Thread: Valkyrie's Account Talk

Energy Focus, Inc. (EFOI)

up 34% so far today. I brought in at 5.87, still holding

Cold Sun Rising

Cold sun rising - The Nation

Around 2000, the PDO Index started to blow cold again, possibly causing global warming to "pause", as the mainstream scientists describe it. IPCC-affiliated scientists as well as Nasa and the NOAA attribute the pause to other factors. This is when the plot thickens.

Solar cycle 24 - two cycles prior the cycle that's expected to bottom out into a Maunder Minimum - was weak. In 2013-14 it reached its maximum far below average. Meanwhile extreme cold-weather anomalies have occurred around the world. Last year "polar vortices" slammed into the central US and Siberia as a third hovered over the Atlantic. All 50 US states, including Hawaii, had temperatures below freezing for the first time in recorded history. Snowfall records were broken in cities in the US, Canada, Italy, New Zealand, Australia, Japan and elsewhere. Southern American states and central Mexico, where snow is rare, got heavy snow, as did the Middle East.

This past summer the cold didn't let up, with more temperature records across the US and rare summer snows seen in Canada, the US and China. Birds have migrated early in the last two years. Antarctic sea ice set a new record in 2013 and it was broken again in 2014.

Not even Thailand was immune. In 2014 Bangkok hit its coldest low in 30 years, while 63 lives were lost in the North.

Scientists at the Climate and Environmental Physics and Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research at the University of Berne in Switzerland have recently backed up theories that support the sun's importance in determining the climate on Earth. A paper published last year by the American Meteorological Society contradicts claims by IPCC scientists that the sun couldn't be responsible for major shifts in climate. Judith Curry, chair of the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the Georgia Institute of Technology, rejected IPCC assertions that solar variations don't matter. Among the many studies and authorities she cited was the National Research Council's recent report "The Effects of Solar Variability on Earth's Climate".

Global cooling?

Around 2000, the PDO Index started to blow cold again, possibly causing global warming to "pause", as the mainstream scientists describe it. IPCC-affiliated scientists as well as Nasa and the NOAA attribute the pause to other factors. This is when the plot thickens.

Solar cycle 24...

More: Cold sun rising - The Nation

"Its the SUN, stupid!"

100 C for tomorrows open for 3 reasons

This stock-market (market watch link) This stock-market ‘screwdriver’ could be pointing to a ‘major bottom’ for the S&P

Here (market watch link) Here’s how the stock market has reacted to State of the Union speeches

Here's Why Traders Should Be Bullish Right Now (growth stock link)

Unless there's an even nuttier selloff tomorrow, looks like you and just a handful of others will win the prize for catching the falling knife!

If the bottom wasn't today, then I wouldn't be surprised to see a 1000 point swing tomorrow in the Dow...a 400-point gap down, then a close 600 points up.

It's a mess, but here's a sample chart that shows we're at a low similar to previous panic lows:
Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com

"We're not seeing a demand slowdown in oil," Cohn said. "What we're seeing is a massive oversupply of oil. So we're now having to price oil at such a level that we can actually price in all available on-land storage, and then we'll move to floating storage."

Goldman COO: Oil drop is 'confusing' markets - Yahoo Finance


hanging in there I'm only down 1.5% for the yr. still in C
A big run up is around the corner.

"Take another look at the previous chart and notice the action back in
August 2000 and in early 2008, when we entered the last two bear markets. You
can see the two instances in which the S&P 500 fell below its 20-month EMA
and snapped back up to test the breakdown level.
This is important because even if the market doesn't snap back right away
this time, it will rally at some point. And it's normal for the market to come
back and test its breakdown level. So we're likely to see the S&P 500 rally
back up to its 20-month EMA line at some point. I'm betting it happens sooner
rather than later."

Growth Stock Wire | Stock Market Analysis, Market News & Stock Picks

Looking good today! Best of luck!

this is my concern right now...
Exclusive: Iran wants euro payment for new and outstanding oil sales - source | Reuters

will this tank the dollar vs other currencies? it has dropped already.
with dollar dropping I fund the place to be?
how will this affect the price of oil and our markets?

who likes the fist pump symbol Bernie gives and do enough America's recognize it?

Interesting article and good questions.

Will this tank the dollar vs other currencies? it has dropped already.

I doubt it Valkerie. If Iran decides to use only Euro's, that may have some minor impact on the dollar but remember that they have been under a trade ban for years now, and that means they haven't been selling a whole bunch of stuff on the open market legally (meaning they would trade for cigarettes if that was all they could get). There are transactions costs with any currency. If they use the Euro, it's because they have struck a deal which probably reduces their costs and increases their profit margins. I see the action as limiting the growth of the dollar in a new market, so there may be some impact to the EUR\DOLLAR relationship. But what happens if Europe tanks (i.e. national banks default on bonds, - think Greece, Deutche Bank, etc) and the Euro tanks. Now it takes more Euros to buy a dollar. The dollars stays strong and is the currency of choice. That is a more probable scenario in my opinion given the current financial situations of the US and Europe. Only time will tell.

With dollar dropping I fund the place to be?

Another good question. I think that if the Yen\Dollar relationship were the only players the answer would be simple. But the Yuan is now also in the "basket of currencies" and if the yuan devalues (and it will), what impacts will we see. When the Yen is down, our SPX is generally up. When the Yen is Up the SPX is generally down. Somehow the impact of the yuan needs to be included in the equation to determine the true risk if China's actions impact the I Fund. The other big issue to me regarding I Fund is volatility. Is your money safer in a more volatile fund or a more stable fund. It's a personal risk\reward question. Just my 2 cents. Others in the forum have much more knowledge of I Fund and FX.

How will this affect the price of oil and our markets?

Again my 2 cents is that until OPECs open market policy decision is changed, oil will remain cheap for the forseeable future. I saw yesterday that Iran signaled to OPEC that it would be willing to discuss limiting production. That means they are hurting, as is Russia, Venezuela, etc. When it gets painful enough, there will be some agreement to do something and then watch oil pop up to where it was faster than your head can spin. This has been a move to close down American oil development (fracking, oil shale, clean energy ethanol, etc) because those programs are becoming very effective and disrupting OPEC revenues. But they have a problem, even if they limit production, they must produce and sell at a price cheaper than we can produce and sell. How it all gets resolved is beyond me, but it will. Personally I like things just the way they are right now. Employment is high, inflation is low, and wages are reasonable. If oil prices go up too much too soon, much or all of that will be evaporated and Main Street loses but Wall Street wins.

These are just my opinions. Others have good perspectives on your questions. I hope they provide you some feedback.

FS

rally today due to market leader Cisco rally? as I write up over 8%.

"Stop worrying about a stock market crash. It isn't going to happen. At
least, not yet.

The stock market's "crystal ball" has turned bullish. There's a good chance
the S&P 500 will be higher one month from now than where it is today.

The price difference isn't enough to suggest that we're about to see a
rip-roaring stock market rally. But it is enough of a difference to suggest the
S&P 500 could put on a decent bounce over the next month or two – perhaps
back up to the 20-month
exponential moving average near 1,970.

Then we can start worrying about a crash."

The Stock Market's 'Crystal Ball' Just Turned Bullish