay for it myself. I'm a big outdoorsman, so I think It would be great place to visit someday!

    Blindman

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